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Georgia Tech vs. Virginia Tech Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 10-25-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#111 Georgia Tech
Yellow Jackets 58
#112 Virginia Tech
Hokies -3.5

Thursday, October 25, 2018 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

3 - 4

2-5
ATS
4-2
O/U
37
PPG
28
OPPG

Virginia Tech Hokies

4 - 2

3-3
ATS
3-3
O/U
32
PPG
24
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will head on the road to Lane Stadium in Blacksburg, Virginia on Thursday night for a tough ACC showdown against the Virginia Tech Hokies.

The Hokies will be well-rested for this game and should have the advantage with an extra week to prepare for this matchup. Virginia Tech is coming off of their bye week following a win over North Carolina, while Georgia Tech snapped a two-game winning streak with a poor showing last week against the Duke Blue Devils.

Yellow Jackets snap two-game win streak

The Yellow Jackets fumbled their opportunity to upset Duke at home last weekend, falling to the Blue Devils 28-14 to drop to 3-4 on the season. TaQuon Marshall has completed 5 of 11 passes for 91 yards and a touchdown on the day, while adding 41 rush yards on the ground. Jerry Howard led the team in rushing with 62 yards and a touchdown on 12 attempts, but the Yellow Jackets coughed up the football three times in the third quarter leading to 21 points for Duke. Those three turnovers aside, the Yellow Jackets actually played a very good game, out-gaining Duke 354-304 in yards of total offense, while forcing three turnovers of their own on the defensive side of the football.

Georgia Tech comes in scoring 37.4 points per game this season, while allowing 28.3 per game on the defensive side of the ball. The Yellow Jackets run a Triple-Option-oriented attack, which means they do most of their damage on the ground. Approximately 77.7 percent of their total offense (453.4 yards per game) has come running the football (352.4 yards/gm).

Hokies get an extra week to prepare for Triple-Option

The Hokies are coming in fresh off of a bye after defeating North Carolina 22-19 on a last-minute touchdown two weeks ago. Ryan Willis found Dalton Keene from one yard out and connected with Damon Hazelton for a two-point conversion to help seal the comeback win with just 19 seconds left in the game. Virginia Tech trailed 16-7 before Willis’ first passing touchdown of the day to Sean Savoy in the third quarter and they drove 98 yards on 18 plays to get in the end zone for the game-winning score to avoid an upset on the road in North Carolina. Virginia Tech is an undefeated 3-0 in ACC play and lead the Coastal division by a half-game over in-state rival Virginia.

Virginia Tech entered their bye week ranked second in the ACC in passing offense and third in the conference in total offense, but the Hokies bread-and-butter this season has come inside the red zone. Virginia Tech has produced points on 20 of their 21 red zone trips (95.2 percent), which ranks 14th nationally, and they’ve scored 15 touchdowns on their 21 opportunities inside of the 20-yard line (71 percent). While the Hokies are averaging 32.8 points per game this fall, that number drops to 25.0 points per game against Power Five schools.

Updated on Oct 25 at 5:15pm EDT

Update prepared by our editoral staff

Public Money / Line Movements

There is a sharp influence in this one. Va Tech went from -4.5 to -3.5, despite getting 67% of the tickets. the Hokies have not been a good as advertised this year and the have lost faith in them.

Injury / Weather Report

Cloudy and in the 40s. No weather issues for this one.

Georgia Tech’s Injury Report:

LB David Curry (seven games, 23 tackles) is questionable as is DB Jaytlin Askew (five games, 17 tackles)

Virginia Tech’s Injury Report:

KR Terius Wheatley (seven returns) is questionable as is Divine Deablo (four games 15 tackles, two TFL) and WR Tre Turner (133 yards).

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in each of their last six trips to Blacksburg. The underdog is 11-1 against the spread in the last 12 meetings between these teams and the road team has covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 meetings overall. Virginia Tech has had a Dr. Jekyll and Hyde type of season, defeating two ranked opponents on the road, while also losing to a 1-6 Old Dominion team. Fresh off of a bye, you have to like Virginia Tech’s chances against the Triple-Option oriented attack. They are allowing just 123 yards per game on the ground this season and their defense has been absolutely locked in during their three conference games this year. Virginia Tech has allowed just 12 points per game through three ACC contests, so I’ll take my chances with the Hokies at home in this spot.

Prediction: Pick: Virginia Tech Hokies -3.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

These two teams have gone under the projected total in each of their last five meetings in Virginia Tech and five of the last six meetings overall between these two teams. The Hokies are averaging just 25.0 points per game against Power Five opponents and they’ve held all three of their ACC opponents this year under 20 points. Virginia Tech has allowed just 123 rush yards per game on defense and they had an extra week to prepare for the Triple-Option, so I see this game staying under the projected total on Thursday night.

Prediction: Under

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

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