Late night college football action and a pair of teams from the Mountain West Conference will square off over in the Islands as the Nevada Wolf Pack pay a visit to Aloha Stadium to rumble with the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. The Wolf Pack enter this game off a 31-27 home loss to Boise State, while the Rainbow Warriors are off a 49-23 loss at BYU. These teams met last year and Nevada won that game at home by a score of 35-21.
Wolf Pack Fall Just Short Against Boise State
It has not been a great year for Nevada so far as they enter this game standing at 3-4 overall, including just 1-2 in league play. They did start off their MWC slate with a road win over Air Force but have since dropped home games against Fresno State and Boise State. They will look to get back to the .500 level in this one, but Hawaii is usually tough to beat at home. The biggest task for Nevada in this one will be to get their 105th ranked passing defense to slow down Cole McDonald and the 16th ranked passing offense of Hawaii. McDonald has been outstanding for Hawaii this year and I will have his stats in Hawaii’s portion of this writeup. Let’s just say that very few have stopped him so far. If Nevada can stop him, then they have a shot as Hawaii is just 105th in the nation in rushing and Nevada is above average at stopping the run.
— Nevada Wolf Pack (@NevadaWolfPack) October 14, 2018
Nevada has a solid passing game of their own and they threw for 304 yards against Boise State last week, but it just wasn’t enough as they fell 31-27. Ty Gangi has thrown for 1636 yards with 13 TDs and seven INTs in leading the Wolf Pack to the 30th ranked passing offense in the land. Gangi will take aim at a Hawaii defense that is 96th in the nation against the pass and he will need to have a big game if they are to match the Rainbow Warriors point-for-point. Nevada is 51st in total offense and 56t in scoring at 31.6 ppg, while on the other side of the ball, they are 86th in total defense and 103rd in scoring defense at 33.6 ppg.
Defense Struggles In Loss To BYU
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have had a good season so far as they are 6-2 on the year and are already bowl eligible. They have been led by a strong offense and a possible Heisman candidate at QB in Cole McDonald. He has had a great season so far as he has thrown for 2348 yards with 26 TDs and just three INTs. Yikes. The Rainbow Warriors are 11th in the nation in passing at 313 ypg. One of McDonald’s picks came last week in their 49-23 loss at BYU. He threw for just 248 yards in that game but also had Two TDs. The Hawaii passing game will be tested in this one against a Nevada defense that allows less than 200 yards per game through the air on the road. Overall, this offense ranks 38th in total offense and 29th in scoring, putting up 36.5 ppg.
— Nick Rolovich Show (@RolovichShow) October 15, 2018
One player to watch is WR John Ursua, who leads the nation in receiving yards with 890 and is 2nd in TDs with 14. Nevada will have to pay close attention to him. The defense for Hawaii has not been that great this year and it had a bad game against BYU as they allowed the Cougars to roll up 474 yards of total offense, including 280 on the ground. The good news here is that Nevada is just 91st in the nation in rushing. If Hawaii has a good showing on Defense ib this one, then they will be very tough to beat, especially at home. Still, the success of Hawaii this year has been resting on the arm of McDonald.
- The Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 43-20-3 in their Warriors last 66 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
- 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Rainbow Warriors were crushed last week, but that game was on the road and they are a solid team at home. They were also playing a solid BYU team that upset Wisconsin on the road. Hawaii has a strong passing offense and the Wolf Pack are 105th in the nation against the pass. Cole McDonald will have a field day against this offense. He has thrown 26 TDs and just three INTs on the year. Look for that passing game to lead Haway to a win of at least 10 points.
Prediction: Hawaii -3.5
Full-Game Total Pick
This should be a high scoring game. The Hawaii offense will put up some big numbers through the air against a bad Nevada pass defense. Nevada has an offense that can score as well and the Hawaii defense is not that great at all. They allowed BYU to hang up 49 points on them last week and they have allowed 26 ppg at home, while Nevada has allowed 43 ppg on the road. Take the Over in this one.
Half-Time Side Pick
The Rainbow Warriors are a tough team to beat at home and they have a solid team overall this year. Their offense is the best in the MWC and Nevada doesn’t have a defense that will be able to slow them down. Hawaii is off a bad loss to BYU and this field and will be itching to get off to a strong start in this one.
Prediction: Hawaii -1.5
Half-Time Total Bet
This one should be fun from the start. bith offenses are capable of big things, especially against a couple of suspect defenses. Neither team has played extremely high scoring first halves, but that should change in this one. Let’s call it 24-17 Hawaii at the break.
Prediction: Over 34