Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#143 Nevada 48 vs.
#144 Wyoming -14
Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 2:00pm EDT
War memorial Stadium, Laramie
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#143 University of Nevada Reno
#144 University of Wyoming
4-3
5-2
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21
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The Wyoming Cowboys will host the Nevada Wolfpack in an MWC tilt Saturday afternoon from War Memorial Stadium in Laramie, WY. The Wolfpack dropped a 36-10 road decision to Utah State in their latest clash, and the Cowboys posted a convincing 23-10 home win against New Mexico in their previous action. Wyoming recorded a 42-34 road win against Nevada in the previous meeting back in the 2016 season.

Nevada's Offense Falters in Second MWC Defeat

The Nevada Wolfpack head into this challenging matchup having lost two out of their last three games. Nevada hadtrouble in a 36-10 road loss to Utah State last week in a game that had the Wolfpack as 23 point dogs. Malik Henry got the start at QB and he struggled, connecting on only 17 of 38 passes for 213 yards with two interceptions. The junior QB on has tallied 593 passing yards with a 1:4 TD to INT ratio. Nevada has decided to start Carson Strong this week. Strong was originally named the#1 QB entering the season and he started the first four games. The freshman QB is also having issues, logging 729 passing yards with a 3:5 TD to INT ratio in his four games.

Nevada will give Toa Taua plenty of carries on the ground. The sophomore RB rushed for 160 yards two weeks ago, and 84 yards on 20 attempts last week. Taua has accrued 513 rushing yards on the year, and he is faced with a daunting task against an outstanding Wyoming rush defense.

Elijah Cooks continues to be targeted frequently, making 15 receptions over his last three games. The junior WR is up to 393 receiving yards and four touchdowns on the season. The Wolfpack offense is very inconsistent and scoring points has been an issue.

The Nevada defense is an area that needs a lot of improvement. They have fared well against the run, but their pass defense is placed down at 116th in the FBS. The Wolfpack are currently averaging 21.4 points, ranking them 111th overall. They are conceding an average of 38.6 points, pegging them down at 127th in the FBS. Nevada is 1-2 on the road.

Wyoming Remains Perfect on Home Field as Defense Shines

The Wyoming Cowboys enter this one on a winning note. Wyoming rebounded from their loss to San Diego State by logging a 23-10 home win against New Mexico last week in a matchup that pegged the Cowboys as 19.5 point favorites. The Cowboys are in the middle of the MWC standings with a 2-1 conference record after opening non-conference play with three straight wins. Sean Chambers was outstanding last week, recording 86 passing yards along with 117 rushing yards. The freshman QB does not attempt many passes, but he is mobile and can exploit his opposition on the ground. Chambers has 757 passing yards with a 5:2 TD to INT ratio, and he leads Wyoming with 547 rushing yards.

The Cowboys offense revolves around their running game. They feature multiple backs that can do damage. Xazavian Valladay is coming off a season-high 127 rushing yards in the win against the Lobos last week. The sophomore back has 425 rushing yards. Titus Swen, who has tallied 337 rushing yards, is out with a knee injury.

Wyoming’s receiving leader Austin Conway only has 131 receiving yards, followed by Raghib Ismail Jr. with 110 yards. Both should make their presence felt against a weak pass defense. The Cowboys offense doesn’t usually score big points, but they are very productive on the ground with a rushing offense that stands 15th in the FBS.

The Wyoming defense is among the best in the MWC. The Cowboys defense will keep them in most games highlighted by a rush defense that ranks 18th overall, although they will give up yards in the air. Wyoming is currently averaging 28.6 points, ranking them 74th in the FBS. They are limiting opponents to 19.7 points, good for 25th overall. The Cowboys feature a perfect 4-0 home record.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am taking Wyoming on their home field. The Wyoming defense continues to thrive, and they should neutralize a struggling Nevada offense which should lead to the cover. The Cowboys have held their opponents to an average of only 17.7 points in their last three games. Nevada is going to have trouble scoring considering they have failed to score more than 10 points in two out of their last three games.

Furthermore, the Nevada defense is also faltering right now. They rank near the bottom of the FBS in total yards allowed, passing yards allowed, and points conceded. The Wolfpack surrendered an average of 43 points in their last three games, and they definitely cannot be trusted on the road.

Prediction: Wyoming Cowboys

Full-Game Total Pick

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I am selecting the under in this one. I expect very little offense from Nevada. They have been limited to 10 or fewer points three times this season which included only three points to Hawaii and only 10 points last week. Also, the under is 9-3 in their last 12 conference games.

In addition, Wyoming is not an offensive powerhouse by any means. They should have no problem scoring but they rarely pile on the points. The Cowboys rank 105th in the FBS with an average of only 348 total yards per game. The under is 5-1 in the Cowboys last six games following an ATS loss and 11-3-1 in their last 15 games against a team with a winning record.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The under on the Nevada team total offered on PointsBet is worth a look. The Wyoming defense has only conceded 17 and 10 points respectively in their last two home games against UNLV and New Mexico. The Wolfpack offense is not very threatening. They are placed 76th in passing offense and 96th in rushing offense. Lastly, Wyoming has collected 22 sacks in seven games and I expect them to record multiple sacks in this game.

Prediction: Nevada Team Total Under

Half-Time Side Pick

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I am sticking with Wyoming on the first half line as well. Wyoming’s offense is much more productive in the first half where they are posting 16.3 points, placing them 44th in the FBS. Nevada is struggling to generate offense in the opening half where they are 101st in the FBS with an average of only 10.7 points.

Prediction: Wyoming Cowboys
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.