Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#125 Bowling Green vs.
#126 Western Michigan
Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 12:00pm EDT
Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo
Written by Joshua Broom

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#125 Bowling Green State University
#126 Western Michigan University
2-5
4-4
2-5
3-4-1
2-5
2-6
16
34
35
27

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Bowling Green meets Western Michigan Saturday as each team seeks a Mid-American Conference win. The WMU Broncos are 4-0 from home this season, last defeating Miami (Ohio) 38-16 before dropping a recent road encounter vs. Eastern Michigan. Visiting Bowling Green has lost five of six -though national power Notre Dame provided one of those setbacks. The Falcons (1-2) rank third in the MAC West. Western Michigan (2-2) sits third in the MAC East.

WMU enters this weekend’s contest a massive -26 point favorite: though they’re also 4-0 at home ATS. Meanwhile, the Bowling Green Falcons are currently 0-3 on the road.

Recurring issues for Bowling Green

Since Dino Babers earned his stripes after a ten-win 2015, and immediately left to Coach Syracuse, the Falcons have been in disrepair. None of Babers’ successors has broken four wins in any season. After taking over for Mike Jinks, rookie college head coach Scot Loeffler has fared no better.

Loeffler’s struggles compound as his Falcons rank No. 126 FBS at 16.1 points per game and No. 119 defensively while allowing 35.6 points per outing. The primary reason behind Bowling Green’s stagnant offense is now-transferred quarterback Jarrett Doege. After tossing 27 touchdowns against 12 interceptions in 2018 for the Falcons, like Babers, Doege left for a larger program. The junior is enrolled with West Virginia, but is conserving eligibility this season.

At any rate, Bowling Green could use Doege’s pocket instincts as replacements Darius Wade and Grant Loy have each struggled behind center in 2019.

With many other in-State schools attracting talent, it could be a while before Bowling Green breaks this dry spell of losing seasons. Saturday’s contest will serve as an opportunity for the Falcons to defy a large spread vs. average mid-major competition.

Western Michigan led by fantastic duo

Cruising from home, Western Michigan, too, has experienced a downturn since losing a talented head coach. Following an abrupt 2016 Cotton Bowl appearance, sideline general P.J. Fleck left for Minnesota —his Gophers are currently 7-0. Yet, even without Fleck, unlike Bowling Green, WMU has salved respectability.

Now stuck around .500 each year, the Broncos gain leadership from senior quarterback Jon Wassink. Wassink has put together his finest season in 2019, completing 59% of passes for 2,098 yards, 15 touchdowns and seven interceptions. The veteran play caller’s poise leads WMU’s No. 37 FBS offense at 34.4 points. However, running back LeVante Bellamy’s 877 ground yards and 13 touchdowns greatly enhance Wassink’s passing avenues.

Both positional players will fully display their talents Saturday vs. Bowling Green’s FCS-esque defense. Don’t be surprised to see career days this weekend from Wassink and Bellamy as Western Michigan takes another step toward bowl eligibility.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Look for the early-season offense, which saw WMU roll Monmouth and Georgia State by 49-plus points, return today vs. outclassed Bowling Green. While today’s spread seems a bit ambitious for Wassink’s crew,  given the Falcons’ struggles, it is attainable.

And if Bellamy breaks loose vs. a team allowing 214 rushing yards per game, a 30-point Western Michigan win is in order. A quick reminder: the Broncos are 4-0 ATS this season from home and worth chalk Saturday.

Prediction: Broncos cover

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

After scoring 20 points per contest vs. their last three opponents outside South Bend, Bowling Green figures to offer enough offense vs. Western Michigan’s slightly subpar defense to go Over.

The Broncos allow 27.8 points, No. 72 FBS and will allow just enough from their visitor to make the final score a high total.

This trend backs the Over:

Prediction: Over
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Written By Joshua Broom

A lifelong sports enthusiast, Joshua Broom has lent his thirty-plus years of insight to several sports outlets and has appeared on national radio to talk hoops. Now a dedicated handicapper, Joshua avidly critiques NBA, MLB and college and professional basketball and football trends for the betting public. Check out his picks today at Stat Salt to get a leg up on your bookie.