Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#157 Mississippi St -6 vs.
#158 Tennessee 51.5
Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 12:00pm EDT
Written by Scott Reichel



#157 Mississippi State University
#158 University of Tennessee


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Week seven of college football continues as Mississippi State travels to Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee on Saturday, Oct. 12 at 12:00 P.M. This will be the 46th meeting between these teams. This will be the first meeting since 2012 when the Bulldogs beat the Volunteers at home by a score of 41-31.

Mississippi State Looks For A Win Following Bye Week

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look for a bounce back road victory following a blowout loss to Auburn in its last game. After falling behind by 21 points in the first quarter, Mississippi State pretty much mailed it in as it ended up losing by 33 points. However, that was against a ranked opponent and it had a lot of time to reflect on that terrible performance leading up to this game. Specifically, Mississippi State did not play last week so it had extra time to prepare for this matchup against Tennessee. However, giving up 56 points in a game is unacceptable regardless of opponent so Mississippi State's defense will have a lot to prove on Saturday.

Leading the Bulldogs offensively is junior running back Kylin Hillwho has been great this season. Specifically, he already has 596 rushing yards along with five rushing touchdowns. His performance has been even better when one factors in the question marks at starting quarterback that the Bulldogs have dealt with as they have needed to rely even more on the running game. Look for Hill to have another great game on Saturday.

Mississippi State's biggest threat on defense is senior safety Brian Cole IIwho has been solid through the first five games. So far this season, he is leading the team with two sacks. In addition, he also has one forced fumble and one fumble recovery so he is definitely not afraid of contact with opposing players. With a freshman quarterback up next, look for him to make his presence known on Saturday.

Tennessee Looks For First SEC Win Of 2019

The Tennessee Volunteers will look for their first conference win of the season following a blowout loss to Georgia in its last game. In that game, Tennessee actually started out strong but got outscored by 17 points in the second half as the game quickly got out of reach. Now, Tennessee is 0-2 in conference play and is just 1-4 overall so this game is extremely important if the Volunteers plan on saving their season. However, Tennessee is a home underdog once again on Saturday so one has to wonder just how likely it is for it to win this game. Tennessee's football program appears to be in the midst of a rock bottom and a victory on Saturday could easily change that.

Leading the Volunteers offensively is junior running back Ty Chandlerwho has been pretty good this season. Specifically, he already has 320 rushing yards along with two rushing touchdowns. In addition, he is also averaging 5.4 yards per carry so he has definitely made the most of his touches in 2019. With a very young quarterback now under center, look for Tennessee to lean a lot on Chandler to carry the offensive load.

Tennessee's biggest threat on defense is junior defensive lineman LaTrell Bumphuswho has been decent through the first five games. So far this season, he has two sacks which is tied for the team-high. In addition, he also has one fumble recovery so he has made some big plays in the backfield on numerous occasions. However, he only has 11 tackles so he has not made enough of an impact on a regular basis.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Even though Tennessee is at home for this game, Mississippi State is the better team and I think that it will show on Saturday. Plus, Tennessee switched to a freshman quarterback in its last game so I have to question just how quickly he will be able to adjust to the speed of college football. Mississippi State is also coming off added preparation time due to a bye week so I think it will be well rested for this game. Give me the road team as a result.

Prediction: Mississippi State -7

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Simply put, I am not sold on either team's defense so I will take the over. Tennessee has given up at least 29 points in four of its five games this season while Mississippi State has allowed at least 31 points in two of its last three games. Plus, both teams possess decent enough offenses to score at least 27 points each in this game. Give me the over as a result.

Prediction: Over 53

Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.