Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#401 Iowa State -7.5 vs.
#402 Texas Tech 57.5
Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 12:00pm EDT
Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock
Written by Adam Rauzino



#401 Iowa State
#402 Texas Tech University


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The Texas Tech Red Raiders will host the Iowa State Cyclones in a Big 12 showdown Saturday afternoon from Jones AT&T Stadium. The Cyclones dominated West Virginia by a 38-14 score in their previous action, and the Red Raiders are coming off a tough 33-30 double-overtime road loss to #22 Baylor last week. Iowa State posted a 40-31 home victory over Texas Tech last season.

Iowa State Thumps West Virginia, Eyes Third Straight Win

The Iowa State Cyclones will be aiming for their third consecutive win in this one. The Cyclones defeated TCU followed by a convincing 38-14 road win against West Virginia this past weekend to improve to 2-1 in conference play. Brock Purdy is an outstanding quarterback, accumulating 1807 passing yards with an 11:3 TD to INT ratio on the year. The sophomore QB has recorded at least one touchdown pass in each game this season, and he has completed 69% of his passes. Breece Hall posted his best performance of the season last week, rushing for 132 yards and three touchdowns. The freshman RB hasn’t seen a ton of action, although he leads ISU with 216 rushing yards.

Cyclones’ top receiver Deshaunte Jones did not make a catch against WVU, however, he registered at least 77 receiving yards in three straight games prior to last week. The senior WR is by far Purdy’s top target as he has notched 37 catches for 444 yards. The Cyclones offense is red-hot led by Brock Purdy. If they can continue to receive a big contribution on the ground similar to last week then their offense will be awfully tough to contain going forward.

The Iowa State defense is in a groove, holding their opponents to 24 or fewer points in five consecutive games. The Cyclones are outstanding against the run but will give up yards in the air, so they have a tough task against a strong Texas Tech passing offense. The Cyclones are currently averaging 37.7 points, ranking them 23rd overall. The Iowa State defense is holding opponents to 20.8 points, placing them 36th in the FBS, and they are 1-1 on the road.

Texas Tech Falls in Wild Double Overtime Battle

The Texas Tech Red Raiders enter this one losers of three out of their last four games. The Red Raiders dropped to 1-2 in conference play after a very hard-fought 33-30 overtime road loss to a ranked Baylor team last week. The Red Raiders are playing without ’ #1 QB Alan Bowman who is out with a shoulder injury and will not return for another month. Jett Duffey has been productive in his place, recording over 700 passing yards in his last two games. The junior QB has registered 910 passing yards with a 5:2 TD to INT ratio in about 2.5 games of action.

The Texas Tech running game is dangerous as well. They feature two skilled running backs in Armand Shyne and SaRodorick Thompson. Shyne has rushed for 280 yards on the season, and he is questionable for this one with an ankle injury. Thompson collected a season-high 153 rushing yards against Baylor last week, and he is up to 412 rushing yards on the year.

Red Raiders’ receiving leader T.J. Vasher should be able to find open field against a subpar Cyclones pass defense. The junior WR has made 11 grabs for 156 receiving yards in his last two games, and he has accrued 404 receiving yards on the season. Overall, the Red Raiders offense has fared well in the absence of their #1 QB.

The Texas Tech defense has been an issue this season. They are especially having difficulty against the run which ranks down at 95th in the FBS. The Red Raiders are currently averaging 31.3 points, ranking them 55th overall. They are conceding an average of 27.3 points, placing them 69th in the country. Texas Tech is 3-0 on their home field.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I am siding with Iowa State in this clash. The Cyclones are red-hot, beating TCU 49-24 two weeks ago, followed by a 38-14 road win against West Virginia last week. They should be able to feast on a poor Texas Tech defense. The Cyclones stand 15th in the FBS with an average of 311 passing yards per game, and the Red Raiders struggle against the pass, placing them down 89th in the country in passing yards allowed.

Furthermore, the Cyclones defense is outstanding as well. Texas Tech relies heavily on their passing game but unfortunately, their #1 QB Alan Bowman is out with a shoulder injury. While his replacement Jett Duffey is playing reasonably well, Bowman is the better QB. The Cyclones defense is among the best in the Big 12 and they have allowed 24 or fewer points in each of their last five games.

Prediction: Iowa State Cyclones

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I am going with the over in this matchup. I expect Iowa State to pour on the points again this week. They are averaging a sizzling 470 total yards per game, and Texas Tech has surrendered an average of 41 points in their last three games, plus the over is 5-1 in the Red Raiders’ last six games against a team with a winning record.

In addition, the Cyclones will give up passing yards and Texas Tech is still productive in the air even without their #1 QB in Alan Bowman. His replacement Jett Duffey has collected 786 passing yards in his two starts. The over is 7-2 in the Red Raiders’ last nine conference games, and that trend should resume in this one.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


The over on the Cyclones team total is a solid option. Brock Purdy is one of the better QB’s in the BIG 12 and he has led his team to 49 and 38 points respectively in their last two games. The Texas Tech defense does not excel in any particular area defensively. They are allowing an average of 433 total yards per game, pegging them down at 99th overall, and the Cyclones should exploit them.

Prediction: Iowa State Team Total Over

Half-Time Total Bet

Insiders Status:


I am going with the under on the halftime line. Iowa State is playing stifling defense in the first half where they are limiting opponents to 8.6 points, good for 16th in the country. In addition, they are only averaging 13.8 points in the opening half. I expect big offense in the second half as Iowa State leads the entire FBS with an average of 25.6 points in the closing half.

Prediction: Under

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.