Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#163 Oregon State vs.
#164 Utah
Saturday, October 1, 2022 at 2:00pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

Oregon State Beavers (3-1) vs. Utah Utes (3-1)

The 2022 college football season goes on Saturday, October 1, with Week 5 matchups around the country, including the Pac-12 Conference showdown from Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City where Utah hosts Oregon State.  

The Beavers beat the Utes 42-34 as 3-point home dogs in 2021 to stop their five-game losing streak against Utah. Oregon State is a 10.5-point road underdog this time around, while the Utes are listed as -350 money line favorites with a total of 54.5 points.

The Beavers nearly upset the Trojans in Week 4

The Oregon State Beavers missed a big chance to stun the No. 7 USC Trojans this past Saturday and put an end to their three-game winning streak. Playing as 5.5-point home underdogs, the Beavers suffered a 17-14 defeat. They blew a four-point lead down the stretch, allowing the Trojans to score a touchdown with 1:13 left on the clock in the fourth quarter. Junior QB Chance Nolan had a bad day at the office and finished 17-of-29 for 167 yards and a thumping four interceptions. 

"I thought they played with a lot of energy and desire throughout this game," Oregon State head coach Jonathan Smith said about his team. "Credit those guys in the other locker room to finish the game.” 

The Beavers posted 31 rushing attempts for 153 yards in Week 4, and sophomore RB Jam Griffin led the charge with 12 carries for 84 yards and a TD. Now, the Beavers are averaging 180.8 rushing yards per contest, while Chance Nolan has thrown for 913 yards, seven touchdowns, and six interceptions. 

Junior RB Deshaun Fenwick has 233 rushing yards and four touchdowns on his season tally. Fenwick accounted for 29 yards and a TD in that heartbreaking loss to USC. On the defensive side of things, the Beavers are yielding 23.5 points per game (tied-63rd in the nation) on 206.5 passing yards (51st) and 150.8 rushing yards (79th).

The Utes shoot for their fourth straight W

The No. 12 Utah Utes are riding a three-game winning streak following a 34-13 road victory over the Arizona State Sun Devils in Week 4. They had no problems covering a 17-point spread, outgaining the Sun Devils 465-267 in total yardage and winning the turnover battle 3-1. Junior QB Cameron Rising went 19-of-29 for 260 yards, a couple of touchdowns, and an interception, while junior RB Tavion Thomas notched 11 totes for 60 yards. 

“We handled our business down in Tempe. I thought we played well, both offensively and defensively. Special teams were so-so. In particular, on defense we played well, and in particular against the run. That really was the difference in the game, they couldn't get anything going running the football,” Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham said. “Offensively, I thought we were balanced, did a nice job mixing things up, had some big plays. 

The Utes lost senior tight end Brant Kuithe in Week 4, as he suffered a season-ending leg injury. That’s a huge blow for Utah’s offense. Kuithe had 50 catches for 611 yards and six touchdowns in 2021. He’s recorded 206 yards and three scores through the first four weeks of the 2022 CFB season. 

Utah is now scoring 42.0 points per game in 2022 (19th in the country). The Utes are averaging 263.0 passing yards (52nd) and 213.8 rushing yards (23rd). On the other side of the ball, they are surrendering 14.0 points per contest (tied-13th) on 132.8 passing yards (3rd) and 111.3 rushing yards (tied-39th).

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The Utes are arguably a slightly better defensive team than Oregon State, but the Beavers’ offense is well-rounded and will find a way to keep it close. Oregon State just held USC to 17 points and should be able to contain Utah’s dynamic offense, while Chance Nolan can only play better after throwing four picks in Week 4. 

The Beavers have covered the spread in four of their last five meetings with the Utes, and five of their previous seven dates have been decided by eight or fewer points. Both teams have been terrific against the spread of late. Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last six games, while Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in its last five.

Prediction: Oregon State Beavers +10.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I’ve mentioned Oregon State’s strong outing against USC a few times. On the other side, Utah has allowed just 27 points in total over the last three weeks. However, I’m not expecting a low-scoring affair when they meet each other, as both schools can move the chains efficiently. Utah is tallying 5.2 yards per carry, while Oregon State is averaging 4.9 yards per rush. Both teams are dangerous through the air, too, while Utah prefers to set a high tempo right from the kickoff.  

The over is 2-1 in the last three encounters between the Beavers and Utes, and all three games have produced more than 53 points in total.

Prediction: Over 53.5 points (-110)

Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.