Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#137 Iowa State -10 vs.
#138 West Virginia 57
Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 4:00pm EDT
Mountaineer Field, Morgantown
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#137 Iowa State
#138 West Virginia University
3-2
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37
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The West Virginia Mountaineers will host Iowa State Cyclones in Big 12 action Saturday afternoon from Mountaineer Field. The Cyclones registered a big 49-24 home win against TCU last week, and the Mountaineers fell 41-32 to #11 Texas in their previous action. Iowa State posted a 30-14 home win against West Virginia last season.

Iowa State Rebounds with Dominating Win vs. TCU

The Iowa State Cyclones enter this game with a 1-1 BIG 12 record. The Cyclones dropped their conference opener 23-21 to Baylor and they rebounded in a big way by posting a convincing 49-24 home win against TCU last week in a game that had the Cyclones favored by three points. Brock Purdy resumed his outstanding play in the winning effort, notching 247 passing yards with two touchdowns. The sophomore QB is having a terrific season, connecting on 70.8% of his passes for 1578 passing yards and a 10:2 TD to INT ratio.

The Cyclones rushing offense is split between several backs and mobile QB Purdy actually leads his team in rushing with 203 yards. Johnnie Lang is coming off as season-best 72 rushing yards against TCU last week. The sophomore RB is averaging 4.7 yards per attempt for 182 yards.

Iowa State features a few big threats in their receiving core led by Deshaunte Jones and Tarique Milton who have combined for over 800 yards. Jones has accumulated 100 receiving yards in two out of his last three games, and he has 444 receiving yards on the year. He will be matchup up against a strong WVU secondary. The Iowa State offense has been inconsistent and they lean heavily on their passing offense.

The Cyclones defense has been quite consistent this season. They have only conceded a combined 47 points in their two BIG 12 games. ISU’s pass defense can be an issue at times as they rank 75th overall. Iowa State is averaging 37.6 points, good for 21st overall. They are allowing an average of 22.2 points, positioning them 44th in the FBS, and they are 0-1 on the road.

West Virginia Falls to #11 Texas

The West Virginia Mountaineers will look to rebound after their two-game winning streak was snapped in a 42-31 home loss to #11 Texas last week in a clash that had WVU as 10.5 point dogs. Austin Kendall came through with a valiant effort in the defeat, recording 367 passing yards with three touchdowns, although he tossed a season-high four picks. The junior QB is having a mediocre season, racking up 1238 passing yards with a 9:7 TD to INT ratio.

WVU continues to receive limited production on the ground. They rank 120th in rushing yards per game which is something to keep in mind in this game. Kennedy McKoy only recorded 30 rushing yards last week, and he leads his team with 181 rushing yards.

Sam Jones will be targeted frequently in this one by Kendall. The talented freshman WR had made four catches in four of his five games played, and he has collected 329 receiving yards. WVU’s best bet offensively will be in the air against an Iowa State team that will give up passing yards.

The West Virginia defense has been up and down this season. They surrendered 427 yards to the Longhorns last week including 216 rushing yards. Their rush defense has been a weakness, placing down at 97th in the FBS. The Mountaineers are scoring an average of 26.2 points, ranking them 89th overall. They are allowing an average of 28.8 points, pegging them down at 84th in the FBS, and they own a 2-1 home record.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am siding with a strong Iowa State team in this one. Iowa State features a potent passing offense led by the talented Brock Purdy who has connected on over 70% of his passes, and he is difficult to contain. Purdy was able to record 247 passing yards and two touchdowns against a stifling TCU pass defense last week, so I expect another strong performance against a WVU pass defense that has been average.

Furthermore, Iowa State is the much better defensive team in this matchup. They have limited their opposition to 24 or fewer points in four consecutive games. The Mountaineers don’t stand out from an offensive standpoint. They rank 120th in rushing yards and their passing offense is mediocre as they are only averaging 248 passing yards per game. Iowa State was ranked in the Top 25 earlier this season, and they have the talent and depth to walk away with a convincing road win. Also, consider Brock Purdy led the Cyclones to a 30-14 win against West Virginia last year.

Prediction: Iowa State Cyclones

Full-Game Total Pick

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I am going with the over in this clash. Iowa State should have no problem generating significant offense. Last week they accumulated 49 points against a TCU defense that is among the best in the BIG 12, and West Virginia is not nearly as strong defensively as TCU.

In addition, West Virginia was able to score 31 points against a ranked Texas squad in their latest action, and  44 points against NC State in week three, so I expect a decent offensive performance from QB Austin Kendall. The over is 5-1 in WVU’s last six home games against a team with a winning road record, and 7-0 in their last seven conference games.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Iowa State team total is a solid option. Brock Purdy is in beast mode, sporting a 7:2 TD to INT along with five rushing TD’s in his last three games. I also anticipate success on the ground against a WVU defense squandering an average of 183 rushing yards per game. The Cyclones rushed for 189 yards against a TCU rush defense that ranks 22nd in the country so they should exploit the Mountaineers on the ground as well.

Prediction: Iowa State Team Total Over

Half-Time Prop Prediction

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I am selecting Iowa State on the first quarter line. Iowa State has silenced their opposition in the opening quarter this season. They have not allowed a single point in the first quarter in three consecutive games, and an average of only 0.8 points in the opening quarter on the season. Also, the Cyclones are averaging a solid seven points in the first quarter.

Prediction: First Quarter Line Iowa State
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.