Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#169 Oklahoma State 64.5 vs.
#170 Iowa State -10.5
Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 3:30pm EDT
Jack Trice Stadium, Ames
Written by Sporty Jordy

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#169 Oklahoma State University
#170 Iowa State
4-3
5-2
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5-2
4-3
4-3
37
37
29
21

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This article covers a past game!

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When and where: October 26, 2019, Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA, 3:30 PM ET

An unstoppable force will meet an immovable object on Saturday when the Oklahoma State Cowboys’ high-powered offense runs into the Iowa State Cyclones’ ferocious defense. After losing back-to-back games to Texas Tech and Baylor, the Cowboys are desperately looking to get back on track and improve their 1-3 conference record. Meanwhile, the Cyclones have won their last three consecutive games against Texas Tech, West Virginia and TCU.

All offense and no defense remains the formula for Oklahoma State

There is no better fall treat than kicking back on a sofa with a soda in one hand and a big bowl of buttery popcorn in the other, joyously basking in the eye-candy of the Oklahoma State offense. It’s about as wild and wacky as a neighborhood flag football game in a vacant lot. Coach Mike Gundy has found the most exciting formula, but he hasn’t found the winning one.

Baylor stomping on Oklahoma State’s defense by heaping 45 points on the scoreboard wasn’t even surprising considering Texas Tech scored the same number of points two weeks prior to that game. In a conference with a slew of bad defenses, Oklahoma State ranks as the fourth-worst with a total yard allowance of 432.3 per game. Iowa State quarterback Brock Purdy should be preparing for an air raid against a Cowboys defense clearly incapable of stopping it.

The Cyclones may not be as potent on offense, but they aren’t far behind with an average of 481.1 total yards per game. Points won’t come easy in this meeting for Oklahoma State against an Iowa State defense only allowing 21.3 points per game.

Look at what Baylor and Texas Tech were able to do to them defensively, and neither one of those teams have been as good on that side of the ball as the Cyclones.

Defense is key for the Cyclones

There were plenty of teachable moments for Iowa State to take away from the highlights of Oklahoma State’s run-in with Baylor. Oklahoma State quarterback Spencer Sanders was under constant pressure for a second straight game after getting sacked seven times by Texas Tech. Iowa State is tied for the third-most sacks in the Big 12 Conference (18). It’s an aggressive unit that thrives off setting a physical tone early and maintaining it throughout an entire game.

Oklahoma State’s offensive front has given up the second-most sacks in the conference, and there will be nowhere for Sanders to run or hide with the Cyclones’ pass-rushers breathing down his neck. If Iowa State can fluster the Oklahoma State offense, this game will be in the bag.

There isn’t much concern for Purdy throwing against a defensive secondary that has given up 15 touchdowns passes with only one interception this season. Meanwhile, Sanders has already thrown nine interceptions to his 11 touchdown passes.

The shoulder injury to Iowa State defensive back Greg Eisworth, the fourth-leading tackler on the team, is something to monitor heading into Saturday. He is officially listed as questionable for the game.

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Turnovers are always a concern when dealing with a young quarterback playing behind a suspect offensive line. Iowa State has the defensive personnel to bring the heat consistently and keep Sanders on ice skates. The freshman quarterback has thrown an interception in his last five straight games, and he has thrown multiple interceptions in three of his last four.

The Cyclones defense may not be getting sacks as much as Baylor on average, but coach Matt Campbell will come into this game with the same mentality as Matt Rhule had last week. He’s going to blitz the young quarterback into making a mistake. Those mistakes have come against every decent defense Sanders has faced, and they’ll continue to come on Saturday against Iowa State.

Star running back Chuba Hubbard can’t tote the load on his own. He’ll also be running into the teeth of the No. 2-rushing defense in the conference. If Baylor can win by a double-digit point margin, there’s no reason another fearsome defensive team like Iowa State can’t do the same. I’m taking the Cyclones on Saturday.

Prediction: Iowa State Cyclones (10.5)

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Opposing teams have been piling points on Oklahoma State’s defense at will. Along with having the defense to give the Cowboys fits, Iowa State should have no problem moving the chains and putting up points on offense with Purdy behind center. Of course, that effort will be met with another one-man circus act by Hubbard on the other side. I’m taking the over betting total here.

Prediction: Over (63.5)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.