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Utah State vs. Wyoming,
10-20-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#359 Utah State
Aggies -14
#360 Wyoming
Cowboys 53.5

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 2:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Utah State Aggies

5 - 1

6-0
ATS
6-0
O/U
51
PPG
23
OPPG

Wyoming Cowboys

2 - 5

1-6
ATS
3-3
O/U
15
PPG
25
OPPG

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The red-hot Utah State Aggies will head on the road to battle the Wyoming Cowboys in an MWC battle Saturday afternoon from War Memorial Stadium. The Aggies crushed UNLV by a 59-28 score last week, and the Cowboys dropped a 27-3 road decision to Fresno State in their previous action. Wyoming tallied a 28-23 road win against Utah State last season.

Aggies Crush UNLV in Fifth Straight Win

The Utah State Aggies enter this conference clash on the hunt for their sixth consecutive victory. They improved to 2-0 in MWC play with a dominating 59-28 home win against UNLV last week. Jordan Love came through with a spectacular performance, recording 322 passing yards with 5 TD’s. The sophomore QB has tossed nine TD passes in his last two games, and he is having a stellar season, amassing 1557 passing yards with a 14:3 TD to INT ratio on the year. The Aggies dynamic duo of Darwin Thompson and Gerold Bright have been a force this season. They have combined for 847 rushing yards on the season which included 124 rushing yards against UNLV last week.  Aggies’ leading receiver Jalen Greene is coming off his best game of the season, collecting 132 receiving yards, and he is up to 312 receiving yards on the year. The Utah State offense continues to shine, scoring at least 42 points in five consecutive games, and their powerful rushing offense is averaging 5.6 yards per carry.

The Aggies defense is also playing well. They weren’t quite as sharp last week against UNLV, allowing 404 total yards, although they are holding opponents to an average of 365 total yards on the season. Utah State is firing on all cylinders right now, and they are 6-0 ATS. Their lone loss came in week one at Michigan State. The Aggies are averaging a sizzling 51.7 points, good for second in the country. They are holding opponents to 23.8 points, pegging them 49th overall.

Wyoming’s Offense Continues to Struggle

The Wyoming Cowboys’ offensive struggles resumed last week in a 27-3 road loss to Fresno State to drop to 0-3 in MWC play. Tyler Vander Waal struggled, completing only 37% of his passes for 117 yards with zero TD’s and one INT. The freshman QB is having a tough time transitioning to the FBS, collecting 1006 passing yards with a 3:3 TD to INT ratio in seven games. Cowboys’ top rusher Nico Evans has been one of the few bright spots on offense this season, racking up 670 rushing yards in only five games. The senior RB has tallied over 190 rushing yards in two of his five games played. Wyoming does not feature a receiver with over 300 receiving yards. Senior WR James Price leads the way with 263 receiving yards. The Cowboys offense is struggling mightily, scoring fewer than 20 points in six consecutive games.

The Wyoming defense is their greatest strength as a team, and they are playing reasonably well. They held Fresno State to 391 yards last week, and they limited a 6-2 Hawaii team to only 17 points in week six. The Cowboys lone conference home game resulted in a 34-14 loss to Boise State. They are currently scoring an average of only 15.4 points, ranking them down at 129th in the country. The Cowboys are conceding an average of 25.7 points, placing them 67th overall.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am taking Utah State in this battle. Utah State continues to dominate while Wyoming continues to struggle. Utah State features a stellar passing offense that is averaging 280 passing yards per game, good for 26th in the country. Wyoming is having trouble against the pass, allowing an average of 245 passing yards per game, pegging them down at 98th in the FBS, so look for another big game from Jordan Love.

Furthermore, the Cowboys offense is having big issues generating offense. Their passing offense ranks 122nd in the nation paired with a running game that is only averaging 138 yards per game. Utah State is solid defensively, and they are limiting their opposition to an average of only 208 passing yards per game. Wyoming is only averaging 10 points in their three conference games, and I expect a red-hot Utah State team to come away with a convincing road win.

Prediction: Utah State Aggies

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I am taking the under in this one due to Wyoming’s offensive struggles. The Cowboys have scored 17 or fewer points in five consecutive games, and Utah State is holding opponents to an average of only 23.8 points on the season, plus the under is 6-1-1 in Wyoming’s last eight games after recording less than 170 passing yards in their previous game.

In addition, while I do anticipate a productive afternoon from Utah State, Wyoming does have a decent defense that should be able to slow down the Aggies running game. The under is 8-1 in Wyoming’s last nine conference games, and it should hit again in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

The under on the Wyoming team total is a strong option. The Cowboys have not scored an offensive touchdown in two straight games, and they are up against another terrific defense. Wyoming’s QB Tyler Vander Waal is only completing 51% of his passes for three TD’s, and he will have trouble against a strong secondary. Wyoming ranks at the bottom of the country with an average of only 282 total yards per game, and Utah State should silence their weak offense.

Prediction: Wyoming Team Total: Under

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

I am sticking with Utah State on the halftime line. Utah State continues to pile on the points in the first half, ranking third in the country with an average of 26.2 points. Furthermore, the Cowboys are having big trouble generating offense in the opening half, averaging a measly 6.2 points.

Prediction: Utah State Aggies -7.5

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

I am staying with the under on the halftime total. Utah State is playing outstanding defense in the opening half, holding their opponents to an average of only 9.3 points in the first half over their last three games. In addition, the Cowboys are also playing strong defense in the first half, conceding an average of only 11.5 points.

Prediction: Under 25.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction
Rating:

Utah State should definitely be able to score first. Wyoming is only averaging two points in the first quarter over their last three games. In addition, Utah State ranks 10th in the country with an average of 11.6 points in the opening quarter.

Prediction: Utah State to Score First -200

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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