Upcoming Free Picks

New Mexico vs. Utah State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 3-14-2019

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAB games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#757 New Mexico
Lobos 148.5
#758 Utah State
Aggies -13

Thursday, March 14, 2019 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New Mexico Lobos

14 - 17

11-19
ATS
15-15
O/U
76
PPG
76
OPPG

Utah State Aggies

25 - 6

16-14
ATS
16-12
O/U
79
PPG
66
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAB

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NCAAB.

Featured Video from Scott Steehn

It’s a quarterfinal matchup of the Mountain West Tournament coming to you live from Sin City. The seventh-seeded New Mexico Lobos battle the second-seeded Utah State Aggies Thursday night with the winner advancing to the semifinals. New Mexico downed Wyoming 78-68 in their first-round matchup Wednesday afternoon to advance. Utah State dropped Colorado State 100-96 in overtime in their regular season finale last Tuesday. The Aggies own a 25-11 edge in the all-time series and took both matchups this season, including a 71-55 home win in the last matchup on February 20.

New Mexico Lobos Look to Pull Upset

New Mexico bounced back from losing to Wyoming in the regular season finale by eliminating the 10th seeded Cowboys in the first round of the conference tournament. The Lobos improved to 14-17 overall on the season with the victory. New Mexico trailed by as many as 14 in the first half and by 11 at halftime. The Lobos trailed 47-34 with 14:49 to play before ripping off a 20-2 run to go up 54-49 with 8:51 to go. New Mexico never trailed again as they went on to the victory. The Lobos shot 35.9 percent from the field, including seven of 28 from three-point range, and drained 25 of 35 free throw attempts in the victory. Vance Jackson led New Mexico with 26 points, eight rebounds, five assists and four steals in the win.

The Lobos put up an average of 76.1 points a night this season. New Mexico collects 37.7 rebounds a night while dishing out 13.8 assists per contest. The Lobos have been dreadful on the defensive end, ranking 296th in the nation by giving up 76.5 points a game. Anthony Mathis leads the team with 14.7 points per contest. Vance Jackson chips in 12.3 points plus 7.1 boards a game while the addition of Kansas transfer Carlton Bragg (10.9 points, 9.3 rebounds) after he became eligible is a boost to the rotation. Makuach Maluach (10 points), Corey Manigault, Dane Kuiper, Keith McGee and Vladimir Pinchuk each put up at least 3.1 points a game. New Mexico is hitting 42.6 percent from the field as a team on the year. The Lobos knock down 9.2 triples a night while shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc this season. New Mexico is mediocre at the charity stripe as they cash in 69.8 percent of their chances as a team this season.

Utah State Aggies Seek Eighth Straight Win

Utah State finished the regular season with seven straight wins and a share of the Mountain West regular season crown as they edged Colorado State in overtime. The Aggies enter their first conference tournament action with a 25-6 mark overall and 15-3 in the conference. Utah State led by five at the half before being pushed to overtime. In the extra session, the Aggies had a 7-0 run to take a 95-88 edge with 45 seconds to play and that was enough to get the win. Utah State shot a blistering 60 percent from the field, including six of 16 from three-point range, and held a 35-30 edge on the glass. Sam Merrill led the Aggies with a career-high 38 points to go with eight rebounds and six assists in the win.

The Aggies are putting up an average of 79.1 points per game on the season. Utah State puts up an average of 40 rebounds per contest and dishes out 17.2 assists a night. The Aggies are 58th in scoring defense as they give up just 66.8 points a night. Sam Merrill leads the team with 21 points and 4.2 assists a game. Neemias Queta is the only other player in double figures as he averages 11.6 points plus 8.9 rebounds a night. Brock Miller, Dwayne Brown Jr., John Knight III, Quinn Taylor, Tauriwan Knight and Diogo Brito are solid role players for the Aggies this season. Utah State is shooting 47.4 percent from the floor as a team. The Aggies hit 7.8 treys a night but are hitting 35.3 percent on their shooting from beyond the arc. Utah State is very good at the line as they’re sinking 74.7 percent of their chances on the year.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

New Mexico showed a lot of grit and tenacity by rallying from 13 down in the second half to down Wyoming but you can’t expect that kind of performance here. Utah State has a lot of capable role players, a great big man in Queta and a do-everything guy in Merrill who can carry the team on his back. The Lobos were fortunate to prevail in a game where Mathis was one of 13 from the floor and were fortunate that Jackson carried them. That won’t be the case here: Utah State is too tough and, perhaps more importantly, too motivated to fall here. The Aggies advance to the semifinals once they knock the rust off.

Prediction: Utah State Aggies -11.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

New Mexico has been prolific offensively despite an inability to shoot the ball with any consistency. The Lobos are 88th in scoring offense despite coming in 273rd in field goal percentage and 151st in three-point percentage on the season. New Mexico has to face a Utah State defense that is 12th in the nation in field goal percentage defense (39.3 percent) this season. The Aggies are 14th in the nation in rebounding and boast a hefty +12.2 rebound per game advantage this season. Utah State is 42nd in scoring offense, 40th in field goal percentage defense and 39th in free throw percentage this season. Can the Lobos find a way to hang in against the Aggies or does their season end here?

The under is 4-0 in the Lobos’ last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 8-1 in their last 9 neutral site games and 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Utah State has seen the under go 5-2 in their last 7 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game and 14-6 in their last 20 games following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in their last four meetings: the Aggies shut down the Lobos’ offense and that helps keep this one under the total.

Prediction: Under 149

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Tuesday, Mar 26
NBA
#555 Boston Celtics
#556 Cleveland Cavaliers
7:05pm
View Pick
#557 San Antonio Spurs -3
#558 Charlotte Hornets 220.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#559 Orlando Magic 206
#560 Miami Heat -5.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#561 Chicago Bulls
#562 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#563 Los Angeles Clippers -2.5
#564 Minnesota Timberwolves 231.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#565 Atlanta Hawks 240
#566 New Orleans Pelicans -1.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#567 Houston Rockets 227
#568 Milwaukee Bucks -3.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#569 Sacramento Kings
#570 Dallas Mavericks
8:35pm
View Pick
#571 Detroit Pistons 211.5
#572 Denver Nuggets -7
9:05pm
View Pick
#573 Washington Wizards 232.5
#574 Los Angeles Lakers -2
10:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#617 Wichita State 138.5
#618 Indiana -4.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#633 FIU 176.5
#634 Wisconsin-Green Bay -3.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#619 Creighton 152
#620 TCU -4
9:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#29 N.Y. Islanders 5.5
#30 Columbus -160
7:08pm
View Pick
#31 Carolina 6
#32 Washington -125
7:08pm
View Pick
#33 Buffalo -120
#34 Ottawa 6
7:38pm
View Pick
#35 Florida 6
#36 Montreal -185
7:38pm
View Pick
#37 Los Angeles 6
#38 Edmonton -205
9:08pm
View Pick
#41 Anaheim 5.5
#42 Vancouver -135
10:08pm
View Pick
Thursday, Mar 28
NCAAB
#655 Florida State 147.5
#656 Gonzaga -7.5
7:09pm
View Pick
#651 Purdue 146.5
#652 Tennessee 146.5
7:29pm
View Pick
#657 Texas Tech 125.5
#658 Michigan -2
9:39pm
View Pick
#653 Oregon 119
#654 Virginia -8
9:57pm
View Pick
Friday, Mar 29
NCAAB
#667 LSU 150
#668 Michigan State -6
7:09pm
View Pick
#673 Auburn 160
#674 North Carolina (UNC) -5
7:29pm
View Pick
#669 Virginia Tech 144
#670 Duke -7
9:39pm
View Pick
#671 Houston 135.5
#672 Kentucky -2.5
9:57pm
View Pick