Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#189 Kentucky vs.
#190 Georgia
Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 3:30pm EDT
Written by Blake V.

The last two undefeated teams in the SEC will do battle on Saturday afternoon when No. 1 Georgia hosts No. 11 Kentucky. The Wildcats picked up their biggest win of the season two weeks ago against Florida and they followed it up with a 42-21 win over LSU last week. Georgia has been the most dominant team in the country this year—it is coming off blowout wins over No. 8 Arkansas and No. 18 Auburn.

Wildcats trying to spring crazy upset

Kentucky has a chance to make this its best season in a long time. The Wildcats are just outside the top 10, which is not a position that they are normally in as a program. They picked up a pair of close wins over Missouri and South Carolina to open their SEC slate before notching a 20-13 upset against No. 10 Florida two weeks ago. Many experts were predicting a letdown from Kentucky when it played host to LSU last week, but the Wildcats were dominant in a 42-21 win. They took a 14-0 lead into halftime and led 28-7 going to the fourth quarter in what was a comprehensive effort.

Kentucky picked up 330 rushing yards and scored on all five of its red-zone trips. Running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. accounted for 147 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries. Quarterback Will Levis accounted for the other five touchdowns, with two coming on the ground. He has completed 64.4% of his passes for 1,134 yards and 11 touchdowns this season. Rodriguez is averaging 6.4 yards per carry, while Kavosiey Smoke has 45 carries for 263 yards. Wide receiver Wandale Robinson has caught 37 passes for 527 yards. Kentucky’s offense ranks No. 60 overall, averaging 411.9 yards per game. They are facing the top defense in the country on Saturday, as Georgia is only giving up 201.2 yards per game.

Bulldogs take over as top-ranked team

Georgia has been outstanding ever since the season started. It picked up what was considered an upset at the time, beating No. 3 Clemson on Labor Day weekend. The Bulldogs have gone on to solidify themselves as the best team in the country, blowing out South Carolina, Vanderbilt, No. 8 Arkansas and No. 18 Auburn. Their closest home game came against the Gamecocks, which was a game that ended 40-13. The Bulldogs are led by a defense that has allowed just two offensive touchdowns this season—both of those scores came when the game was out of hand.

Stetson Bennett IV made his third start of the year in place of J.T. Daniels, who has been out with a lat sprain. Daniels is currently listed as questionable for this contest. Bennett has completed 69.4% of his pass attempts for 746 yards and eight touchdowns. Georgia’s offensive line has been remarkable, allowing just three sacks this season. Running backs Zamir White and James Cook are both averaging at least 5.0 yards per carry. Bennett is a threat as well, rushing 16 times for 126 yards. Tight end Brock Bowers has caught 20 passes for 315 yards and four touchdowns. Georgia’s offense is No. 48, putting up 432.5 yards per contest. They are going to face a Kentucky defense that is No. 17, giving up 305.2 yards per game.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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If we learned anything from Alabama’s loss to Texas A&M last week, it is that every team is susceptible to a poor performance. Georgia is not going to blow out every opponent this season. Kentucky does not have the formula to win this game outright, but it does have the formula to keep it within a spread that has eclipsed three touchdowns. The Wildcats run the ball very well and they are a solid defensive team. They are going to slow the game down as much as possible, which Georgia will not be opposed to. The lower scoring this game is, the better chance Kentucky has to cover the number. I am optimistic about their chances to keep the game close.

Prediction: Kentucky +22.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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The total is certainly correlated with the spread in this game. If Georgia covers the large spread, it does not give bettors much wiggle room with the under. However, the under is perfectly correlated with Kentucky. I am not expecting the Wildcats to score more than 14 points, but I am also expecting their defense to have a nice game. They have already silenced the doubters in wins over Florida and LSU over the last two weeks, but this is their real chance to make a statement. Kentucky is going to rely on its rushing attack, which is going to keep the clock ticking throughout this game.

Prediction: Under 45
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Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Blake is also an avid sports being expert and you would not be disappointed in following him on a daily basis. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint. 
Follow on Twitter @Blake_Vonhagen