Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#173 UConn vs.
#174 Tulane
Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 3:45pm EDT
Yulman Stadium, New Orleans
Written by Chris Kubala

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#173 University of Connecticut
#174 Tulane University
1-4
4-1
2-3
4-1
2-3
3-2
18
37
38
21

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It’s a crossover matchup in the American Athletic Conference coming to you live from the Big Easy. The Connecticut Huskies are on the road as they make the trip to face the Tulane Green Wave Saturday afternoon. Connecticut was drubbed 48-22 at home by South Florida in their previous contest last Saturday. Tulane went on the road and picked up an impressive 42-33 victory over Army in their previous contest last Saturday. The Green Wave owns a 2-1 edge in the all-time series, including a 38-13 road win in the last matchup on November 26, 2016.

Connecticut Huskies Hoping to Get Back on Track

Connecticut suffered their fourth straight loss as they were trampled by South Florida at home last week. The Huskies now hope that they can pick up the victory in conference play to get back on track. Connecticut never led and couldn’t get closer than seven points after falling behind 14-0 in the game. The Huskies were outgained 503-293 and gave up 25 first downs while picking up 18 in the contest. Connecticut did own a 33:21 to 26:39 edge in time of possession and forced two turnovers while committing only one yet was still blown out.

The Huskies are 99th in the nation in passing offense as they average 203.4 yards per game and tied for 120th in rushing offense with 104.8 yards per contest. Connecticut is only 118th in the FBS by averaging 18.6 points per game and are 122nd in scoring defense as they allow 38.8 points per contest. Jack Zergiotis is 36 of 62 passing for 373 yards with no touchdowns and four interceptions this season. Mike Beaudry is 32 of 50 for 367 yards with one touchdown and one interception while Steven Krajewski is 23 of 35 for 277 yards with three touchdowns and one interception on the year. Kevin Mensah is the team’s leading ground gainer with 104 carries for 398 yards and four scores. Art Thompkins is next in line with 44 carries for 162 yards and a touchdown. Cameron Ross leads the team with 20 receptions for 274 yards and a touchdown. Ardell Brown (15 catches, 161 yards, TD) and Thompkins (15 grabs, 111 yards) are the next options in the passing game. Clayton Harris has hit all 10 extra points and five of eight field goal attempts with a long of 41 this season.

Tulane Green Wave Looks to Keep Rolling

Tulane won their third straight game as they snapped Army’s 15-game home win streak last week. The Green Wave now returns to conference play as they try to make it four straight victories. Tulane trailed 7-0, led 21-7 and was tied at 21 before reeling off 21 unanswered points to take a 42-21 lead with 5:46 to go: they managed to hold on for the win after giving up two late scores. The Green Wave held a 525-363 edge in total offense, racked up 28 first downs while allowing 21 and controlled the clock by a 31:07 to 28:53 margin. Tulane did turn the ball over twice, including a fumble that was returned for a score, while committing only one turnover.

The Green Wave enters this contest 112th in the nation in passing offense with 185.4 yards per contest and 6th in rushing by picking up 283.4 yards per game. Tulane is 23rd in the FBS in scoring offense by averaging 37.2 points per contest and 43rd in scoring defense by allowing 21.6 points per game. Justin McMillan is 59 of 108 passing for 811 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions while adding 264 yards on the ground this season. Keon Howard is five of seven for 116 yards plus a score on the year. Darius Bradwell leads the team with 66 carries for 325 yards and a touchdown this season. Corey Dauphine has 28 carries for 277 yards plus three scores while Amare Jones contributes 28 carries for 202 yards and four touchdowns. Darnell Mooney (15 receptions, 255 yards, two TD) is the team’s top target in the passing game. Jones (15 grabs, 186 yards, TD) and Jalen McCleskey (13 catches, 190 yards, two TD) are solid receiving options. Merek Glover has hit all 22 extra point attempts and four of four field goal tries with a long of 44 this season. Randy Harvey is two of three on extra points and hasn’t attempted a field goal this season.

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Connecticut has struggled this season and they have been scorched defensively. The Huskies have given up at least 31 points in each of their four losses and have allowed 104 points in their last two games. Tulane is a dangerous team on the ground as they are averaging 6.1 yards per carry with 17 scores this season. That doesn’t bode well for Connecticut, who has given up 191.4 yards per game on the ground, 5.5 yards per carry and nine touchdowns in the run game this season. Give the Green Wave the nod as they improve to 5-1.

Prediction: Tulane Green Wave -34

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Connecticut continues to find ways to look abysmal on a weekly basis, yet Randy Edsall keeps collecting bonus checks. The Huskies have given up 104 points in their last two games and a total of 175 points in their four-game skid. Playing three quarterbacks already is cause for concern and the run game has suffered due to the musical chairs under center. Tulane has hung at least 38 points in each of their victories and is riding the momentum of snapping Army's 15-game home win streak last week. Can the Green Wave take advantage of the Huskies' weak defense?

The over is 6-1 in the Huskies' last 7 conference games, 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 5-2 in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Tulane is 5-1 in their last 6 games on fieldturf, 5-2 in their last 7 games overall and 7-3 in their last 10 games in October. Connecticut has been lit up defensively on a regular basis and Tulane has been effective at putting points on the board. Look for the Green Wave to wash over the Huskies and push things over the total.

Prediction: Over 59.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.