Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#129 Central Michigan 51 vs.
#130 Buffalo -2.5
Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 3:30pm EDT
UB Stadium, Buffalo
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#129 Central Michigan University
#130 State University of New York at Buffalo
5-3
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6-1-1
3-4
6-2
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28
23
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The Buffalo Bulls will host the Central Michigan Chippewas in MAC play Saturday afternoon from UB Stadium. The Chippewas tallied a solid 38-20 road win against Bowling Green in their previous action, and the Bulls routed Akron by a 21-0 score in their latest game. Buffalo tallied a 34-24 road win against Central Michigan last season.

Central Michigan Targets Fourth Consecutive Victory

The Central Michigan Chippewas will be seeking their third consecutive victory in this one. The Chippewas have beaten Eastern Michigan, New Mexico State, succeeded by a 38-20 road win against Bowling Green last week in a game that had the CMU favored by 10.5 points. Quinten Dormady is a big threat at QB and playing well, accumulating 750 passing yards with a 6:2 TD to INT ratio. The senior QB missed four games due to injury. He has played with Tennessee and Houston in past seasons.

Watch for Jonathan Ward who is a big threat on the ground. The senior RB is red-hot, collecting at least 100 rushing yards in four consecutive games, and he has registered 661 rushing yards on the year. He will be up against a strong Bulls rush defense in this game.

Central Michigan is led by Kalil Pimpleton in the air. The sophomore WR recently recorded 112 yards in a win against Eastern Michigan, and he has brought in 521 receiving yards this season. The Chippewas offense is looking very dangerous with Dormady at QB and Ward on the ground, and they have piled on the points in their last three games.

The Central Michigan defense has been average. The Chippewas continue to neutralize opponents on the ground with a rush defense that stands 24th in the FBS, but their pass defense is placed down at 93rd overall. Central Michigan stands in second place in the MAC West, and they are scoring an average of 29 points, ranking them 67th in the country. They are allowing an average of 27.2 points, positioning them 67th overall. CMU is 1-3 on the road.

Buffalo Snaps Skid with Sparkling Defensive Performance

The Buffalo Bulls will be targeting their first two-game winning streak of the season in this one. The Bulls bounced back from a two-game skid by notching a 21-0 road win against Akron last week in a game that had Buffalo favored by 17.5 points. The Bulls hold a 1-2 mark in MAC play, and first place isn’t out of the question if they can go on a streak. Kyle Vantrease is now the Bulls starting quarterback after #1 QB Matt Myers is unfortunately out for the season with a neck injury. Vantrease is a sophomore who has 292 passing yards with two touchdowns and no picks in his two games played.

Buffaloes’ greatest strength lies in their running game led by Jaret Patterson. The sophomore RB has recorded at least 90 rushing yards three times this season, and he has accrued 686 rushing yards on an average of 5.2 yards per attempt. The Bulls also feature the dangerous Kevin Marks who is just behind Patterson with 603 rushing yards. It will be interesting to see how they fare against one of the best rushing defensive units in the MAC this week.

Antonio Nunn could play a big role in this game. The junior WR is the Bulls’ top target in the air and he could be targeted frequently if the Bulls have trouble on the ground. Nunn has 293 receiving yards on the year. The Bulls offense has been an area of concern despite having a very good ground game.

The Buffalo defense continues to shine. The Bulls are among the best in the MAC against both the pass and run which both rank in the top 45 in the FBS and they will have to be sharp against a hot Chippewas offense in this one. Buffalo is averaging 23.9 points on the season, placing them 96th overall. They are limiting opponents to 23.9 points, pegging them 48th in the FBS. The Bulls are 2-1 on their home field.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am siding with Central Michigan in this one. Central Michigan is playing with a ton of confidence right now. They have won three consecutive games with all three wins occurring by at least 14 points. QB Quinten Dormady is locked in, and the Chippewas rushing offense is very difficult to contain. They are averaging 189 rushing yards per game led by Jonathan Ward and Kobe Lewis who have combined for close to 1300 yards on the season.

Furthermore, Buffalo has relied on their strong running game to generate a good portion of their offense, but they will have trouble on the ground considering the Chippewas rush defense is tremendous. They are limiting opponents to 114 rushing yards per game, good for 24th in the country. Buffalo has lost to Miami Ohio and Ohio in MAC play, and overall their offense is an issue, especially with #1 QB Matt Myers now out for the season.

Prediction: Central Michigan

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect a low scoring MAC clash. Buffalo isn’t generating any significant offense, scoring 21 or fewer points in three consecutive games. Central Michigan held Miami of the ACC to only 17 points earlier this season, so they should be able to neutralize a low scoring Buffalo squad, plus the under is 4-1 in the Bull’s last five October games.

In addition, the Chippewas should have success on the ground, however, Buffalo is an outstanding defensive team. They are effective against both the pass and run and have conceded 22 or fewer points in three of their four conference games. Also consider the under is 6-1 in the Chippewas’ last seven games after conceding less than 170 passing yards in their previous game.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The under on the Buffalo team total offered on PointsBet is a good play. Buffalo’s offense is very flat right now and it doesn’t get any easier with #1 QB Matt Myers now out for the season. His replacement Kyle Vantrease doesn’t have much experience. Central Michigan will pressure the QB as they have accumulated 21 sacks on the season. I am not worried about the Bulls running game considering Central Michigan’s stifling rush defense. Lastly, CMU has only conceded an average of 22.7 points in their last three road games.

Prediction: Buffalo Team Total Under

Half-Time Total Bet

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The under on the halftime total is also worth a look. Central Michigan has only allowed an average of 10.3 points in the first half in their last three games overall. Buffalo is also playing sharp defense in the opening half where they are limiting their opponents to an average of 9.2 points, good for 23rd in the FBS.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.