Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#305 UL Lafayette -6 vs.
#306 Arkansas State 65
Thursday, October 17, 2019 at 7:30pm EDT
Centennial Bank Stadium, Jomesboro
Written by Scott Reichel

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#305 University of Louisiana at Lafayette
#306 Arkansas St University
4-2
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38
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Week eight of college football continues as UL Lafayette travels to Centennial Bank Stadium to play against Arkansas State on Thursday, Oct. 17 at 7:30 P.M. This will be the 46th meeting between these two teams. These two teams have not met since last season when the Ragin' Cajuns narrowly beat the Red Wolves at home by a score of 47-43.

UL Lafayette Looks To Forget About Last Week

UL Lafayette enters this game with a solid 4-2 record as it was upset at home by Appalachian State last week. This loss could come back to hurt the program as it was in a golden situation to win its division in the conference prior to that game. However, now UL Lafayette is not in first place anymore so it is far from a lock to make it back into the conference title game. With another conference game up next, UL Lafayette will look to bounce back on the road and potentially save its conference title hopes. Unfortunately, this game is on the road so one has to wonder just how well this team will play in a hostile environment in this conference game.

Leading the Ragin' Cajuns offensively is junior quarterback Levi Lewis who has looked solid so far this season. Specifically, Lewis has thrown for 1,111 passing yards along with nine passing touchdowns. In addition, he has only thrown two interceptions so he has done a pretty good job at limiting mistakes in the passing game. However, this is a conference road game so he will need to limit turnovers in this game.

UL Lafayette's biggest threat on defense is junior linebacker Joe Dillon who has been great through the first six games. So far this season, he is tied for a team-high with three sacks along with one forced fumble. With an opponent that loves to throw the ball up next, Dillon should have ample opportunities to add to his sack total in this game. If UL Lafayette plans on winning this game, he will need to make the most of those opportunities.

Arkansas State Looks For Home Upset

Blake Anderson has the Red Wolves in okay form headed into this game. Specifically, Arkansas State is a .500 team as it has only won three of its first six games. However, it did not play in week seven so perhaps the extra preparation time will help get the program's season on track. Luckily for the Red Wolves, this game will be at home which will increase their chances of pulling off this conference upset. It is also worth mentioning that Arkansas State is 0-2 against the spread at home this season so perhaps the Red Wolves will finally be able to exceed expectations on Thursday night by covering this spread and maybe even winning this game outright.

Leading the Red Wolves offensively is freshman quarterback Layne Hatcher who has looked solid so far this season. Specifically, Hatcher has thrown for 792 passing yards along with eight passing touchdowns. His performance has been even better when one factors in the fact that he was not supposed to even play this season and was only inserted into the starting lineup when original starting quarterback Logan Bonner suffered a season-ending thumb injury.

Arkansas State's biggest threat on defense is junior defensive end William Bradley-King who has been great through the first six games. So far this season, he has a team-high five sacks. In addition, he also has a team-high two forced fumbles along with one fumble recovery so he is fully capable of forcing turnovers when given the opportunity. Now, he will look to add to his sack total at home on Thursday.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

In this conference game, I have to take the home underdog plus the points. UL Lafayette looked awful in its last game and Arkansas State is coming into this game off a bye week so I like this spot for the Red Wolves. Plus, Arkansas State should have a decent home-field advantage considering the fact that it has not played at home in three weeks so I think it should play well in this game. Give me the home team as a result.

Prediction: Arkansas State +6

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Simply put, both teams possess solid offenses that are capable of scoring at least 35 points in any game while also possessing below average defenses. These teams combined for a whopping 90 points last year in their lone meeting so I think this total is too low. Both teams play relatively uptempo on offense so there should be a lot of scoring chances for both teams and I think this game will end somewhere in the realm of 38-35 so I will take the over.

Prediction: Over 67
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Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.