A pair of teams from the Coastal Division of the ACC from the Tar Heel State take the field against one another. The Duke Blue Devils make the in-state trek as they battle the North Carolina Tar Heels Saturday afternoon. Duke was crushed 48-14 on the road by Virginia in their previous contest last Saturday. North Carolina was edged 43-41 in sextuple overtime on the road to Virginia Tech in their previous game last Saturday. The Tar Heels lead the all-time series between the teams 58-36-4 but the Blue Devils have won the last three matchups, including a 42-35 home win in the last meeting on November 10, 2018.
Duke Blue Devils Look to ReboundDuke suffered their second loss in three games after a three-game win streak as they were hammered on the road by Virginia in their last game. The Blue Devils now try to rebound and avoid a third defeat in four games while staying in the race for the Coastal Division crown. Duke was involved in a scoreless tie after one quarter against Virginia before the roof fell in: they were outscored 17-0 in the second quarter and 24-7 in the third to trail 41-7 entering the fourth. That told the tale of the contest. The Blue Devils were outgained 307-250, gave up 17 first downs while picking up 14 and lost the time of possession battle by a 34:29 to 25:31 margin. Duke was hurt by five turnovers and gave up a kickoff return for a score while forcing only two takeaways.
The Blue Devils are 105th in the nation in passing offense with 192.1 yards per game and 56th in rushing offense by picking up 175.6 yards per contest. Duke is 50th in the FBS in scoring offense with 31.3 points per game while they are 60th in scoring defense by allowing 26.7 points per contest. Quentin Harris has completed 128 of 207 passes for 1,271 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions this season: he leads the team with 417 yards on the ground plus five scores on the year. Chris Katrenick is three of six for 49 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Deon Jackson is the lead back for the Blue Devils with 105 carries for 396 yards and five scores. Mataeo Durant (61 carries, 226 yards, TD) is the next back in the system. Jalon Calhoun leads the team with 31 receptions for 257 yards and three touchdowns this season. Noah Gray (29 catches, 209 yards, two TD), Aaron Young (16 catches, 206 yards, two TD) and Scott Bracey (14 grabs, 195 yards, TD) are other options in the passing game. AJ Reed has hit all 25 extra point attempts and eight of eight field goal tries with a long of 50 yards this season.
North Carolina Tar Heels Hoping to Turn Things AroundNorth Carolina had their chances but missed several chances to put the game away: they ended up losing in the first game contested under the new NCAA rules regarding multiple overtimes. The Tar Heels are 2-2 in the ACC and a win here would help them keep pace in the Coastal Division. North Carolina held a slim 491-490 edge in total offense: both teams had 23 first downs while the Tar Heels lost the time of possession by a 32:12 to 27:48 margin. The Tar Heels forced two turnovers in the game while not committing one in the contest. North Carolina announced that Jonathan Kim would be taking over the kicking duties after Noah Ruggles was two of four on field goals in the contest.
The Tar Heels are 33rd in the nation in passing offense as they average 273.9 yards through the air and 72nd in rushing with 160.7 yards per contest. North Carolina is 73rd in the FBS in scoring offense by averaging 28.6 points per game and are 65th in scoring defense as they allow 27 points per contest. Sam Howell has completed 149 of 244 passes for 1,892 yards with 20 touchdowns and three interceptions this season. Jace Ruder is one of two for seven yards. Javonte Williams leads the Tar Heels in the ground game with 94 carries for 529 yards and three scores. Michael Carter is next up as he has 97 carries for 478 yards this season. Dazz Newsome leads the team with 38 receptions for 479 yards and five scores this season. Dyami Brown (26 catches, 477 yards, five TD, Beau Corrales (23 receptions, 261 yards, four TD) and Rontavious Groves (19 grabs, 193 yards, TD) are secondary options. Ruggles has hit all 20 extra points and 10 of 16 field goal attempts with a long of 49 this season.
- Blue Devils are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
- Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game
- Tar Heels are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record