Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#217 San Jose State vs.
#218 Wyoming
Saturday, October 1, 2022 at 7:30pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

This Saturday, the (2-1) San Jose State Spartans and the (3-2) Wyoming Cowboys will match up in the fifth week of the 2o22 college football season. Kickoff will be at 7:30 PM EST inside Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium. The Spartans and the Cowboys have both been up and down to start this season, as they will both be looking to start fast in this game.

The San Jose State Spartans are coming into this one after taking down Western Michigan, 34-6. Their defense looked incredible, as they made it very difficult for their opponents to move the ball. They will need to carry that momentum over into this game if they want to have a chance against the Cowboys on the road.

The Wyoming Cowboys are entering this one after falling to BYU, 38-24. Wyoming's offense struggled to consistently move the ball and their defense had a difficult time against the pass. Their secondary will have to be better in this one if they want to defend their home field.

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Can San Jose State Stay Hot?

The San Jose Spartans were able to score 34 points against Western Michigan last week, as they showed that they could consistently move the ball up and down the field. They are also averaging 23.7 points per game and 338 total yards of offense. This is the 101st most points scored per game and the 104th most yards. I would recommend watching for Chevan Cordeiro, as the Junior quarterback has been slinging the ball to start this season. He has only thrown three touchdown passes this season, though. The Spartans are averaging 261 passing yards per game, which is the 54th most in the country. Justin Lockhart has been the leading receiver for the Spartans this season, as he has already recorded 192 yards and 10 receptions. San Jose State has struggled to consistently move the ball on the ground this season, though. They are only averaging 77 rushing yards per game, which is the 124th most in the country. Kaiser Robinson has been San Jose State's leading rusher, as he has already recorded 140 yards and three touchdowns this season. He is also averaging 4.1 yards per carry.

The San Jose State defense has been the story this season. They held Western Michigan to just six points last week. This season, they are surrendering 15.7 points per game and 324.7 yards. This is the 19th least amount of points allowed per game and the 26th least amount of yards. They have done a great about against the pass, as they are only surrendering 169.7 passing yards per game. Moving the ball through the air against the Spartans has been a challenge. I would watch for Nehemiah Shelton, as the Senior corner has already recorded 10 tackles this season and broken up two passes. San Jose State has also been okay against the run this season. They are allowing 153 rushing yards per game, which is the 83rd most in the nation. This is the weakest part of their team, as they have struggled to tackle in the open field this season.

Can the Cowboys Show Up?

The Wyoming Cowboys have been up and down this season, but their offense has continued to score. They are currently scoring 24 points per game and they are averaging 304.8 total yards. This is the 99th most points scored per game and the 114th most yards. I expect Wyoming to try and lean on their rushing attack, as they are running for 155.6 rushing yards per game. This is the 75th most rushing yards recorded per game, as they will continue to try and run the ball down the Spartan's throat. I would watch for Titus Swen in the backfield, as he has already recorded 394 yards and four touchdowns this season. Swen is also averaging 4.8 yards per carry, as he has been tough to take down. Wyoming is also throwing for 149.2 yards per game, which is the 119th most in the country. They aren't going to throw the ball all over the yard, but Andrew Peasley will control the clock and protect the ball. He has already thrown five touchdown passes and only two interceptions, as he didn't turn the ball over against BYU last week. He will look to get the ball to Joshua Cobbs, as he has already recorded 244 yards and two touchdowns this season. He is also averaging 11.1 yards per reception.

On defense, the Cowboys have been able to hold their own. They are currently giving up 27.4 points per game and 388 total yards. This is the 84th most points given up per game and the 80th most yards. Their front seven has been great to begin the year, as they have been much better against the run. They are only allowing 138.6 rushing yards per game, which is the 67th least in the nation. Easton Gibbs has been flying around the field, as the sophomore linebacker currently leads the team with 35 tackles this season. Wyoming hasn't been as great against the pass, though. The Cowboys are allowing 249.4 passing yards per game, which is the 88th most in the country. Last week, they gave up 337 passing yards, as their secondary continued to get burned. Their secondary will have to show up for this game if they want to slow down the Spartans when they have the ball.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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I will be riding with the home dawg in this one, as I see Wyoming showing up for this game. It isn't easy to play in Wyoming and I see them scoring enough points to keep this game close. The Spartan's defense has been great this season, but they have struggled to stop the run. Now, I see the Cowboys running the ball on the ground and keeping this a low-scoring, tough game. San Jose State is still surrendering 155 rushing yards per game, which is the 83rd most in the country. Wyoming is currently rushing for the 75th most yards per game, as I see Swen having a huge game in this one. He will carry the Cowboys down the field and help them score enough points to keep this game within the spread (+3). Wyoming's defense will also show up in this one, as I don't see them allowing the Spartans to continue to throw the ball around the field. They are allowing the 84th most points per game, but their secondary is allowing the 88th least amount of yards per game. They will force multiple empty possessions, which will allow the Cowboys to keep this game close. San Jose State's offense will be one-dimensional, as they won't be able to run the ball. This will allow the Cowboys to play the pass, which they will be able to shut down at different parts in this game.

Wyoming is better than people expect and their defense will show up in this one. Pick the Wyoming Cowboys and take the points (+3).

Prediction: Wyoming +3

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

I will be betting on both of these teams' defenses in this one, as I don't see a ton of points being scored in this game. I know the total is low, but I still don't see either offense exploding on the scoreboard. San Jose State's defense has continued to show up this season, as they are only allowing 15.7 points per game. They were able to shut down Western Michigan last week and Portland State in week one. They also held Auburn to just 24 points scored, as they will make it very difficult for the Cowboys when they have the ball. I also expect the Cowboys to lean on their rushing attack, as this will keep the clock moving. Now, I also see the Cowboy's defense showing up in this game. They are currently giving up 27.4 points per game, but their average is up after last week's blowout loss to BYU. They will hold the Spartan's offense and make it very difficult for them to throw the ball. Wyoming is currently allowing the 88th least amount of passing yards per game, as their front seven will pressure the Spartans quarterback and force him to struggle. Both of these defenses are going to be the story in this game.

Hammer the under (42.5) points and expect a defensive showdown in this one.

Prediction: Under 42.5
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!