Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#167 Liberty vs.
#168 UL Monroe
Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 7:00pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

Liberty Flames (5-1) vs. UL-Monroe Warhawks (2-3)

The Liberty Flames will be looking for their third straight victory when they take on the UL-Monroe Warhawks on Saturday. Liberty defeated Middle Tennessee last Saturday, 41-13. The Warhawks will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. They lost to Georgia State on Saturday, 55-21.

Liberty is favored by 32.5-points in this game. These teams faced each other just once, that was last year when Liberty defeated the Warhawks, 40-7.

Flames Run Past Middle Tennessee

The Flames rushed for 247 yards in a decisive 41-13 victory over Middle Tennessee. Quarterback Malik Willis had another big day, throwing for 222 yards and two touchdowns and rushing for 80 yards and another score. Joshua Mack had 91 yards rushing on just 14 carries. The Liberty defense played very well, allowing 265 total yards.

Liberty is averaging 35.3 points per game, 29th in the nation, and they are 35th in yards per game (443.8). Willis is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country, rushing for 498 yards and seven touchdowns and throwing for 1327 yards and 13 scores. He is completing 67.9% of his passes and has just three interceptions.

Demario Douglas leads the team with 33 catches for 526 yards and four touchdowns. C.J. Daniels is second with 14 catches for 268 yards and four scores as well. No other receiver has as many as 10 catches. Joshua Mack has rushed for 267 yards and three TDs.

The Flames are sixth in points allowed per game (14.3) and fifth in yards allowed per game (266.5). The Flames have recorded 19 sacks and five turnovers. Kendy Charles leads the team with 4.5 sacks. Storey Jackson has been outstanding on defense, leading the team with 42 tackles, and has 2.5 sacks and an interception.

Georgia State Runs over Warhawks

UL-Monroe gave up 21 points in the second quarter and 14 in the third as Georgia State rolled to a 55-21 victory. Chandler Rogers had a quality day for the Warhawks, throwing for 208 yards and two touchdowns and rushing for 72 more. However, the defense struggled, giving up 326 rushing yards and 572 total yards. Georgia State held the ball for 35:08.

UL-Monroe is averaging 238.0 yards per game, 130th overall, and they are 127th in points per contest at just 15.6. Rogers has not been the answer at quarterback, completing 56.0% of his passes for 365 yards and two touchdowns. He has been solid carrying the ball, rushing for 171 yards, but has a 3.3 yards per carry average.

The leading receiver is Boogie Knight with 21 catches for 261 yards. Zach Jackson has 13 catches for 192 yards and two scores. Andrew Henry is the leading rusher with 203 yards, but is averaging just 4.0 yards per carry.

The defense is allowing 36.4 points per game, 118th overall, and they are 120th in yards allowed per contest (471.2). The defense has 10 sacks, three interceptions, and five fumble recoveries. Ty Shelby has been fantastic in rushing the quarterback, recording 5.0 sacks.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


When a team is favored by 32.5 points, that is quite a lot. A lot of things can go wrong that will help the underdog cover the spread, but UL-Monroe has been hammered the last two weeks. They lost to Coastal Carolina by 53 two weeks ago and to Georgia State by 34 last week, so believing they will lose by more than 32.5 is not out of the question.

On top of that, the Liberty defense has played very well. Only one team has scored more than 17 points against the Flames this season, and that was Syracuse in their 24-21 victory over Liberty. The Flames can cover the spread here, and they will do so.

Prediction: Take the Liberty Flames (-32.5) (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Not only do you have one of the best offenses in college football, but one of the worst defenses playing against them. It would not be surprising to see Liberty put up at least 50 points in this game. At that rate, all the Warhawks have to do is put up at least six or seven points, and that will likely occur here.

Take the Liberty to win, 51-10.

Prediction: Over 56.5 (-110)

Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.