Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#193 Georgia vs.
#194 Missouri
Saturday, October 1, 2022 at 7:30pm EDT
Written by The Dominator

Saturday afternoon on the college gridiron and we will see a pair of teams from the South Eastern Conference square off as the Georgia Bulldogs pay a visit to Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Missouri to rumble with the Missouri Tigers. The 4-0 Bulldogs had a tougher than expected time in their last game as they beat Kent State by just a 39-22 score. Missouri blew a game against Auburn as they fell by a score of 17-14, to drop to 2-2 on the year.

 

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Georgia Has Tough Time With Kent State

The Georgia Bulldogs are the top-ranked team in the nation, but they didn't play like it this past weekend. Georgia just took on Kent State at home and they were favored by 45 points in the contest but won by just 17. Georgia led just 26-13 at the break and they were never able to pull away in the second half winning the game just 39-22. That was after they outscored their first three opponents by a combined 130-10.

Georgia piled up 529 yards of total offense against Kent State and they were very balanced in doing so. The Dawgs had 257 yards rushing and 272 yards passing. Stetson Bennett did through for 272 yards but he also had one INT and no Tds in the contest and that was against a MAC defense. He has thrown for 1224 yards with five TDs and one INT on the year while also rushing for 44 yards and four TDs so far. The Bulldogs have a solid ground game and leading the way against Kent State was Brock Bowers, who ran for 77 yards and two TDs, while Daijun Edwards chipped in with 73 yards. Georgia is 8th in the nation in passing and 50th in rushing, which is a bit odd as they are usually led by their ground game.

The defense had allowed 10 points through their first three games, but Kent State does have a good offense and they scored 22 points on this defense. The Golden Flashes put up just 281 yards in the contest but were still able to score 22 points. Georgia now ranks 11th in total defense, 21st in pass defense, 16th in run defense, and 5th in points allowed, giving up just 8.0 ppg so far. yes, they still have one of the best defenses in the nation and it will only get better as the season goes on. They will not be facing a great offense in this one.

Missouri Falls Short Against Auburn

How many times have we seen a player drop the ball right before he crosses the goal line? Well, that happened in Missouri's game against Auburn and it cost them a win. the Tigers took the lead 17-154 in OT but Missouri had a shot to win the game when the fumble occurred and it ended up being a very tough loss for them. Still, it was an encouraging effort for the Tigers, but duplicating that effort will not be easy against the Bulldogs in this one. Missouri is now 2-2 overall, but 0-2 against Power Five teams.

The Tigers have been inconsistent on offense this year, scoring a total of 26 points in their two losses, compared to putting up 86 points in their two wins. that could be bad news for the Tigers as they are about to face one of the best defenses in the nation in this one. Missouri had just 312 yards of total offense against Auburn, but they did run for 133 yards on them. That will not happen here as the Bulldogs have been stout against the run over the past few years. Missouri is 43rd in the nation in rushing, compared to 96th in passing. Brady Cook threw for just 179 yards with no TDs and an INT against Auburn and he must be far better than that in this one. He has thrown for 800 yards with four TDs and four INTs on the year.

The Missouri defense played well against Auburn, holding them to just 217 yards of total offense. They have now allowed just 17 ppg in their last two games, compared to giving up 32 ppg in their first two games. This game will not be easy for them as the Bulldogs have a very potent offense. Missouri is 21st in total yards allowed, 34th against the pass, 34th against the run and 68th in points allowed, giving up 24.5 ppg.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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It's not often that you will see a team play angry after a win, but that's exactly what I am expecting in this one from the Bulldogs. They were 45-point favorites against a MAC team last week and won by just 17 points. Georgia still hung up over 500 yards in the game and remember, this is the same team that beat Oregon 49-3 to start the year. Missouri has averaged just 13 ppg in their two losses and the Dawgs have to be a bit upset after allowing 22 points to Kent State. there is no way this weak Missouri offense puts up enough points to cover the big spread. Lastly, Georgia is 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS loss while Missouri is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight-up loss.

Prediction: Georgia -28.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Georgia will get their fair share of points in this one, but the feeling here is that Missouri will not score in double digits in this one and that will keep this game from going Over the total. Missouri struggled on offense last week and they have now averaged just 13 pg in their two losses this year. Georgia has one of the best defenses in the land and they are not happy about allowing 22 points last week, after giving up just 10 points through their first three games. I can almost see Missouri getting shutout in this one. This has the feel of a 42-3 Georgia win. Lastly, the Under is 7-2 in Georgia's last 9 conference games and 14-3 in Missouri's last 17 games following an ATS win.

Prediction: Under 54.5
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Written By David Hess , "The Dominator"

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought-out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.