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St. Josephs vs. Davidson Prediction,
and Odds - 3-15-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#803 St. Josephs
Hawks 139
#804 Davidson
Wildcats -6

Friday, March 15, 2019 at 6:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

St. Josephs Hawks

14 - 18


Davidson Wildcats

23 - 8


Betting Trends


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Featured Video from Scott Steehn

The St. Joseph’s Hawks will take on the Davidson Wildcats the Barclays Center on Friday evening in the quarterfinal round of the Atlantic 10 Tournament.

These two teams split their two conference matchups this year. St. Joe’s won the first game 61-60 on Jan. 15, but Davidson got their revenge at home, taking down the Hawks 80-72 in their last matchup on Feb. 15. 

Hawks snap slide, advance in A10 Tourney

St. Joseph’s snapped a two-game losing streak on Thursday evening, taking down Duquesne 92-86 to advance to the quarterfinal round. Charlie Brown scored a game-high 28 points, while Jared Bynum added 16 for the Hawks, who shot 11-for-29 from 3-point range and turned the ball over just six times in the win.

Phil Martelli’s squad comes into this matchup slotted at No.183 in the latest KenPom rankings after getting back on the winning track. Martelli’s teams have always been known for their discipline with the basketball and this year’s squad is no different, as they lead the nation with a turnover percentage of just 13.3 percent (1st in the NCAA). Despite that mark, the Hawks have struggled to remain efficient offensively, scoring just 105.7 points per 100 possessions for the season (145th in the NCAA) and 99.2 points per 100 possessions during league play (10th in the A10). St. Joe’s leads the A10 in team free throw percentage, hitting 76.5 percent of their attempts from the charity stripe in conference play. However, they have shot just 46.0 percent from two-point range (12th in the A10) and 31.3 percent of their 3-point attempts (10th in the A10).

On defense, the Hawks have surrendered 107.3 points per 100 possessions for the year (238th in the A10) and 106.3 points per 100 possessions versus A10 opponents (10th in the A10).

Wildcats hoping to keep NCAA Tournament hopes alive

Davidson earned a bye into the quarterfinal round of the conference tournament by finishing the conference season with a 14-4 overall record against A10 opponents. Bob McKillop’s squad comes into Friday’s quarterfinal round matchup slotted at No. 70 in the latest KenPom rankings after closing the regular season with three straight victories.  

The Wildcats play at a slow pace and they don’t generate many second chance opportunities on the offensive glass, but they still rank among the most efficient offensive teams in the conference. Davidson has scored 108.9 points per 100 possessions for the year (85th in the NCAA) and 107.6 points per 100 possessions during league play (2nd in the A10). They have turned the ball over on 16.5 percent of their offensive possessions in conference play (4th in the A10), while sporting an effective field goal percentage of 54.4 percent (3rd in the A10). The Wildcats have the green light from long-range and they’ve attempts 46.7 percent of their total field goal attempts from beyond the arc in league play (2nd in the A10), connecting on a league-best 37.3 percent of their 3-pointers in that span.

On defense, Davidson has surrendered 99.1 points per 100 possessions (83rd in the NCAA) and 96.8 points per 100 possessions in league play (4th in the A10). The Wildcats have limited league opponents to just 46.9 percent shooting from inside the arc (4th in the A10) and 29.8 percent shooting from 3-point range (3rd in the A10).

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

These two teams live and die by the 3-ball on offense. The difference however, is that the Hawks have shot just 31.3 percent from deep versus league opponents, while Davidson leads the A10 in 3-point shooting at 37.3 percent. The Wildcats also rank among the league’s stingiest defensive teams and they have won 11 of their last 14 conference contests since being upset by the Hawks on Jan. 15. Take the Wildcats to cover the spread in this A10 Tournament battle on Friday.

Prediction: Pick: Davidson Wildcats -6

Full-Game Total Pick

These two teams have gone over the projected total in five of their last seven meetings. The over is 4-1 in St. Joe’s last five neutral site games, while Davison has gone over in five of their last six Friday games and six of their last eight conference contests. Look for this matchup to go over the projected total on Friday afternoon.

Prediction: Over 139

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.


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