Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#195 Central Michigan (CMU) vs.
#196 Toledo
Saturday, October 1, 2022 at 3:30pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

Central Michigan Chippewas (1-3) vs. Toledo Rockets (2-2)

Week 5 of the 2022 college football season goes on Saturday, October 1, with the Mid-American Conference showdown from Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio, so we bring you the best Central Michigan vs. Toledo betting pick and odds. 

The Chippewas aim for their second straight victory over the Rockets. Last year, Central Michigan outlasted Toledo 26-23 as a 5-point home dog. The Chippewas are 7-point road underdogs this time around, while the Rockets are -275 money line favorites with a total of 56.5 points.

Central Michigan hopes to stop a two-game road slide

The Central Michigan Chippewas are coming off a 33-14 defeat at the No. 14 Penn State Nittany Lions in Week 4. They covered a huge 28-point spread but couldn’t avoid their second straight defeat away from home. The Chippewas lost the turnover battle 4-0, and sophomore QB Daniel Richardson went just 26-of-45 for 235 yards and a couple of touchdowns and interceptions before exiting with a shoulder injury. Freshman Jase Bauer completed three of his seven passing attempts for 40 yards in relief. 

"I'm proud of the way our team fought," Central Michigan head coach Jim McElwain said. "I thought the guys never quit. That team on the other side knew what the Chippewas were all about toward the end of that game and that's something that makes me proud." 

Through the first four weeks, Daniel Richardson has thrown for 1,124 yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions. Senior wideout Carlos Carriere and junior tight end Joel Wilson have combined for 479 yards and four touchdowns, while sophomore RB Lew Nichols leads the backfield with 84 carries for 325 yards and five touchdowns. 

The Chips are racking up 144.5 rushing yards per game (84th in the nation) and 4.3 yards per rush (tied-73rd). They are yielding 32.3 points per game (103rd) on 283.3 passing yards (116th) and 118.8 rushing yards (47th). CMU is surrendering just 3.4 yards per carry (tied-42nd).

Toledo dropped two straight games, shoots for its fourth straight home W

After suffering a heavy 77-21 defeat at the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes in Week 3, the Toledo Rockets lost 17-14 at the San Diego State Aztecs this past Saturday. Playing as small 2.5-point road favorites, the Rockets overcame a ten-point deficit from halftime just to see the Aztecs score a winning TD with 41 seconds left on the clock in the fourth quarter. 

“They made a couple more plays than we did to win it,” Toledo head coach Jason Candle said. “But we will just have to get back to work next week. We put a major emphasis on finishing after losing some close games last year. It’s painful. You have to be resilient and keep battling and coming back.” 

Sophomore signal-caller Dequan Finn missed three possessions due to an ankle injury, finishing 21-of-34 for 240 yards, a TD, and three interceptions. The Rockets outgained the Aztecs 376-282 in total yards but mistakes cost them a victory. Also, Toledo couldn’t contain the Aztecs’ ground game, surrendering 6.6 yards per rush. 

Finn now has 781 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions on his season tally. He’s also recorded 37 totes for 252 yards and five scores, leading his team in rushing yards. The Rockets are tallying 31.8 points per game (64th in the country) while rushing for 4.7 yards per carry (tied-47th). They are yielding 26.0 points per contest (tied-76th) on 165.8 passing yards (tied-15th) and 186.8 rushing yards (112th).  

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Daniel Richardson is questionable to play, and the Chippewas will be in trouble if their starting quarterback hits the sidelines. Jase Bauer lacks experience, though he’s carried the pigskin nine times for 55 yards and a couple of scores in his two career appearances. Central Michigan will have to lean on its ground game, and the Rockets will be ready after a huge struggle against the run-heavy San Diego State team. 

The Chippewas’ run D has done a good job so far this season and will contain Dequan Finn and Toledo’s rushing. The Rockets will exploit CMU’s secondary, so I’m backing them to cover a 7-point spread. The Chippewas are allowing the eighth-most passing attempts per game (39.5). 

Prediction: Toledo Rockets -7.0 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both teams will have a tall task to move the chains in this matchup. Daniel Richardson’s status is an X-factor once more, and I’m expecting a proper defensive battle if he sits out. The Chippewas will run as much as possible, so give me the under on the totals. 

Six of the last seven encounters between Central Michigan and Toledo have gone under the total including the previous three. Only one of those seven contests has produced more than 56 points in total. 

Prediction: Go under 56.5 points (-110)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.