Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#393 Texas A&M -5.5 vs.
#394 Ole Miss 56
Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 7:30pm EDT
Vaught-Hemmingway Stadium, University
Written by Sporty Jordy

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#393 Texas A&M University
#394 University of Mississippi
3-3
3-4
2-3-1
4-3
3-3
4-3
31
27
22
27

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

When and where: October 19, 2019, Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS, 7:30 PM ET

An SEC showdown between the Texas A&M Aggies and Ole Miss Rebels takes center stage in a primetime slot in Saturday night’s NCAA football action. A loss to Missouri followed Ole Miss’ blowout win over Vanderbilt at home, leaving them with a 3-4 overall record on the season. Things won’t get any easier with quarterback Kellen Mond and the Aggies coming to town.

While the Aggies are coming off a loss to Alabama, there was a lot to like from the offensive side of the ball against Nick Saban’s defense. Mond threw for 264 passing yards and two touchdowns, despite being under duress from Alabama’s pass rush throughout the entire game. He’ll look to boost those numbers against an Ole Miss secondary that is vulnerable against the pass.

Mond breaks out against Alabama

There weren’t many positives to take away from Texas A&M’s drubbing at the hands of the No. 1-ranked team in the nation, the Alabama Crimson Tide, aside from Mond’s impressive performance in the pocket. The offensive line couldn’t keep the pressure off him, and the team failed to establish a rushing attack with Isaiah Spiller. Mond was literally a one-man offensive machine, racking up 264 passing yards and two touchdowns, along with rushing for 90 yards and one touchdown.

So the only three touchdowns scored on the day for the Aggies had Mond’s name on them.

His ability to sustain that level of play against an Ole Miss defense that ranks as the second-worst in the SEC conference will be on full display on Saturday. The first order of business will be attacking that vulnerable defensive secondary that is giving up a conference-worst 300.4 passing yards per game. No, Mond isn’t on Tua Tagovailoa’s level, but the Alabama quarterback torched the Ole Miss defense with his mobility in the pocket for 418 passing yards and six touchdowns.

Ole Miss’ defense will find Mond equally as slippery when attempting to bring him down. On the defensive side of the ball, Texas A&M sits middle-of-the-pack in a division full of great football teams. Ole Miss depends on big plays to move the ball, while ranking fifth-worst in the conference in third-down conversions. Texas A&M will be fine on defense as long as they avoid giving up those long scrimmage plays.

Secondary has to step up for Ole Miss

If the defensive secondary can’t show any life for the Rebels, it will be the same story we’ve seen from them all season. They’ll get carved up by an elite passer, and their offense will fail to go blow-for-blow with the opposing team.

Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral hopes to replicate the versatility shown by Mond to a certain degree with his dual abilities in the pocket. He hasn’t shown anywhere near the same level of throwing precision yet, but he is capable of scrambling and making plays on the move. Texas A&M’s defense didn’t necessarily fair well against Tagovailoa, either.

Defense will be key for Ole Miss to have a shot at actually hanging around in this game. They’ll have to show some life in the secondary to keep Mond from wrecking the game. They have been decent against the run and downright awful against the pass. If they allow Mond to sling the ball all over them on offense, the game will be over before the start of the fourth quarter.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The writing seems to already be on the wall that Ole Miss’ defense is going to give up 300-plus passing yards and one touchdown, which is typically the case whenever they face decent quarterbacks. Missouri quarterback Kelly Bryant lit them up for 329 yards and one touchdown last weekend, setting the stage for Mond to break the game wide open on Saturday.

They have no answers in a defensive secondary that quarterbacks are completing 64.6 percent of their passes against. Vanderbilt is the only team in the conference that has allowed more touchdown passes than the Rebels (14).

The Aggies may not be one of the best run-stuffing teams in the conference, but they’ll tighten up when an offense becomes one-dimensional, which is often the case for the Rebels. Corral, a freshman, is still finding his game at quarterback, and he’ll fail to keep up with the sort of frantic offensive pace a Mond-led Aggies offense can set. He’ll slip away further and further until there’s no coming back.

Give me the Aggies and the points.

Prediction: Texas A&M Aggies (-6.5)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Don’t expect the Rebels to just roll over on offense even if they can’t keep pace with Mond and the Aggies. The Aggies are giving up an average of 22.7 points per game, and the Rebels have proven feisty in conference play. However, the story of the night will once again be Mond, who is seriously starting to become his own circus act. I’m taking the over betting total here.

Prediction: Over (55.5)
Loading...

Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.