Indiana vs. Oregon Prediction and Picks - March 13, 2025

Author: Ben the Pen Last Updated: March 13, 2025 Game Start: 12:00pm EST

Don't miss this Indiana vs. Oregon prediction in the second round of the Big 10 Tournament from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis at 12pmET. Indiana (19-12, 10-10 B10) is the lower seed at No. 9 but has the home-state advantage, while Oregon (23-8, 12-8 B10) has the better record. These teams met once this season with the Ducks winning at home 73-64 on March 4. Don't miss this Indiana vs. Oregon prediction and you need a buzzer-beater, our College Basketball Picks are game-winners!

Last hurrah for Woodson and Indiana

Mike Woodson has been a part of Indiana as a player over 40 years ago, played in the NBA, coached for a long time and now is ending his career at Indianapolis (or in the NCAA Tournament. His Hoosiers' team seemed NIT-bound about a month ago before he announced he was leaving. IU has now won four of their last five games including a win over Ohio State on March 8 in Woodson's Bloomington farewell. Joe Lunardi has the Hoosiers as one of his Last Four In,  in his latest Bracketology report, which is great considering where they were and the fact that they are 10-10 in the league.

According to KenPom, the Hoosiers are 44th overall, 63rd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 42nd in Adjusted Defense. IU is led by center Oumar Ballo, who averages 13.2 points and 9.1 rebounds with 1.3 blocks, while shooting 63.5% from the field. Malik Reneau adds 13.1 points and 5.6 rebounds on 55.3% shooting. On offense, they average 75.2 points per game, 46.2% shooting and 32.3% from long range. On defense, they are allowing 72.0 points, 43.3% shooting and 32.5% from long range. They rank 90th in total rebounding percentage and 164th in assist-to-turnover ratio.

Ducks have solid first season in Big 10

Oregon struggled early on in the Big 10, but they've won seven straight games to end the regular season, including beating Washington on the road in overtime on Sunday. They are in very good shape, according to Lombardi, who has them as the fifth seed in his latest Bracketology report. They are 29th in the latest Net Rankings and have a solid 8-6 Quad 1 record.

KenPom has the Ducks at 31st overall, 35th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 37th in Adjusted Defense. Center Nate Bittle leads the Ducks with 14.1 points per game and 7.3 rebounds, while shooting 51.3% from the field and 33.7% from long range. Jackson Shelstad adds 13.3 points, while shooting 43.9% from the field and 37.9% from 3-point range.

Oregon averages 76.7 points per game, 45.5% from the field and 34.2% from long range and shoots 76.3% from the free throw line (44th). On defense, they allow 71.3 points, 43.3% shooting and 31.5% from long range. They rank 103rd in total rebounding percentage and 114th in assist-to-turnover ratio.

Best Bets for Indiana vs. Oregon

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Indiana is more than just a great story. This team is on a mission to get to the NCAA Tournament and end the Woodson story on a good note. If Oregon loses, it's no big deal. They'll have plenty of time to rest when they head out West. The Hoosiers are playing basically at home, where they were 14-4. Even if it's not Bloomington, the crowd will be about 75% Indiana fans. They also have revenge in mind after that lose about a week ago. Oregon shot 90% (19-of-21) from the line against them. That won't happen away from home.

Prediction: Indiana +2.5

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Both teams are slightly above average in pace as Indiana ranks 139th in Adjusted Tempo according to KenPom and Oregon ranks 164th in pace of play. However, the first meeting went under and Indiana has gone under in three straight games and eight of their last nine games. Oregon has gone under in five of their last six games. Technically, Indiana is playing away from home and they are averaging just 70.5 points per game on the road or neutral sites.

Prediction: Under
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Author Profile

Ben Hayes , "Ben the Pen"

Ben has been a sports writer for over 35 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for nearly 30 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13! Ben has had great success in handicapping college football, the NFL, college basketball, the NBA and MLB for 27+ years. His Twitter handle is @BenHayesWAW