Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#327 Indiana -6.5 vs.
#328 Maryland 56.5
Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 3:30pm EDT
Maryland Stadium, College Park
Written by Benjamin Hayes

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#327 Indiana University
#328 University of Maryland, College Park
4-2
3-3
4-2
3-3
2-4
3-2-1
33
36
19
24

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This article covers a past game!

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Indiana faces Maryland on Saturday from College Park in a battle from the Big Ten East. Neither team has had much success in the league this season. Both are 1-2 in the East Division, both blasted Rutgers and suffered huge blowout losses to top 10 teams (Ohio State and Penn State).

Last season, Indiana edged the Terps at home, 34-32.

Taking care of business

Two weeks ago, Maryland crushed Rutgers by 41 on the road and last week, the Hoosiers were victorious at home, 35-0. Indiana has played better in the last three weeks, after getting blasted by Ohio State, 51-10 at home on Sept. 14. After that expected defeat, the Hoosiers crushed UConn (38-3), played Michigan State close on the road (40-31) and then crushed the Scarlet Knights.

Indiana amassed 557 yards against Rutgers, including 282 with three TDs from quarterback Michael Penix Jr. But the real story was the defense, holding the Scarlet Knights to just six first downs, 0-for-11 on third downs and 75 total yards. Junior wide receiver Whop Philyor also had a big day with 14 10 catches for 182 yards. He now has 41 catches for 553 yards and three scores. Big sophomore tailback Stevie Scott III (6-2, 231) added 164 yards and now has 445 on the season with four TDs.

Defensively, the Hoosiers are better than advertised. They are allowing just 283.2 yards per game and 121.3 rushing yards, which will be important against a Maryland team with a running quarterback in Tyrrell Pigrome.

Pass defense?

Since starting the season at 2-0 and making a rare appearance in the Top 25, Maryland has reverted to their normal self. The Terps fell at a pretty good Temple team by three (20-17), got destroyed at home by Penn State, 59-0, destroyed a horrible Rutgers team and then lost at Purdue last week (40-14).

The Terps were a four-point favorite in that game despite having a backup quarterback in Pigrome, who was replacing struggling starter Josh Jackson (ankle sprain). Jackson is considered questionable but had been awful against Penn State and Temple, before getting injured on the last drive of the first half against Rutgers. He has thrown for 968 yards with 10 TDs and four picks, while completing just 51.1% of his passes.

Pigrome got the call against Purdue and completed 21 of 39 for 218 yards and ran for 107 yards and a score. But "Piggy" also threw two picks as well. Terps star running back Anthony McFarland Jr. (340 yds, 8 TDs) was limited to just four carries due to an ankle injury and might be limited again.

The real issue against Purdue and Penn State was the pass defense. The Boilermakers had a backup quarterback in Jack Plummer, who completed 33 of 41 for 420 yards with three TDs and picks. They also converted 11 of 18 on third downs. On the season, they are allowing 279.7 yards per game, which may be misleading considering they also played FCS Howard (79-0 win).

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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This isn't a great line but Maryland stinks right now. Starting cornerback Tino Ellis is out for the season with an upper-body injury. An already thin secondary in terms of talent just got worse. Pennix should have another big day against the Terps and they'll do enough to hold down Pigrome, who is a better runner than passer.  With McFarland hurting and Jackson not likely to play, this should be an easy win for Indiana on the road.

Prediction: Indiana -5

Full-Game Total Pick

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The side is an easier pick because the Terps are playing so poorly on both sides of the ball. Indiana isn't Rutgers and their defense isn't bad but let's face it. They beat up on UConn, Eastern Illinois, Rutgers and Ball State to held their defensive numbers. The Terps should put up some points but I think they'll also give up 40+. If you can't stop a backup quarterback and now you're facing a pretty good starter, who has thrown for 1,091 yards and has completed 69.5% of his passes, it's going to be a long day.

 

Prediction: Over 59

Half-Time Side Pick

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Maryland is just an awful football team right now. Maybe not Rutgers-bad, but they can't stop anybody and their offense is riddled with injuries. IU should be up by three touchdowns at the half.

Prediction: Indiana -3.5 (+100)

Half-Time Total Bet

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Indiana could get this total by themselves. The Terps are horrendous on defense right now but they have a few playmakers that could get this total in the 40s by the half led by Pigrome and Tayon Fleet-Davis.

Prediction: Over 30 (-105)
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Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!