The #17 Oregon Ducks will host the #7 Washington Huskies in a PAC 12 showdown Saturday night from Autzen Stadium. The Huskies notched a 31-24 road win against UCLA last week, and the Ducks tallied a 42-24 road win against California in their latest action on September 29th. The Huskies crushed Oregon by 38-3 score last season.
Huskies Defeat UCLA in Fifth Straight Win
The Washington Huskies enter this battle riding a five-game winning streak. They played terrific defense in their 31-24 road win against UCLA last week to improve to 3-0 in PAC 12 play. Jake Browning played reasonably well, registering 265 passing yards with one TD against one INT. The senior is one of the steadiest QB’s in the PAC 12, and he has tallied 1508 passing yards with a 9:5 TD to INT ratio on the year. Huskies’ leading rusher Myles Gaskin was solid against UCLA, collecting 116 rushing yards with two TD’s. The senior RB is a big threat, and he has tallied 554 rushing yards on the season. Watch for Aaron Fuller as he is having a stellar season, recording at least 100 receiving yards in four of six games, and he has notched 574 receiving yards on the year. The Huskies’ offense hasn’t been nearly as productive as last season, although they still rank 45th in the country with an average of 442.7 total yards per game.
— Pac-12 Network (@Pac12Network) October 7, 2018
The Washington defense is among the best in the entire country. They weren’t quite as sharp as usual for their standards against UCLA last week, allowing 422 total yards. The Huskies’ pass defense ranks 18th in the country, although they did concede 272 passing yards last week. Washington is 2-1 on the road which included a 20-7 road win at Utah in their lone PAC 12 road game. They are scoring an average of 29.2 points, ranking them 73rd overall. The Huskies are allowing an average of 13.7 points, good for fourth in the country.
Ducks Defeat California in First Conference Win
The Oregon Ducks head into this big test aiming for their second PAC 12 win of the campaign. They enter this one riding a wave of confidence after registering a convincing 42-24 road win against #24 California in their previous game on September 29th. Justin Herbert was sharp in that one, notching 225 passing yards with two TD’s. The junior QB has completed at least 70% of his passes in three out of his last four games, and he is up to 1411 passing yards with a 15:5 TD to INT ratio in five games. The Ducks are pleased with the play of freshman RB CJ Verdell. The 5-foot-9 RB has rushed for at least 100 yards in three games this season, and he has accumulated 420 rushing yards on the year. Ducks’ top receiver Dillon Mitchell collected 105 yards in the Ducks’ win at California, and the junior WR has 442 receiving yards on the season. The Oregon offense has been steady all season led by a potent passing game to go along with a solid running game that is averaging 4.7 yards per carry.
— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) October 6, 2018
The Ducks defense hasn’t been quite as sharp as their offense, although overall they have played well. While their pass defense has struggled for most of the season, they were able to limit California to only 186 passing yards in their latest action. The Ducks’ lone blemish this season was a narrow 38-31 overtime loss to #7 Stanford. They are currently averaging 45.6 points, good for 12th in the nation. Oregon is allowing an average of 24.4 points, pegging them 51st overall.
The Oregon Ducks are:
- 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against Washington.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
- under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record.
The Washington Huskies are:
- 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games against Oregon.
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am taking the points with Oregon in this one. The Washington offense has yet to find a rhythm, and they are only averaging 22.7 points in their three road games on the season. Oregon features an outstanding rush defense that is limiting opponents to only 112 rushing yards per game, so they should be able to neutralize Myles Gaskin and a Huskies running game that has not played to their full potential yet this season.
In addition, the Ducks’ offense has consistently put up points in all five games led by Justin Herbert who has collected 15 touchdown passes on the season. The Huskies’ rush defense has been average, ranking 41st in the country, and the Oregon running game is averaging a sizzling 216 rushing yards per game led by CJ Verdell.
Prediction: Oregon Ducks +3
Full-Game Total Pick
I am leaning towards the under in this one. Huskies’ QB Jake Browning has only registered two touchdown passes in his last two games, and Washington has only averaged 26.3 points in their three conference games this season, plus the under is 5-1 in the Huskies’ last six games overall.
Furthermore, Oregon won’t have their usual offensive success against a stifling Washington defense. The Huskies have limited their opponents to 21 or fewer points in five out of their six games this season, and the under is 11-4 in the Ducks’ last 15 games after accumulating more than 200 rushing yards in their previous game.
Prediction: Under 58
Full-Game Prop Bet
I am taking the under on the Huskies team total. The Ducks continue to pressure the QB, racking up 16 sacks in five games on the season, and the Huskies have allowed 10 sacks on the season. I expect Oregon to pressure Huskies’ QB Jake Browning and slow him down. Browning only has two touchdown passes in his last two games, and Washington’s running game is only averaging 4.3 yards per carry.
Prediction: Huskies Team Total: Under 30.5
Half-Time Side Pick
I am staying with Oregon on the halftime line. Oregon is one of the highest scoring teams in the entire FBS in the first half, ranking third with an average of 27.5 points. In addition, the Ducks defense has been outstanding in the first half, limiting their opponents to only 10 points, pegging them 25th in the country.
Prediction: Oregon Ducks +2
Half-Time Total Bet
I expect a significant portion of the scoring in the first half. Both teams are averaging more points in the first half this season. Washington is posting an average of 17.8 points in the opening half, compared to only 8.2 points in the second half. In addition, Oregon was able to record 28 points in the first half on the road against a strong California team last week.
Prediction: Over 28.5
Half-Time Prop Prediction
I am taking Oregon to score first. Oregon is playing sharp defense early in games, holding opponents to only 3.2 points in the first quarter this season, and only a combined three points in their last two games. Furthermore, the Huskies are only averaging 5.7 points in the first quarter in their three road games.
Prediction: Oregon to Score First +110