Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#343 Purdue 51 vs.
#344 Iowa -18
Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 12:00pm EDT
Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City
Written by Benjamin Hayes



#343 Purdue University
#344 University of Iowa


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The Iowa Hawkeyes will be looking to halt a two-game losing streak when they host the Purdue Boilermakers at Kinnick Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The streak is over

The Boilermakers are just 2-4 overall and 1-2 in the Big Ten. They had dropped three in a row--to TCU, Minnesota, and Penn State--before hammering Maryland 40-14 this past Saturday. Senior quarterback Elijah Sindelar (978 yards, 9 TDs, 3 INTs) has been out with a broken collarbone that occurred against Minnesota (38-31 loss) on Sept. 28. Freshman Jack Plummer took his place against Minnesota and has had mixed results. He threw two TDs and two picks against Minnesota and then threw for just 119 yards against Penn State in a 35-7 loss.

However, Plummer broke out last week against Maryland and was named the Big Ten Offensive Player of the Week after completing 33 of 41 passes for a career-high 420 yards and three touchdowns. The 6-5 freshman has thrown for 965 yards with seven TDs and four picks this season and has completed 59.4% of his passes. Wide receiver David Bell earned Big Ten Freshman of the Week honors as he hauled in a career-high nine passes for 138 yards and a pair of touchdowns as the Boilermakers racked up 547 total yards against the Terrapins.

On the injury front, wide receiver Rondale Moore will miss his third straight game with a hamstring injury.

The key for Purdue will be on the defensive side as they are allowing a whopping 444.5 yards per game and 278 in the air. Iowa's offense has been held to 15 combined points over the last two weeks, but that was against elite defenses (Michigan, Penn State).

Dwelling in the cellar

No. 22 Iowa is looking to back on track after two difficult losses to Michigan on the road (10-3) and Penn State at home last week (17-12). The defense gave them a chance in both games, especially against a pretty dynamic PSU offense, holding them to just 294 total yards. They allowed 177 on the ground, but that was on 53 carries (3.3ypc). But the offense struggled, producing 356 yards and just 70 on the ground (2.3ypc). Quarterback Nate Stanley played well, completing 25 of 43 for 286 yards with one TD and one pick.

Iowa ranks fifth in the nation in yards allowed per game with 260.8 ypg and they are seventh against the pass (160ypg). Stanley has thrown for 1,511 yards this season with nine TDs and four picks (61.1%).

In injury news, the Hawkeyes lost offensive lineman Cole Banwart for the season, though leading tackler Kristian Welch is expected to return after missing last week's game.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


While Iowa is a good football team, they don't have a dynamic offense. They hammered Rutgers 30-0, but they might be one of the worst teams in the nation. Purdue is not bad with Plummer at the helm and while he's facing a much tougher defense than Maryland, he has enough weapons to make this a competitive game.  Purdue has actually won the last two meetings, including a 24-15 road win in 2017. They won't be intimidated in this one.

Prediction: Purdue +18

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


This is an easy one. Iowa should be ready to explode after facing two very good defenses in the last two games. Stanley is a very good Big 10 quarterback and Plummer is an up-and-coming one. But the biggest factor in the over is the Purdue defense. Before the Maryland game, they had allowed an average of 36 points per game in their previous three games. Normally, Iowa is an under team but they could easily score 35 in this one so the total is too low. Go over.

Prediction: Over 48.5

Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!