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Bowling Green vs. Ohio U,
10-20-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#375 Bowling Green
Falcons 69.5
#376 Ohio U
Bobcats -16.5

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 2:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Bowling Green Falcons

1 - 6

2-5
ATS
5-1
O/U
27
PPG
47
OPPG

Ohio U Bobcats

3 - 3

3-3
ATS
3-2
O/U
34
PPG
33
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The Bowling Green Falcons will be hoping to halt a four-game losing streak when they visit the Ohio Bobcats at Peden Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Bowling Green is 1-6 overall and coming off consecutive setbacks at the hands of Miami (OH), Georgia Tech, Toledo, and Western Michigan. The Bobcats had won two in a row before falling at Northern Illinois last weekend.

Bowling for a new head coach

Bowling Green fired head coach Mike Jinks on Sunday, one day following the team’s 42-35 home loss to Western Michigan. ‘ tenure at Bowling Green has come to an end. Athletic director Bob Moosbrugger said the decision was not easy (when does an AD says it is easy?) but that “it was time” for the two sides to part ways. Jinks compiled a 7-24 during his tenure with the Falcons after replacing Dino Babers, who them to bowl games in both of his seasons before leaving for Syracuse.

“I want to thank coach Jinks for all of his efforts with our football program and in the BG community,” Moosbrugger said in a statement. “However, we felt it was time to make a change in leadership. These are not easy decisions and we do not take this lightly. This affects 11 coaching families, 112 student-athletes and numerous support staff. We wish Mike and his family the best in their future endeavors.”

Defensive coordinator Carl Pelini will serve as interim head coach, starting on Saturday against Ohio. Pelini has not exactly improved his coaching resume this season, too, as the Bowling Green defense has been torched to the tune of giving up 58, 45, 35 (in a win), 38, 63, 52, and 42 points in seven games this season.

Close but no cigar

As a +5.5 underdog, Ohio went into the fourth of last weekend’s showdown against Northern Illinois with a 21-9 lead. It did not last long. The Huskies scored on their first possession of the final 15 minutes, they produced a strip-sack of Bobcats quarterback NIU, scored a few plays later, and got the two-point conversion for a quick 24-21 advantage. That proved to be the final score, as Rourke and the Ohio offense could not regain the advantage.

“I believe the best defensive team that we’ve played so far this year,” head coach Frank Solich said of NIU. “We weren’t able to get the running game going, which is obviously something we take a lot of pride in. We were able then to get some things done through the air. The good thing about is that if we can’t get it done running, we have a shot producing some points through the air. We need to resolve that and get back to a very good running game. We had three turnovers, if you’re minus three in the turnover category you typically won’t win a ball game, especially against a good football team.”

A.J. Ouellette and Maleek Irons combined for a mere 46 yards on 22 carries. Ouellette at least found the endzone once, but he also fumbled in the third quarter. Rourke did most of the damage through the air, with three different receivers finishing with at least three catches (Isiah Cox, Cameron Odom, and Papi White). He went 15-of-23 for 275 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Bowling Green is not going to win this game, but 16.5 points may be enough to cover. Perhaps a coaching change will at least somewhat inspire the Falcons. Ohio is by no means a juggernaut and it is coming off a rough loss in a game it probably should have won, so this is a decent opportunity for BG to play a rare competitive game.

Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Bowling Green’s defense was already atrocious, and now Pelini has to deal with full-on head coaching duties as opposed to simply trying to stop opposing offenses. He will certainly have his hands full with Rourke steering Ohio’s ship. The over is 13-3-1 in the Falcons’ last 17 overall, 7-0 in their last seven on the road, 10-1 in their last 11 conference contests, and 6-1 in their last seven after allowing more than 40 points in their previous outing. It is also 13-6-1 in the Bobcats’ last 20 overall and 4-1-1 in their last six against losing opponents. Look for this one to go over the total.

Prediction: Over

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

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