Upcoming Free Picks

Troy vs. Liberty,
10-13-2018 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAF games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#151 Troy
Trojans -9.5
#152 Liberty
Flames 66.5

Saturday, October 13, 2018 at 2:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Troy Trojans

5 - 1

4-1
ATS
5-1
O/U
36
PPG
24
OPPG

Liberty Flames

2 - 3

2-3
ATS
3-2
O/U
33
PPG
37
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAF

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NCAAF.

The Troy Trojans will be trying to extend their winning streak to six games when they visit the Liberty Flames at Williams Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Troy most recently defeated Georgia State last Thursday, improving to 5-1 for the season. The Flames are 1-3 in their last four contests following a loss at New Mexico State.

Next man up

Troy is off to a strong start this season, but its 37-20 victory over Georgia State this past week came at a price. Head coach Neal Brown broke the next shortly thereafter.

“The win came with a cost; (quarterback) Kaleb Barker tore his ACL,” Brown announced. “He will be out the remainder of the season. I hate if for him because I think his first quarter on Thursday night was probably…and we’ve had a bunch of good quarterbacks…but I think that’s probably as good as any quarterback has played in my eight years here.”

Barker racked up 247 total yards (136 through the air, 111 on the ground) and two passing touchdowns before leaving. He was 92-of-126 for the year with 1,013 yards, 10 TDs, and two interceptions to go along with 261 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. There is some good news for the Trojans, which is that Sawyer Smith looks like a capable replacement. The sophomore, whom Brown named the starter for Saturday’s date with Liberty, has gotten playing time in all six contests and is 22-of-34 for 213 yards and three touchdowns. Also a dual-threat, Smith has 153 rushing yards to his credit.

Hickson to the rescue

With fellow running back Kentory Matthews sidelined by a knee injury that he sustained on Sept. 22, Liberty’s Frankie Hickson has seen his workload increase on a consistent basis. Hickson got seven touches (five carries, two receptions) through the first two weeks of the season. The junior has since gotten 21 touches, 28 touches, and 27 touches. He probably would have gotten even more in last week’s 49-41 loss to New Mexico State, but the Flames trailed basically the entire game–including by 14 points on three different occasions–and had to take to the air more often than they would have liked. Hickson delivered a huge performance with 155 yards and one touchdown on 24 carries. He also had three receptions for 13 yards. The Lynchburg, Va. native’s previous best outing of the 2018 campaign saw him go for 96 yards on 21 carries in a 47-7 loss to North Texas after Matthews left with his injury.

On the defensive side of the ball, cornerback Jeremy Peters was cleared to play this past weekend after leaving the previous contest against New Mexico in the third quarter due to injury. The senior captain recorded five solo tackles (one for loss) and one pass defensed. Liberty allowed a combined 771 passing yards and eight touchdowns to its two opponents in the state of New Mexico in the last two weeks.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Liberty is only getting nine points (the spread opened at +11), likely due to Barker’s injury. Unfortunately for the Flames, Smith looks like he will be able to at least come close to filling the starter’s shoes. Even with Peters at least somewhat healthy, Liberty’s passing defense looks nothing more than hopeless.

Prediction: Troy Trojans

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Troy is playing with a backup quarterback–albeit a solid one. Liberty’s offense has been wildly inconsistent, twice scoring no more than 14 points. The under is 12-4-1 in the Trojans’ last 17 on the road, 10-3-1 in their last 14 on fieldturf, and 11-5 in their last 16 against losing opponents. It is also 4-1 in the Flames’ last five against winning opponents and 7-2 in their last nine on fieldturf. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Prediction: Under

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Wednesday, Oct 17
NBA
#701 Memphis Grizzlies 209
#702 Indiana Pacers -7
7:05pm
View Pick
#703 Milwaukee Bucks -3
#704 Charlotte Hornets 217
7:05pm
View Pick
#705 Miami Heat -2.5
#706 Orlando Magic 210.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#707 Brooklyn Nets 212
#708 Detroit Pistons -5.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#709 Atlanta Hawks 213.5
#710 New York Knicks -3
7:35pm
View Pick
#711 Cleveland Cavaliers 214
#712 Toronto Raptors -13
7:35pm
View Pick
#713 New Orleans Pelicans 229.5
#714 Houston Rockets -8
8:05pm
View Pick
#715 Minnesota Timberwolves 210.5
#716 San Antonio Spurs -2
8:35pm
View Pick
#717 Utah Jazz -8.5
#718 Sacramento Kings 208
10:05pm
View Pick
#719 Dallas Mavericks 215
#720 Phoenix Suns -1
10:35pm
View Pick
#721 Denver Nuggets -1.5
#722 Los Angeles Clippers 227
10:35pm
View Pick
MLB
#911 Milwaukee Brewers 7
#912 Los Angeles Dodgers -170
5:05pm
View Pick
#913 Boston Red Sox 8.5
#914 Houston Astros -145
8:35pm
View Pick
NHL
#51 N.Y. Rangers 6
#52 Washington -260
7:05pm
View Pick
#53 St. Louis -110
#54 Montreal -110
7:05pm
View Pick
#55 Boston -110
#56 Calgary -110
9:35pm
View Pick
#57 N.Y. Islanders 6
#58 Anaheim -155
10:05pm
View Pick
Thursday, Oct 18
NFL
#301 Denver Broncos -1
#302 Arizona Cardinals 41
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#303 Georgia State 54
#304 Arkansas State -14.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#305 Stanford -2.5
#306 Arizona State 53.5
9:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#13 Boston
#14 Edmonton
9:05pm
View Pick
Friday, Oct 19
NCAAF
#307 Colorado State
#308 Boise State
9:00pm
View Pick
#309 Air Force -11
#310 UNLV 54.5
10:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Oct 20
NCAAF
#313 Cincinnati 48.5
#314 Temple -3.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#319 Maryland 52.5
#320 Iowa -10
12:00pm
View Pick
#325 Northwestern -20
#326 Rutgers 49
12:00pm
View Pick
#329 Miami - OH 46.5
#330 Army -8
12:00pm
View Pick
#331 Michigan -7
#332 Michigan State 45.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#339 Buffalo -1.5
#340 Toledo 67
12:00pm
View Pick
#345 Illinois
#346 Wisconsin
12:00pm
View Pick
#355 Tulsa 55
#356 Arkansas -7
12:00pm
View Pick
#383 Oklahoma -8
#384 TCU 61
12:00pm
View Pick
#399 Auburn -3.5
#400 Ole Miss 64
12:00pm
View Pick
#317 North Carolina 64
#318 Syracuse -9.5
12:20pm
View Pick
#321 Virginia 45.5
#322 Duke -7.5
12:30pm
View Pick
#375 Bowling Green 69.5
#376 Ohio U -16.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#323 FAU -3
#324 Marshall 59.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#359 Utah State -15
#360 Wyoming 53.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#337 Eastern Michigan -3
#338 Ball State 51.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#363 Western Michigan -4
#364 Central Michigan 58
3:00pm
View Pick
#395 Charlotte 52.5
#396 Middle Tennessee State -17.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#369 Colorado 51
#370 Washington -15
3:30pm
View Pick
#347 Houston -12.5
#348 Navy 61.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#391 Kansas 61.5
#392 Texas Tech -20
3:30pm
View Pick
#389 NC State 53.5
#390 Clemson -17
3:30pm
View Pick
#387 SMU 61
#388 Tulane -7
3:30pm
View Pick
#379 Minnesota 56
#380 Nebraska -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#373 Wake Forest 60
#374 Florida State -10.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#353 UL Lafayette
#354 Appalachian State
3:30pm
View Pick
#349 UTEP
#350 Louisiana Tech
3:30pm
View Pick
#343 Penn State -14.5
#344 Indiana 61
3:30pm
View Pick
#341 Akron -4.5
#342 Kent State 54.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#335 Alabama
#336 Tennessee
3:30pm
View Pick
#327 Coastal Carolina 74.5
#328 UMass -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#357 Georgia Southern -12
#358 New Mexico State 53.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#371 California -6.5
#372 Oregon State 59
4:00pm
View Pick
#397 Memphis 74
#398 Missouri -10
4:00pm
View Pick
#403 Mississippi St 44.5
#404 LSU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#393 UTSA 45
#394 Southern Miss -17.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#381 UConn
#382 USF
7:00pm
View Pick
#377 Texas State 59
#378 UL Monroe -10
7:00pm
View Pick
#315 UCF
#316 East Carolina
7:00pm
View Pick
#311 Vanderbilt 48
#312 Kentucky -11
7:30pm
View Pick
#333 Ohio State -13
#334 Purdue 63.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#351 Rice
#352 FIU
7:30pm
View Pick
#361 Fresno State -13.5
#362 New Mexico 55.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#367 Oregon 66
#368 Washington State -3
7:30pm
View Pick
#385 North Texas -1
#386 UAB 52
7:30pm
View Pick
#401 ODU 57.5
#402 Western Kentucky -5
7:30pm
View Pick
#405 USC 49
#406 Utah -7
8:00pm
View Pick
#365 Arizona 55
#366 UCLA -8
10:30pm
View Pick
#407 San Jose State
#408 San Diego State
10:30pm
View Pick
Sunday, Oct 21
NFL
#451 Tennessee Titans 45.5
#452 Los Angeles Chargers -6.5
9:30am
View Pick
#453 New England Patriots -3
#454 Chicago Bears 50
1:00pm
View Pick
#455 Cleveland Browns 49.5
#456 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3
1:00pm
View Pick
#457 Detroit Lions -2.5
#458 Miami Dolphins 47
1:00pm
View Pick
#459 Carolina Panthers 45
#460 Philadelphia Eagles -5
1:00pm
View Pick
#461 Buffalo Bills 44
#462 Indianapolis Colts -7.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#465 Minnesota Vikings -3
#466 New York Jets 47
1:00pm
View Pick
#467 Houston Texans 44
#468 Jacksonville Jaguars -5
1:00pm
View Pick
#469 New Orleans Saints 51
#470 Baltimore Ravens -2.5
4:05pm
View Pick
#471 Dallas Cowboys 42
#472 Washington Redskins -2
4:25pm
View Pick
#473 Los Angeles Rams -9.5
#474 49ers 52
4:25pm
View Pick
#463 Cincinnati Bengals 58.5
#464 Kansas City Chiefs -6
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#409 Nevada
#410 Hawaii
12:00am
View Pick
Monday, Oct 22
NFL
#475 New York Giants 54
#476 Atlanta Falcons -5.5
8:15pm
View Pick