Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#177 Toledo vs.
#178 Central Michigan (CMU)
Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 3:30pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

Toledo Rockets (3-3) vs. Central Michigan Chippewas (3-3)

The Toledo Rockets will look to rebound when they take on the Central Michigan Chippewas on Saturday. Toledo saw their two-game winning streak come to an end when they lost to Northern Illinois, 22-20. Central Michigan is coming off a 30-27 victory over Ohio.

Toledo is favored by 5.5-points in this game. The Rockets earned the victory over the Chippewas last December, 24-23. They are 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams with Central Michigan’s only victory coming in November 2019 when they earned a 49-7 victory.

Late Field Goal Sinks Rockets

John Richardson kicked a 29-yard field goal with 26 seconds left in the game to give Northern Illinois a 22-20 victory over Toledo. The loss ruined a solid performance by Dequan Finn, who came off the bench to complete 10 of 17 passes for 179 yards and two touchdowns. Bryant Kobach rushed for 91 yards and a touchdown.

Toledo is averaging 28.5 points per game, 69th overall, and they are 71st in yards per game (392.5). Carter Bradley has been the starter for much of the season, completing 59.5% of his passes for 962 yards and four touchdowns. However, Finn has seen action in all six games, completing 63.0% of his passes for 371 yards. Finn has also rushed for 280 yards and scored four touchdowns.

Koback is the leading ground gainer with 448 yards and five touchdowns. He is averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Devin Maddox leads the team with 23 catches for 375 yards and three scores.

Toledo is allowing 17.5 points per game, 19th overall, and they are allowing 314.0 yards per game, 27th in the country. The defense has 14 sacks, five interceptions, and five fumble recoveries. Jamal Hines is tied for the team lead in sacks with Terrence Taylor with 3.0. Hines also leads the team in tackles with 41.

Central Michigan Rallies for Victory

The Chippewas trailed 27-20 with a little under 12 minutes left in the game, but scored the final 10 points of the contest to earn a 30-27 victory. Daniel Richardson completed a 28-yard touchdown toss to Kalil Pimpleton with 3:55 left in the game to earn the victory. Lew Nichols led the team, rushing for 186 yards and a score on 30 carries.

Central Michigan is averaging 460.7 yards per game, 25th in the country, and they are 73rd in scoring at 28.0 points per game. Nichols leads this team, rushing for 591 yards and three scores on 115 carries. He is averaging 5.1 yards per carry.

Richardson has completed 56.4% of his passes for 1020 yards and nine touchdowns. He has thrown just two interceptions and 117 attempts. Jacob Sirmon has also seen plenty of action, completing 61.3% of his passes for 734 yards and six scores. Dallas Dixon leads the team with 32 catches for 501 yards and five touchdowns. JaCorey Sullivan has 24 catches for 366 yards and six TDs.

The Chippewas are 83rd in points allowed per game at 27.5 and 80th in yards allowed per contest at 396.8. Central Michigan has recorded 14 sacks, three interceptions, and two fumbles. Troy Hairston leads the team with 3.0 sacks.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Toledo enters as the favorite in this contest and they have dominated this series. However, the quarterback situation for Central Michigan looks to give them a slight edge. Both of these teams will use two quarterbacks in a game, but the Chippewas are getting better production out of their pair.

I will admit that the trends favor Toledo. However, I think this is going to be a closer game than oddsmakers believe. In fact, I would not be surprised to see the Chippewas pull out the victory here.

Prediction: Take the Central Michigan Chippewas (+5.5) (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The Chippewas have gone over in four of their last five games at home, but have gone under in four of their last five conference games. Toledo has gone under in four straight games and has gone under in four of their last five conference games. 

It is the conference games that matter the most, as teams are a little more familiar with one another and are able to get that edge that slows down the opposing offenses. These teams combined for 47 points the last time they met and have gone under 52.5 in three of the last five meetings. In fact, they have gone under in five of the last six meetings overall and five straight meetings in Central Michigan.

Take Central Michigan to win, 24-21.

Prediction: Under 52.5 (-110)

Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.