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Texas St vs. UL Lafayette,
10-12-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#107 Texas State
Bobcats
#108 UL Lafayette
Ragin Cajuns

Thursday, October 12, 2017 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Texas State Bobcats

1 - 5

2-4
ATS
3-3
O/U
14
PPG
33
OPPG

UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns

2 - 3

1-3
ATS
4-1
O/U
36
PPG
46
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAF

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NCAAF.

Texas State Bobcats (1-5; 2-4 ATS; 3-3 O/U) vs. UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (2-3; 1-4 ATS; 4-1 O/U)

NCAAF: Thursday, October 12, 2017 at 7:30pm EST

Line: UL Lafayette -14.5

Total: 58

The UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns will clash with the Texas State Bobcats in a Sun Belt battle Thursday night from Cajun Field in Lafayette, LA. The Bobcats are coming off a 45-27 blowout home loss, and the Ragin’ Cajun’s recorded a solid 21-16 road win over Idaho in their previous contest. UL Lafayette notched a 27-3 road win against Texas State last season.

Bobcats Defense Struggles in Fifth Straight Loss

The Texas State Bobcats conceded 20 points in the first quarter in their rough 45-27 home loss to Louisiana Monroe last weekend. Damian Williams was mediocre, converting on 13 of 24 passes for 158 yards with one touchdown and no picks. The senior quarterback has not been able to generate any offense for his team, registering 895 passing yards with a 4:4 TD to INT ratio in six games. They did find some success on the ground last week, rushing for 181 yards as a team. Anthony D. Taylor had his best game of the year, rushing for 102 yards on 15 carries, and also made three grabs for a team-high 52 yards. He has now racked up a team-leading 256 rushing yards on the season. Elijah King made three grabs for 39 yards and leads the Bobcats with 265 receiving yards on the year. The Bobcats offense, especially their passing game has not been able to generate any offense which is a big reason they are 1-5.

The Texas State defense had their worst performance of the season in the loss to UL Monroe last week, allowing 589 total yards which included 433 passing yards. Like their offense, their defense has also not been sharp and it is looking like an uphill battle the rest of the way. The Bobcats have dropped five straight after winning their season opener and are 0-2 in conference play.

Cajuns Defense Shows Improvement in Win vs. Idaho

The UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns played dazzling defense in their 21-16 road win over Idaho last weekend to snap their three-game skid. Andre Nunez got the start in place of the injured Jordan Davis and was solid, connecting on 18 of 24 passes for 213 yards with one touchdown against one interception. The junior quarterback has now tallied 500 passing yards with a 3:1 TD to INT ratio through two games. Jordan Davis should be ready to return to action however they might opt to go with the hot quarterback again in this contest. Ja’Marcus Bradley came through with his best performance of the season, making five catches for 93 yards. The sophomore wide receiver is now third in team receiving with 214 yards. Trey Ragas had another solid night running the rock, amassing 78 yards on 17 carries. The Freshman running back is off to a tremendous start to his collegiate career, accumulating a team-leading 453 yards. The Ragin’ Cajuns offense has been very productive this season, displaying both a strong running and passing game.

The UL Lafayette defense was outstanding in the win over Idaho, holding them to only 279 total yards which included only 149 passing yards. Their defense was struggling coming into that one and needed that performance to instill some confidence into the defensive squad. The Ragin’ Cajuns snapped their three-game losing streak with the win and are now 1-1 in Sun Belt play.

Trends:

The Texas State Bobcats are:

  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against UL Lafayette.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.

The UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns are:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

I am taking UL Lafayette in this matchup. The Texas State offense has been brutal all season, scoring 14 or fewer points in four out of their last five games, plus their defense has also been awful. UL Lafayette features a potent running game that is averaging over 200 rushing yards per game, and their passing game has also been strong, and I don’t see the Bobcats defense stopping them. Texas State has now allowed at least 44 points in there straight games and look for UL Lafayette to score big points in this one.

Pick: UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns -14.5

UL Lafayette has not had a problem scoring points and they are facing a weak defense. The Ragin’ Cajuns strong offensive attack should pile on the points against a team that is in a free-fall defensively, and the over is 4-1 in their last five games overall. In addition, the UL Lafayette defense has struggled in a big way at times this season, so I do expect Texas State to find some offense, and the over is 5-0 in their last five road games against a team with a losing home record.

Pick: Over 58

5

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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