Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#161 Massachusetts (UMASS) vs.
#162 Eastern Michigan (EMU)
Saturday, October 1, 2022 at 2:00pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

UMass Minutemen (1-3) vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles (2-2)

The Minutemen meet the Eagles for the second straight season, so we bring you the best UMass vs. Eastern Michigan betting pick and odds for Saturday, October 1, when Week 5 of the 2022 college football season continues with the non-conference showdown from Rynearson Stadium in Ypsilanti, Michigan.   

Last year, the Eagles outlasted the Minutemen 42-28 as 22-point road favorites. Eastern Michigan is a 19.5-point home fave this time around, while the totals are listed at 53.5 points.

The Minutemen just got blanked by Temple

The UMass Minutemen fell to 1-3 straight up and ATS on the season following a 28-0 defeat at the Temple Owls in Week 4. Seven days after beating the Stony Brook Seawolves 20-3 as slim 1-point favorites, the Minutemen couldn’t cover a 10-point spread at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. They forced four turnovers and still failed to put some points on the scoreboard. 

"You can't get frustrated when you don't score. You have to keep playing the game," UMass head coach Don Brown said. "Unfortunately for us, I think there was some frustration. You can't get frustrated when things don't go your way. You just have to stay in the foxhole, keep playing and keep competing. If you do that then things will eventually go your way." 

Junior QB Gino Campiotti went 7-of-14 for a paltry 36 yards and an interception this past Saturday. Campiotti now has 165 passing yards, a TD, and four interceptions in 2022. He’s also rushed 54 times for 242 yards and a touchdown so far this season. 

The Minutemen lean on their ground game, averaging 185.8 rushing yards per game. Senior RB Ellis Merriweather leads the way with 219 yards on 56 carries, while sophomore RB Tim Baldwin Jr. has 165 yards on 33 totes. On the other side of the ball, the Minutemen are yielding 32.0 points per game (tied-101st in the country) on 190.5 passing yards (33rd) and 166.0 rushing yards (97th). 

The Eagles allowed a 50 burger in Week 4

The Eastern Michigan Eagles suffered a heavy 50-31 home loss to the Buffalo Bulls in Week 4, falling to 2-2 straight up and 1-3 ATS on the season. They were listed as 6.5-point home favorites, but the Eagles couldn’t score in the last 25 minutes, allowing 20 unanswered points to their rivals. Eastern Michigan racked up 327 total yards and yielded 498 in a return, while the Bulls posted a thumping 29 first downs and held the ball in possession for nearly 39 minutes. 

The Eagles failed to link a couple of strong outings. Back in Week 3, they stunned the Arizona State Sun Devils 30-21 as 20.5-point road underdogs. The Eagles lost senior QB Taylor Powell due to a shoulder injury, so senior RB Samson Evans led the charge for EMU with a whopping 258 rushing yards and a TD.  

“Samson’s the real deal, he runs really hard. We really believe in him,” Eastern Michigan coach Chris Creighton said. “We didn’t run the ball particularly well in the first couple of weeks and I think our guys wanted to prove that we can.”  

Powell missed the Buffalo game, while Evans had just 52 yards on 15 carries. Sophomore signal-caller Austin Smith got the starting call and went 12-of-19 for 190 yards, a TD, and an interception while carrying the pigskin 12 times for 74 yards and a touchdown. Powell is questionable to play Saturday against the Minutemen, so Smith might get another start under center. 

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Even if Taylor Powell sits out his second straight contest, the Eagles’ offense will be too much for the Minutemen. UMass’ run defense has struggled thus far and will have another mountain to climb in Week 5. The Eagles are tallying 4.4 yards per carry, so I’m backing the hosts to win and cover. 

On the other side of the ball, EMU’s defense will look to bounce back from a shocking display against the Buffalo Bulls. UMass’ offense is one-dimensional and will struggle to keep pace with the Eagles. The Minutemen are 2-8 ATS in their last ten games overall and 1-9 ATS in their previous ten outings on the road, while the Eagles have covered the spread in four of their last six home contests played on Saturday.

Prediction: Eastern Michigan Eagles -19.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Eagles scored 31 points in Week 4 despite missing their starting quarterback. They’ve hit a 30-point mark in three of their first four showings in 2022, and I’m expecting another strong performance when the Eagles meet the slumping Minutemen, who just allowed 28 points to the defensive-minded Temple team. 

I’m also looking for UMass to add to the scoreboard on the back of their rushing. The Eagles are far away from an elite defensive team, and the over is 4-1 in their last five games. Also, the Eagles’ last eight meetings with the FBS Independents have gone over the total, and the over is 6-1 in Massachusetts’ previous seven encounters with the Mid-American Conference. 

Prediction: Go over 53.5 points (-110)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.