Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#317 Duke 46.5 vs.
#318 Virginia -3.5
Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 3:30pm EDT
Scott Stadium, Charlottesville
Written by Adam Rauzino

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#317 Duke University
#318 University of Virginia
4-2
4-2
3-2-1
2-3-1
5-1
3-3
34
28
23
20

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

The Virginia Cavaliers will host the Duke Blue Devils in an ACC clash Saturday afternoon from Scott Stadium. Duke and Virginia are battling for the top spot in the ACC Coastal.

The Duke Blue Devils enter this one with confidence after thrashing Georgia Tech by a 41-23 score on Saturday to improve to 2-1 in ACC play. The Blue Devils’ two losses occurred against Alabama in week one, and Pittsburgh in their second ACC clash of the season. Duke features a 2-1 road record.

The Virginia Cavaliers are scuffling. They opened the season with four consecutive wins and have since lost two straight games. The Cavaliers lost to #10 Notre Dame in week five, followed by a 17-9 road loss against Miami last Friday night. Virginia is a perfect 3-0 on their home field. They fell out of the AP Top 25 rankings this week due to their loss to Miami. The Cavaliers posted a 28-14 road win against Duke last season.

Duke Stomps Georgia Tech in Second ACC Win

The Duke Blue Devils will be targeting their third straight road win in this one. They tallied a big 45-10 road win against Virginia Tech in their ACC opener. Duke’s offense was sizzling in their 41-23 home win against Georgia Tech last week. Quentin Harris is having a remarkable season in his first year as the #1 QB in place of Daniel Jones, collecting 1183 passing yards with an 11:4 TD to INT ratio. Harris can burn opponents on the ground as well as he leads Duke with 380 rushing yards.

Duke’s #1 RB Deon Jackson has rushed for over 60 yards in two straight games which included 69 yards against Georgia Tech. The junior WR has tallied five rushing touchdowns in his last four games, and he is up to 361 rushing yards.

Jalon Calhoun is developing chemistry with QB Quentin Harris. The freshman WR has made nine receptions in his last two games which included 68 receiving yards last week. Calhoun now has 254 receiving yards on the year. The Duke offense is consistently scoring, notching at least 30 points in each game with the exception of their 42-3 loss to Alabama in week one.

The Blue Devils defense is playing well. They have posted a few weak performances but overall Duke has contained their opposition. They rank 60th against the pass and 48th against the run. The Blue Devils are scoring an average of 34.8 points, ranking them 38th overall. The Duke defense is holding opponents to 23.2 points, placing them 47th in the FBS.

Virginia's Offensive Woes Resume in Second Straight Loss

The Virginia Cavaliers have reached a critical point in their season. They looked great in their 4-0 start but have faced tough opponents in their last two games which resulted in losses to Notre Dame, followed by a 19-7 road loss to Miami last Friday night in a game that had the Cavaliers as 2.5 point underdogs. Bryce Perkins is racking up notable passing yards lately, however, he has onlytossed two touchdowns against two interceptions in his last two games. The senior QB has accrued 1429 passing yards with an 8:6 TD to INT ratio on the season.

Virginia has received very little production on the ground. Their leading rusher Wayne Taulapapa has only registered 91 rushing yards over his last three games, and a total of 210 yards on the year. Bryce Perkins is second in team rushing with 191 yards.

Watch out for Hasise Dubois who should be targeted heavily in this one. The senior WR brought in 143 receiving yards in the loss to Notre Dame, and he has accumulated 427 receiving yards on the season. Dubois is dealing with a head injury, but he is expected to play. The Cavaliers have struggled to generate significant offense in their last two games, scoring only a combined 29 points.

The Virginia defense is their greatest strength. They have neutralized their opponent in each game with the exception of the 35-20 road loss to Notre Dame. and they are stellar against both the pass and run. Virginia was dealt a tough blow with the season-ending injury to #1 corner Bryce Hall who was expected to be a 1st round NFL pick. The Cavaliers are scoring an average of 28.3 points, ranking them 74th overall. They are allowing an average of 20.7 points, placing them 35th in the FBS.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I like Virginia in this ACC matchup. I expect Virginia to rebound with a solid home performance where they stand at a perfect 3-0 on the season. The Cavaliers stifling defense should be able to neutralize Duke. The Blue Devils will run the ball frequently and Virginia is dominant against the run, holding opponents to 94 rushing yards per game, good for 13th in the entire country.

Furthermore, the Virginia offense should come alive after two subpar performances. QB Bryce Perkins led Virginia to a 28-14 road win against Duke last season with three touchdowns. Duke’s defense hasn’t been quite as sharp as they have squandered an average of 28 points in their last two games which included 379 total yards allowed against an awful Georgia Tech offense last week.

Prediction: Virginia Cavaliers

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am confident selecting the under in this one between two strong defensive units. The Cavaliers have limited their opposition to 17 or fewer points in three out of their last five games. They are holding opponents to only 273 total yards per game, and I don’t see Duke breaking out against this defense.

In addition, the Duke defense should be able to at least contain a Cavaliers defense that has cooled off. They have only scored a combined 29 points in their last two games, and the under is 8-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 10 October games. Also, consider the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two ACC foes.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am confident in the Virginia defense and the under on their team total offered on PointsBet is a good play. Duke has benefited from playing against two weak defensive units in their last two games against Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech.  The Cavaliers defense is elite. They are limiting opponents to an average of  277 total yards per game. Virginia held Florida State to only 24 points and Miami to 17 points, and they are outstanding against the run which is Duke’s greatest strength.

Prediction: Duke Team Total Under

Half-Time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am sticking with the under on the halftime total as well. Duke is holding their opponents to only 10.6 points in the first half, good for 30th in the nation. Moreover, Virginia is also tough in the opening half where they are limiting their opponent 13.2 points. This should be a defensive battle from start to finish.

Prediction: Under
Loading...

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.