Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#863 Sam Houston State vs.
#864 North Texas
Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 4:00pm EDT
Written by Mark Ruelle


ATS Sports Betting Advisory Services has been consistently crushing basketball for clients and want you to join them during round 1 and 2 of March Madness - absolutely free!

CLICK HERE to learn more and get started for free!

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

There will be round two action in the NIT on Sunday afternoon as the Sam Houston State Bearkats take on the North Texas Mean Green. SHS had a dominant season in the WAC cut short by an upset loss to Grand Canyon in the semifinals. They rebounded to win their opening-round NIT game against Santa Clara. Meanwhile, North Texas lost in the semifinals of the Conference USA Tournament but has 27 wins after taking out Alcorn State in the opening round of the NIT.

College Basketball, the NHL, and the NBA...oh my! Check out all my premium picks for a variety of premium events. My Best Bet of the week is available for only $49.99 (normally $100) if you use this link. Don't miss out as this comes with a profit guarantee. Win or get the money back in credit!

Bearkats on the Prowl

The Sam Houston Bearkats had a dominant season in the WAC that ended too early with a loss to eventual champion Grand Canyon in the semifinals of the conference tournament. The Bearkats were able to regroup after an invite to the NIT and pulled out a 58-56 win at Santa Clara on Wednesday night. Sam Houston's Cameron Huefner scored with just a minute to go and the Bearkats were able to turn away a last-second layup attempt by Santa Clara to advance to round two. Qua Grant led the Bearkats with a game-high 21 points, including four straight points to take back the lead late in the game. Sam Houston's tenacious defense held Santa Clara to under 40% shooting from the field in the win.

Sam Houston is now 26-7 and have its first postseason win since 2018. The Bearkats are scoring over 80 points per game and shooting 46% from the field. They are shooting just 27% from beyond the arc, hitting six per game. Defensively, the Bearkats have been outstanding. Sam Houston has held the opposition to just under 47 points per game this season on just 31% shooting. The opposition is shooting 25% from long range. Sam Houston averages a whopping 48.5 rebounds per game and has a turnover margin of 9.8 this season. The Bearkats forced 19 turnovers in round one.




No House Advantage: Bet on player over/unders VS THE HOUSE to 21x your bet OR play in PICK 'EM contests against other people! Click here to get a 1st deposit match up to $100 1st w/ promocode WandW!

Mean Green on the Move

The North Texas Mean Green come into this matchup at 27-7 on the season and coming off a resounding first-round win over Alcorn State, 69-53. The Mean Green has now won an opening-round game in the NIT for two straight seasons. North Texas was led by Tylor Perry with 21 points, including 15 in the second half. Perry was 6-of-12 from the floor, including 4-of-8 from 3pt range. A 13-3 run to start the second half helped the Mean Green to put away Alcorn State. North Texas held Alcorn State to 31% shooting from the floor overall, including 24% in the second half.

"They gave us everything in the first half and got on the offensive glass and gave us problems," said head coach Grant McCasland of the Braves who led for part of the first half and were down just four at halftime. "(Alcorn State) competed and we have a ton of respect for them. I thought in the second half our defense really stepped up and we were able to separate."

North Texas hopes to pick up their 28th win of the season in round two of the NIT. The Mean Green are 13-2 at home this season heading into this matchup. North Texas is averaging 64.4 points per game on the season and shooting the ball at a 43% clip. North Texas is shooting 34% from long range, averaging seven 3pt field goals per game. Defensively, North Texas is allowing teams to score an average of 55.6 points per game. The Mean Green are holding teams to under 40% shooting from the field as well. They are also holding the opposition to 31% shooting from 3pt range.


Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


North Texas comes into this matchup with 12 wins in its last fourteen games. The Mean Green is also 10-4 ATS in that time period. The team is 13-2 at home this season and has held the opposition to 55 points or less in five of the last six games. The Mean Green has also won seven straight home games. Sam Houston's offense has also leveled off since some early season victories that pushed the team's total well over 80 points per game. The Bearkats have failed to score their average in 13 straight games. They have failed to score over 64 points in each of their last three road games. North Texas will dictate play and pull out an eighth straight home win.

Take North Texas.

Prediction: North Texas -4.5

BetMGM wants to make your first tournament bet easy! Get up to $1,000 back in Bonus Bets if you don't win. What are you waiting for? Passing this up would be Madness!   *Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI).  Visit for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in Nevada, New York or Ontario. Click here to begin your Tournament!

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


One look at the pace of play for each team and one realizes that the tempo of this game will not be fast. North Texas is near the bottom of the list, ranking 363rd in the nation in pace of play. Only slightly ahead of the Mean Green sits Sam Houston, ranking 324th in the country. Both teams have top-notch defenses and are holding the opposition under 60 points per game. Sam Houston has gone under the total in eight of its last nine games. North Texas has gone under the total in five of its last eight games. This will be a defensive game that moves at a glacier pace.

Take the under.

Prediction: Under 118.5

Written By Mark Ruelle , "Mark Ruelle"

Mark has been a sports fanatic since childhood. He is also an avid follower of sports analytics and has used it in his own betting analysis for over two decades. Now we have Mark on our team here at Stat Salt. He holds degrees in marketing, broadcasting, and English and uses this vast array of assets to dissect and analyze game matchups. Mark will provide you with a wide variety of statistics to consider and a strong opinion in each matchup that he covers. Please follow him daily for an up-to-the-minute analysis of all the important games.