Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#133 Georgia State 66.5 vs.
#134 Coastal Carolina -4.5
Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 5:00pm EDT
Brooks Stadium, Conway
Written by Ricky Dimon

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#133 Georgia State University
#134 Coastal Carolina University
3-2
3-2
2-1-2
3-2
4-1
3-2
36
35
40
25

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The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers will be trying to get back on the winning track when they host the Georgia State Panthers at Brooks Stadium on Saturday evening.

Panthers on the prowl

Georgia State was picked to finish fifth in its own division of the Sun Belt Conference according to the Preseason Coaches Poll, but it looks like that may have been a conservative estimate. The Panthers are off to a 1-1 start in conference play with a win over Arkansas State and a loss only to Texas State in triple-overtime. They also upset SEC representative Tennessee early in the 2019 campaign prior to beating fellow well-respected mid-major program Furman. GSU most recently bounced back from setbacks against Texas State and Western Michigan by beating the Red Wolves 52-38 this past weekend. Senior quarterback Dan Ellington completed 29 of 41 passes for 382 yards and one touchdown without throwing an interception. He also kept it 19 times for 69 rushing yards and an additional score. As a team, the Panthers racked up a ridiculous 340 rushing yards and six touchdowns on 58 carries. Tra Barnett ran for 139 yards, while Destin Coates scored three times.

The Panthers' offense is averaging 36.4 points per game, which ranks third overall in the Sun Belt Conference. They are second in the SBC in total offense at 479.8 yards per contest. Ellington, who earned Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Week honors on Monday, is 104-for-161 with 1,228 yards, 12 touchdowns, and two interceptions. He is also second on the team in rushing with 313 yards to go along with a pair of scores. Barnett has amassed 468 rushing yards and three TDs on 75 attempts. The receiver duo of Cornelius McCoy (29 catches, 372 yards, three TDs) and Sam Pinckney (25 catches, 312 yards, three TDs) provides for a well-rounded and dynamic offense.

Winning streak over

The Chanticleers had won three games in a row before falling at Appalachian State 56-37 on Oct. 28. That leaves at 3-2 overall on the season, with an opening defeat at the hands of Eastern Michigan followed by victories at the expense of Kansas, Norfolk State, and Massachusetts. Against the Mountaineers two weeks ago, Coastal Carolina found itself tied at 21-21 late in the first half before things got away from the visitors.

Despite the recent setback, things have trending upward of late for the Chanticleers' offense. After scoring just 12 points a road upset of Big 12 representative Kansas on Sept. 7 (the fewest points scored in a win in program history), Coastal Carolina has scored a combined 145 points over the last three games (48.3 ppg). On the other side of the ball, Coastal leads the conference this season in total defense, passing yards allowed, first downs allowed, and interceptions. It is second in scoring defense, third in rushing defense, and fourth in third-down conversion percentage allowed. Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina is playing at home for the first time since Sept. 14, when it took care of Norfolk State 46-7. The Chanticleers are 1-1 at home during the 2019 campaign and they sport a 69-28 all-time record (.711 winning percentage) at Brooks Stadium.

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Now in their third year as members of the Sun Belt Conference, the Chanticleers are 4-13 overall in conference play (2-6 in each of their first two seasons). Dating back to last season, Coastal Carolina has lost five straight SBC games. Meanwhile, Georgia State has been a well-oiled offensive machine throughout the first half of this 2019 campaign and its defense has gained confidence over the past two weeks. Texas State scored 37 points but required three overtimes to do so, while Arkansas State scored 38 points but its 421 total yards were relatively modest considering that game was played at an absolute breakneck pace (the Panthers, for example, scored 52 points and gained a laughable 722 yards of total offense).

Prediction: Georgia State Panthers

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This showdown features two of the top rushing teams in the Sun Belt Conference. Georgia State is second in the SBC in rushing with an average of 234.2 rushing yards per contest, which also ranks 17th nationally. Coastal Carolina is third in the Sun Belt and 21st in the nation at 226.8 rushing yards per game. Georgia State's defense is giving up 40.8 points and 479.0 yards per outing. The over is 4-1 in the Panthers' last five overall, 6-2 in their last eight on the road, 7-2 in their last nine against the Sun Belt Conference, 5-1 in their last six against opponents with winning records, and 4-0 in their last four after gaining more than 450 total yards in their previous outing. It is also 5-2 in the Chanticleers' last seven overall and 8-3 in their last 11 against opponents with winning records. Expect this one to go over the total.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Prior to joining the Winners & Whiners Staff, he worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.