These two teams enter this game heading in polar opposite directions. Toledo hasn’t lost a contest since the team’s season-opening defeat on the road versus Kentucky and they’ve riled off back-to-back wins over a pair of tough teams in BYU and Western Michigan. On the other hand, Bowling Green enters riding a four-game losing streak during which they’ve been outscored 201 to 27. Can the Falcons get back on track against a Toledo team playing with a ton of confidence?
Toledo hopes to extend streak in I-75 rivalry gameThe Rockets enter their second conference contest favored by nearly four touchdowns (-26.5), which bodes well for their chances in this game. The Rockets come into this year’s I-75 rivalry game with Bowling Green searching for their 10th straight win over the Falcons. They’ve won nine straight in the series, with the last Falcons victory coming in 2009.
Toledo improved to 4-1 and 1-0 in MAC Conference play with a 31-24 victory over Western Michigan last week. Quarterback Mitchell Guadagni passed for 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while adding two more scores on the ground to help the Rockets push their current winning streak to four games. Sophomore running back Bryant Koback rushed for a team-high 177 yards on the day and leads the team in rushing with 628 yards and seven total touchdowns. He could be poised for another big game this week against a run defense that has allowed an average of 304 rushing yards per game over their last two contests. Bowling Green’s run defense has allowed 223.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 122nd of 130 FBS teams.
Toledo has shown some promise on defense this year, allowing 23.6 points per game and 464.4 yards of total offense per contest. They’ve been particularly vulnerable through the air, where they are surrendering a whopping 301.2 passing yards per game this season. However, the Rockets have been more of a bend-but-don’t-break defense this year, as they lead the conference in scoring defense, but are last in total yardage.
Bowling Green bottoms out vs. Notre DameBowling Green’s latest performance has them locked into ESPN’s Bottom 10 football programs in the country. The Falcons lost 52-0 versus No.9-ranked Notre Dame last week, pushing their current losing streak to four games. During that span, Bowling Green has been outscored by an average of 43.5 points per game and they’ve scored more than one touchdown just once, which came in a 62-20 drubbing against Kent State.
It is hard to find positives for the Falcons during the streak, especially after the team just gave up 572 yards of total offense to Notre Dame. Through that number pales in comparison to the 750 yards of offense that they gave up to Kent State the week prior. As you might have noticed, the defense has been a major problem for the Falcons this season. Bowling Green has given up 40.8 points and 473.4 yards of total offense per game, including 223.2 yards per game on the ground. Stopping the run is going to be a major focal point this weekend against a Rockets’ offense averaging 264.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 10th in the country.
The Falcons haven’t been much better on the offensive side of the ball during the streak either. They’ve scored just 27 points over their last four games (6.8 points per game), which prompted a change at quarterback in last week’s loss to the Fighting Irish. Starter Darius Wade was pulled from the game despite completing his only two passes, giving way to backup Grant Loy, who finished 13-of-25 for 106 yards and one interception on the day. Loy provided a spark off the bench in the team’s 62-20 loss to Kent State a few weeks ago, throwing his first touchdown pass of the season. Wade started the first five games of the year, but there have been no official announcements regarding who will start this week’s game versus Toledo.
- Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Rockets are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Falcons are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games.
- Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.