Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#369 Arizona 66.5 vs.
#370 USC -9.5
Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 9:30pm EDT
L.A. Memorial Stadium, Los Angeles
Written by David Hess



#369 University of Arizona
#370 University of Southern California


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Saturday evening college football action and a pair of teams from the Pac-12 Conference will square off as the Arizona Wildcats grapple with the USC Trojans at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, California. The Trojans won this game on the road last year by a score of 24-20.

Arizona enters this game off A 51-27 home loss to Washington to fall to 4-2 on the year, while the Trojans are now at 3-3 on the year 30-27 loss at Notre Dame.

The Wildcats Get Trounced By The Huskies

The Arizona Wildcats got off to a 4-1 start this year, but they were put in their place last week as they fell at home to the Washington Huskies by a score of 51-27. Their defense has been among the worst in the nation and that horrible defense was on display against a Washington offense that had been struggling in Pac-12 play prior to the game. The Wildcats had a 17-13 lead at the half, but Washington scored 14 unanswered in the 3rd period and never looked back. Arizona allowed Washington 450 yards of total offense, which includes 207 yards on the ground and 243 yards through the air. The defense struggled in both aspects and will now have to take on a USC offense that had a very good showing against a tough Notre Dame defense last week. The Wildcats are 119th in total yards allowed and 128th against the pass. Kedon Slovis could have a big game in this one.

The offense has been strong for Arizona this year and they scored 27 points on a solid Washington defense last week, but it wasn't nearly enough as they still lost by 24 points. Khalil Tate is the Engin that makes this offense go but he had just 184 yards passing with a TD and an INT in the loss to Washington last week, while also posting -28 yards rushing in the contest. Tate has now passed for 1272 yards with 10 TDs and six INTs while rushing for 233 yards with two TDs. If Tate is held in check in this one, then the Wildcats will be hard-pressed to walk out with a win. Tate is the key and he has a chance to bounce back here as USC is 70th in pass defense and 103rd in run defense. Arizona is in a 4-way tie with Arizona State, Utah and USC in the Pac-12 South, so this is a huge game for both teams.

Trojans Fall Short In South Bend

The USC Trojans went into Notre Dame Stadium as sizeable underdogs, but they hung in there all game long, before eventually falling by a score of 30-27. USC had their chances in the game but just couldn't get the job done. The problem was that USC couldn't stop the run as the Irish gouged them for 308 yards on the ground in the contest. The Trojans allowed 6.4 yards per attempt in that game and they will need to fix that against Khalil Tate and company. The Wildcats are 34th in the nation in rushing and that is not good for USC's 103rd ranked run defense. If they can't stop Tate on the ground, then they will have trouble stopping him through the air as Arizona does rank 18th in the nation in passing.

The USC offense surprised many last week against a very solid Notre Dame defense as they rolled up 27 points on 426 yards of total offense, including 171 yards on the ground. The Irish had no answer for Markese Stepp, who ran for 82 yards and a TD on just 10 carries. It was his best outing as a Trojan and it may have been his coming-out party. He could have a big game against an Arizona defense that ranks 62nd in the nation against the run and just allowed Washington 207 yards on the ground last week. If the run game gets going then Kedon Slovis could have a huge game. He threw for 255 yards and two TDs last week against one of the best secondaries in the nation and will now face a pass defense that ranks 128th. Yikes. The Trojans need this game as they have lost three of their last four-game and a win here could propel them to the top of the Pac-12 South standings.

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I did not feel that USC could hang with Notre Dame last week, but this team proved me wrong. I feel that Slovis and Stepp grew up in that game and they will now face probably the worst defense in the Pac-12. Stepp will get the ground game rolling and then Slovis will pick apart the 128th ranked pass defense in the nation. The Wildcats have a horrible defense and that will be their downfall in this one The Trojans did not fare well against the Notre Dame ground game, but I feel they have been working on that in practice and Khalil Tate has not looked to run the ball as much as in the past. The USC defense is underrated and they will slow down the Arizona offense just enough to get the cover in this one. The Wildcats are 1-5 ATS the last six games in this series and that is the clincher.

Prediction: USC -9.5

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I will look for a shootout in this one. The Trojans may have an underrated defense, but the Wildcats will still have one of the best offenses in the nation and they will figure out how to get some points in this one. The Trojans grew up on offense last week against a very good defense and now they will face a defense that is 12th in the nation against the pass. Kedron Slovis will have a huge game in this one, especially after they get their ground game going. The Over is 6-1 in Arizona's last seven games following a straight-up loss of more than 20 points and 21-10-2 in USC's last 33 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. That seals the deal for me.

Prediction: Over 67

Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.