Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#365 Oregon State 52 vs.
#366 California -11
Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 2:30pm EDT
California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley
Written by Scott Reichel

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#365 Oregon State University
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Week eight of college football continues as Oregon State travels to Memorial Stadium to take on California on Saturday, Oct. 19 at 2:30 P.M. This will be the 72nd meeting between these two teams with California winning 38 of them. In addition, California has won each of the last two meetings including this most recent one which occurred last season as the Golden Bears won by a score of 49-7.

Oregon State Looks To Forget About Last Week

The Oregon State Beavers are in the midst of another below average season. Specifically, Oregon State has a 2-4 overall record and is an underwhelming 1-3 in conference play. In addition, Oregon State got humiliated last week by a conference rival as #13 Utah won handily. Oregon State only scored seven points in that game and lost by a score of 52-7 at home. Now, the Beavers have no choice but to move past that terrible performance last week as they have a conference road game up next that will require their undivided attention. If Oregon State does not come into this game fully focused, then one has to fear that another conference game blowout could potentially be on the horizon.

The starting quarterback for the Beavers is senior Jake Luton who looked solid in the first few games of the regular season. Specifically, he has thrown for 1,428 passing yards and 14 passing touchdowns. In addition, he only has thrown one interception so he has done a great job at limiting turnovers. However, he was awful against Utah last week with zero touchdowns and a 37.7 QBR. With a much weaker defense up next, expect Luton to bounce back.

Oregon State’s biggest threat on defense is junior linebacker Hamilcar Rashed Jr. who has looked amazing so far this season. Specifically, he already has a team-high six sacks along with two forced fumbles. In addition, he also ranks second on the team with 36 total tackles. Rashed Jr. has been an absolute force in the backfield for this unit and he will look to continue disrupting opposing offenses on Saturday.

California Looks To Get Back To Its Winning Ways

Even though California enters this game with a 4-2 record, it could definitely be entering this game under better circumstances. Specifically, California was actually ranked and undefeated a few weeks ago but ended up losing each of its last two games by at least seven points. The main reason why the Golden Bears are on a brief losing streak has been injuries as their starting quarterback is out indefinitely. However, California does enter this game off a bye week so perhaps that added preparation time will be enough to get this team back on track before its season completely unravels in the midst of Pac-12 conference play.

Leading the Golden Bears offensively will be junior quarterbackDevon Modster who has looked awful since becoming the starting quarterback. Specifically, Modster only has 229 passing yards along with one touchdown pass. To make matters worse, he also has already thrown three interceptions and is completing less than 47% of his passes. However, in his defense, he had to face two of the conference's best defenses in Arizona State and Oregon so his numbers should get much better as the season progresses.

California's biggest threat on defense is senior linebackerEvan Weaver who has been unstoppable so far this season. Specifically, he already has a whopping 83 tackles and 48 solo tackles which are both team-highs. In addition, he also has two passes defended along with a forced fumble. If Weaver stays healthy, he will most likely be a finalist for Butkus Award at the end of the season and he should be on an NFL roster when his college career concludes.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Even though this spread is a bit high for a conference game, I think that it is warranted as California is the much better team in this matchup. Oregon State enters this game in terrible form as it lost last week by a whopping 45 points at home. Meanwhile, California got a week off so it had extra time to prepare for this game which should give the Golden Bears a serious advantage in this game. Give me the home team as a result.

Prediction: California -11

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Simply put, I have to take the over in any game with Oregon State. The Beavers love to play uptempo on offense and they love to throw the ball around a lot which should result in a lot of big plays and clock stoppages. In addition, Oregon State's defense is abysmal as it is allowing 34.0 points per game. As a result, this game should end somewhere in the realm of 35-23 so I will take the over.

Prediction: Over 51.5
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Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.