Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#347 Western Michigan -8.5 vs.
#348 Eastern Michigan 58.5
Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 7:00pm EDT
Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti
Written by David Hess

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#347 Western Michigan University
#348 Eastern Michigan University
4-3
3-3
3-3-1
2-4
2-5
3-2-1
35
25
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College football action on Saturday evening and a pair of teams from the Mid-American Conference will square off as the Western Michigan Broncos grapple with the Eastern Michigan Eagles at Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, Michigan. The Broncos won this game at home last year by a score of 27-24.

Michigan MAC Trophy

Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan, and Central Michigan are all battling for the Michigan Trophy and WMU can secure the trophy with a win in this game. It would be the 2nd year in a row that they have won it. The Broncos have won the last five games in this series, including last year's 27-24 at home.

WMU has followed each win up with a loss this year and each loss with a win. They enter off a 38-16 home win over Miami-Oh so they will be trying to break their current trend of win one lose one. They are now at 4-3 on the year and the defense has been the key to their success. The Broncos are 101st in total defense and 65th in points allowed, giving up 26.9 ppg, but we note that they have allowed 44.7 ppg in their three losses, which were all on the road, but just 13.5 ppg in their four wins, which were all at home. Those are telling stats right there. We even go a bit further to note that they have allowed 51 and 52 points in their two games against Power Five teams, but just 20 ppg in their games against non-Power Five teams.

“We’ve always talked about getting our defense to a level where we can win a championship and I think we’re heading in that direction,” Lester said. “They limited big plays and they got turnovers. We held on in the fourth quarter and pulled away a little bit, so I was proud of the way we played as a team.”

The offense has been solid all year as they come in ranked 31st in total yards and 34th in scoring at 35.4 ppg. Let's take that one step further. The Broncos have averaged 25 ppg against Power Five teams, compared to putting up 39.6 ppg against non-power-five teams. John Wassink has been solid this year as he has thrown for 1906 yards with 14 TDs and six INTs so far. He will be facing an EMU defense that ranks 105th in passing defense.

EMU Comes Up A Bit Short

The Eastern Michigan Eagles come in with a 3-3 record that includes a road win over Illinois from the Big 10. Still, they are not where they want to be in the MAC as the Eagles are off to a 0-2 start in league play. They hope to get in the MAC win column with a win over a very inconsistent WMU squad. The Eagles are off of a 29-23 home loss to Ball State as they came up just a bit short in their quest for their first MAC win of the year. The defense has been an issue for them as they have now allowed at least 29 points in each of their last five games. The Eagles are 106th in total defense and 100th in points allowed, giving up 32.0 ppg.

The Eagles lost the turnover battle 4-1 and they were just 2-of-13 on 3rd down in their loss to the Cardinals. Mike Glass III leads the 40th ranked passing offense and he was 20-of-34 for 283 yards and a touchdown against the Cardinals The bad news was that he was intercepted three times in the loss. The Eagles were limited to just 89 yards and running the ball has been an issue as they are just 124th in the nation in that department.

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The Broncos have struggled on the road so far, but two of their three road games were against Power Five teams and their other one was against a strong Toledo squad. The Broncos have allowed just 20.0 ppg in their five games against non-Power Five teams and the Eagles do not have an offense that will scare many teams, especially their ground game, which is one of the worst in the league. The offense for the Broncos has been solid and the Eagles have allowed 35.5 ppg in their two league games so far. The clincher is the fact that the road team is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series.

Prediction: Western Michigan -8.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I get the fact that WMU has struggled on defense on the road, but they have played Michigan State, Syracuse, and Toledo on the road. The Broncos have allowed juts 20 ppg in their five games against non-conference teams and their three conference games thus far have averaged just 51.7 ppg, with none of those games putting up more than 55 points. I just don't see this game making it into the 60s and the clincher is the fact that the Under is 15-5-1 in Eastern Michigan's last 21 home games.

Prediction: Under 61.5
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.