Upcoming Free Picks

Alabama vs. Clemson,
1-1-2018 - Expert Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAF games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#273 Alabama
Crimson Tide
#274 Clemson
Tigers

Monday, January 1, 2018 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Alabama Crimson Tide

11 - 1

5-7
ATS
5-7
O/U
39
PPG
11
OPPG

Clemson Tigers

12 - 1

8-3
ATS
4-9
O/U
35
PPG
12
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAF
Teams #273 Alabama #274 Clemson University
Open -8 +8
Current -7.5 +7.5
Market Avg

Updated: 12/29/2017: Injury Update

Alabama has a few key injuries on defense. They will be without defensive back Hootie Jones (53 tackles, two int’s), and freshman linebacker Dylan Moses (30 tackles, 5.5 tackles for a loss) who was injured in practice earlier this month. Linebacker Shaun Dion Hamilton (40 tackles, 2.5 sacks) is also out.

Clemson linebacker Tre Lamar (50 tackles, four sacks) will suit up in this one after missing the final three games of the season. Lamar is effective against the run and will play a key role against Alabama’s running game. Cornerback Mark Fields is probable.


#4 Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1; 5-7 ATS: 5-7 O/U) vs. #1 Clemson Tigers (12-1; 8-4-1 ATS; 4-8 O/U)

The Clemson Tigers will collide with the Alabama Crimson Tide in a rematch of last year’s National Championship game in the Sugar Bowl on New Years Day from the Mercedes-Banz Superdome in New Orleans. The Crimson Tide went 11-1 on the season with a 7-1 mark in SEC play, while the Tigers posted a 12-1 record and went 8-1 in ACC action. The winner in this game game will play the winner of the Georgia/Oklahoma game in the National Championship on January 8th. This is the third consecutive year this teams will meet in the Playoff, and Clemson defeated Alabama by a 35-31 score in the Championship game last season.

Alabama Looks to Avenge Loss to Clemson

The Alabama Crimson Tide will be playing with a chip on their shoulder after falling to Clemson in last year’s National Championship. Alabama also has their 26-14 defeat to Auburn in the regular season finale fresh on their minds. The Crimson Tide do most of their damage on the ground and feature several threats. QB Jalen Hurts was nearly flawless this season, notching 1940 passing yards with a 15:1 TD to INT ratio, and also rushed for 768 yards. The sophomore quarterback tallied 131 passing yards with one TD and collected 63 rushing yards in last year’s loss to Clemson. Junior running back Damian Harris along with Bo Scarbrough are both capable of doing damage. Harris recorded 906 rushing yards and averaged a sizzling 8.2 yards per carry. Alabama’s leading receiver Calvin Ridley will likely be targeted several times by Hurts in this battle. The junior wide receiver collected 896 receiving yards on the season. Several of Alabama’s offensive starters played in last year’s Championship game against Clemson including Hurts, Scarbrough, Harris and Ridley. Alabama’s running game is averaging 265 rushing yards per game, good for tenth in the Country.

The Crimson Tide’ vaunted defense had another dominating season.  They feature the number one ranked defense in the Country, allowing an average of only 11.5 points per game. They conceded ten or fewer points eight times this season, and feature the third-ranked rush defense and seventh-ranked pass defense. They do have a key injury as safety Hootie Jones is out. Alabama went 3-1 against ranked teams this season.

Tigers Crush Miami, Target Second Straight Win Over Alabama

The Clemson Tigers are only two wins away from their second straight National Championship led by head coach Dabo Swinney. Their only blemish this season was a 27-24 road loss to Syracuse back in October in a game QB Kelly Bryant left early with a concussion. Kelly Bryant did not put up big numbers this season, recording a total of 2678 passing yards with a 13:6 TD to INT ratio, and added 646 rushing yards. The junior quarterback was outstanding in the Tigers last two games against two tough opponents, throwing for a combined 524 yards with a 3:1 TD to INT ratio. Similar to Alabama, Clemson features multiple running backs that can burn opponents including Travis Etienne and Tavien Feaster. Etienne has tallied 744 rushing yards with 13 TD’s, and Feaster posted 659 yards. Clemson has a deep receiving group highlighted by Deon Cain. The junior wide receiver accumulated 659 receiving yards this season, and made eight grabs for 94 yards against Alabama in last year’s Championship game. The Clemson offense put on a dazzling performance in the ACC Championship game against a terrific Miami Florida defense, and are averaging 35.4 points per game.

The Tigers defense is right behind Alabama with the second ranked defense in the Country. They are only conceding an average of 12.8 points and 277 total yards per game. Clemson leads the Country with 44 sacks led by Clelin Ferrell with 8.5 on the season. The Tigers went a perfect 6-0 against ranked teams, which included a 38-3 win over Miami in the ACC Championship game.

Trends:

The Alabama Crimson Tide are:

  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in January.
  • 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.

The Clemson Tigers are:

  • 7-0 ATS in their last 7 bowl games.
  • 8-0 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
  • 10-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.

I am siding with Clemson in this contest. Alabama showed a chink in their armor in the loss to Auburn in their regular season finale, surrendering 408 total yards. Clemson just crushed seventh-ranked Miami by a 38-3 score in the ACC Championship game, proving they can do damage against one of the better defensive teams in the Country. In addition, Clemson does own a better passing game than Alabama, and they possess a talented receiving core. Furthermore, Clemson features an outstanding rush defense that is holding opponents to average of 112 rushing yards per game, and I am confident they can contain Jalen Hurts and the Alabama running game. Alabama is coming off a loss, while the Tigers are on a roll, riding a six game winning streak.

Pick: Clemson Tigers

This showdown features the best two defensive teams in the Country facing off. I expect Clemson to contain the Alabama running game, plus the under is 5-1 in Alabama’s last six games after recording more than 200 rushing yards in their previous game. The Alabama defense will be able to limit Clemson’s offense as well, and the under is 5-0 in the Tigers last six games against a team with a winning record. Alabama is only allowing an average 11.5 points and Clemson 12.8 points, and this total is high enough for me to feel very confident in the under considering the strength of the defense on both teams.

Pick: Under

4

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Wednesday, Dec 19
NCAAF
#213 Ohio U -2.5
#214 San Diego State 55
8:00pm
View Pick
NBA
#553 New York Knicks
#554 Philadelphia 76ers
7:05pm
View Pick
#555 San Antonio Spurs -1
#556 Orlando Magic 207
7:05pm
View Pick
#557 Cleveland Cavaliers 220
#558 Charlotte Hornets -12
7:05pm
View Pick
#559 Phoenix Suns 220
#560 Boston Celtics -12
7:35pm
View Pick
#561 Indiana Pacers
#562 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#563 Detroit Pistons 220
#564 Minnesota Timberwolves -5
8:05pm
View Pick
#565 Washington Wizards 224.5
#566 Houston Rockets -11
8:05pm
View Pick
#567 Brooklyn Nets -2
#568 Chicago Bulls 215.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#569 New Orleans Pelicans 232.5
#570 Milwaukee Bucks -8
8:05pm
View Pick
#571 Golden State Warriors -3
#572 Utah Jazz 218
9:05pm
View Pick
#573 Memphis Grizzlies
#574 Portland Trailblazers
10:05pm
View Pick
#575 Oklahoma City Thunder -4
#576 Sacramento Kings 236.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#701 Auburn 157
#702 NC State -2
7:00pm
View Pick
#703 Western Michigan 139.5
#704 Dayton -13
7:00pm
View Pick
#705 UNCW 159
#706 Georgia State -12
7:00pm
View Pick
#707 Penn State -6.5
#708 Duquesne 137
7:00pm
View Pick
#709 Virginia -9
#710 South Carolina 134
7:00pm
View Pick
#711 Cal Irvine -4
#712 Eastern Michigan 130
7:00pm
View Pick
#713 Cornell
#714 Toledo
7:00pm
View Pick
#715 ODU -6.5
#716 Richmond 130
7:00pm
View Pick
#717 Arkansas - Little Rock
#718 Memphis
8:00pm
View Pick
#719 Southern Miss
#720 Kansas State
8:00pm
View Pick
#721 Valaparaiso 143
#722 Texas A&M -10.5
8:30pm
View Pick
#723 Georgia Tech 145
#724 Arkansas -8.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#725 UCLA 135
#726 Cincinnati -8
9:00pm
View Pick
#727 California 143.5
#728 Fresno State -10.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#729 Boise State 126
#730 Loyola Marymount -5
10:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#83 Pittsburgh 7
#84 Washington -140
8:05pm
View Pick
#85 Montreal 6
#86 Colorado -155
8:35pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#215 Marshall -3
#216 USF 54.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#217 FIU 66.5
#218 Toledo -6
12:30pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 22
NCAAF
#221 Wake Forest 73
#222 Memphis -3
12:00pm
View Pick
#223 Houston 67.5
#224 Army -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#225 Buffalo -2.5
#226 Troy 53.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#227 Louisiana Tech 58.5
#228 Hawaii -1
10:30pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#229 Boston College 55
#230 Boise State -2.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#231 Minnesota 61
#232 Georgia Tech -4.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#233 TCU 41
#234 California -1
9:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#235 Duke 56.5
#236 Temple -4
1:30pm
View Pick
#237 Miami - FL -3.5
#238 Wisconsin 47
5:15pm
View Pick
#239 Vanderbilt -4.5
#240 Baylor 55
9:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#241 Auburn -3.5
#242 Purdue 54.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#243 Syracuse 74
#244 West Virginia -1.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#247 Iowa State 54.5
#248 Washington State -3.5
9:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 29
NCAAF
#249 Florida 50.5
#250 Michigan -7.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#251 South Carolina -5.5
#252 Virginia 55
12:00pm
View Pick
#245 Arkansas State -2
#246 Nevada 58.5
1:15pm
View Pick
#255 Notre Dame 56
#256 Clemson -13.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#253 Oklahoma 79
#254 Alabama -14
8:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#257 Virginia Tech 53.5
#258 Cincinnati -5.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Pittsburgh 52
#260 Stanford -6
2:00pm
View Pick
#261 Michigan State 48
#262 Oregon -3
3:00pm
View Pick
#263 Missouri -7.5
#264 Oklahoma State 71
3:45pm
View Pick
#265 Northwestern 45
#266 Utah -7
7:00pm
View Pick
#267 NC State 58.5
#268 Texas A&M -6.5
7:30pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#269 Iowa 44.5
#270 Mississippi St -7
12:00pm
View Pick
#273 LSU -7.5
#274 UCF 54.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#271 Kentucky 48
#272 Penn State -7
1:00pm
View Pick
#275 Washington 58.5
#276 Ohio State -6.5
5:00pm
View Pick
#277 Texas 58
#278 Georgia -13.5
8:45pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 24
NFL
#131 Denver Broncos -2.5
#132 Oakland Raiders 45
8:15pm
View Pick