Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#143 ODU 44.5 vs.
#144 Marshall -15.5
Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 2:30pm EDT
Joan C.Edwards Stadium, Huntington
Written by Chris Kubala

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#143 Old Dominion University
#144 Marshall University
1-4
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16
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It’s a battle of teams from the East Division of Conference USA in the Mountaineer State. The Old Dominion Monarchs are on the road as they make the trip to face the Marshall Thundering Herd Saturday afternoon. Old Dominion suffered a 20-3 defeat at home to Western Kentucky in their conference opener last Saturday. Marshall was defeated 24-13 on the road by Middle Tennessee on the road last Saturday in their previous contest. The Thundering Herd owns a 4-1 series lead between the teams and has won the last two matchups: that includes a 42-20 road win in the last matchup on October 13, 2018.

Old Dominion Monarchs Try to Stop Slide

Old Dominion suffered their fourth straight loss as they were shut down at home by Western Kentucky. The Monarchs hope to avoid a fifth straight loss and even their conference record with a triumph here. Old Dominion took a 3-0 lead in the early seconds of the second quarter but never scored again in the contest. The Monarchs were held in check offensively, getting outgained 320-163, gave up 21 first downs while picking up 11 and lost the time of possession battle 33:23 to 26:37 in the contest. That negated the fact that Old Dominion forced two turnovers while committing only one.

The Monarchs are 116th in the nation in passing offense with 159.4 yards per game this season while the team ranks 115th in rushing offense with 109 yards per contest. Old Dominion is just 125th in the FBS in scoring offense with 16.4 points per game while they are 56th in scoring defense by allowing 24.8 points per contest. Stone Smartt is 81 of 137 passing for 797 yards with one touchdown and five interceptions while ranking third in rushing with 157 yards and five scores. Steven Williams is zero for one with an interception this season through the air. Lala Davis leads the team with 32 carries for 161 yards plus a score while Kesean Strong (40 carries, 159 yards, two TD) is the second back in the system. Strong leads the team with 18 receptions for 133 yards this season while Williams is next in line with nine catches for 86 yards. Nick Rice has hit all eight extra point attempts and six of eight field goal tries with a long of 39 this season.

Marshall Thundering Herd Looking to Get Back to .500

Marshall dropped their conference opener and lost for the third time in four games as they fell to Middle Tennessee. The Thundering Herd now looks to get back to the .500 mark overall and in conference play with a win here. Marshall racked up a solid 578-401 advantage in total offense, picked up 27 first downs while allowing 21 and controlled the clock by a 33:47 to 26:13 margin in the contest yet still came up with the loss. The Thundering Herd self-destructed as they committed four turnovers in the game while failing to generate a takeaway. Marshall also turned the ball over twice on downs inside the Middle Tennessee 25-yard line.

The Thundering Herd is 83rd in the nation in passing offense as they average 221.8 yards per game and 36th in rushing with an average of 205.6 yards per contest. Marshall is 95th in the FBS in scoring offense as they put up 24.6 points per game and sit in the middle of the pack in scoring defense as they are 71st by allowing 27.6 points per contest. Isaiah Green is 80 of 142 passing for 996 yards with seven touchdowns and five interceptions while ranking second on the team with 185 rushing yards. Alex Thomson is six of seven for 102 yards plus a score while Jackson White completed both his passes for 11 yards. Brenden Knox leads the ground game for Marshall with 71 carries for 395 yards plus four scores while Sheldon Evans is next in line with 32 carries for 180 yards and a score. Tight end Xavier Gaines leads the team with 14 receptions for 135 yards plus two scores. Armani Levias (13 receptions, 164 yards, TD) and Corey Gammage (10 catches, 150 yards, TD) are next in line. Justin Rohrwasser is 15 of 16 on extra points and has hit all four field goal attempts with a long of 38 this season.

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Old Dominion failed to do much of anything offensively last week against Western Kentucky and that contest came at home. The Monarchs aren’t a great road team by any stretch but they have been solid against the run this season. That matchup, the Old Dominion run defense against Marshall’s run offense, is going to be a big factor in this contest. The Monarchs have allowed only 2.9 yards per carry and a shade over 100 yards per contest on the ground. Still, after seeing Gaej Walker go over the century mark for the Hilltoppers against the Monarchs last week, you have to think that Marshall can do enough offensively to prevail at home.

 

 

Prediction: Marshall Thundering Herd -15

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Old Dominion has sputtered offensively this season as the change from Steven Williams to Smartt at quarterback hasn't really paid dividends at this point of the season. The Monarchs are in the bottom 20 in the FBS in passing offense, rushing offense and scoring offense this season. Old Dominion has put up no more than 24 points in a game this season and they've been held to 17 points or less in three of their last four games. Marshall has been up and down: they have 89 points in their two wins but only 34 points in their three losses. Can the Thundering Herd get their offense going and rumble through the Monarchs?

The under is 6-0 in the Monarchs' last 6 games overall, 4-0 in their last 4 games on fieldturf, 4-0 in their last 4 games following a straight up loss and 5-0 in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Marshall has seen the under go 9-3 in their last 12 games in October. The teams have stayed under the total in four of their last five meetings: look for that trend to continue here as the Monarchs struggle to get their offense going again.

Prediction: Under 45
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.