Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#187 Texas -1 vs.
#188 TCU 62.5
Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 3:30pm EDT
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth
Written by Sporty Jordy

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#187 University of Texas
#188 Texas Christian University
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This article covers a past game!

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When and where: October 26, 2019, Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX, 3:30 PM ET

After barely escaping Kansas, the Texas Longhorns turn their attention to a Big 12 Conference road game against the TCU Horned Frogs on Saturday afternoon. It took an offensive shootout for quarterback Sam Ehlinger and the Longhorns offense to finally put the Jayhawks away. Ehlinger finished the game with 399 passing yards, four touchdowns and one interception. The Horned Frogs had no such luck in their recent run-in with Kansas State, who held them to 17 points and only 138 passing yards.

Defense nearly blows it for Texas

It took everything Ehlinger and the Texas offense had to stave off a feisty Kansas team at home last week. A pitiful defensive effort nearly led to a massive upset, which would have ruined the Longhorns’ top-25 ranking. Even in victory, the fallout from that game should have Texas fans concerned heading into Saturday’s game against the conference’s No. 1-ranked defense.

If the TCU offense can put points on the board and Texas’ defense continues to be a doormat, this game will have upset potential written all over it. Ehlinger won’t have the luxury of slinging the ball around against a Kansas defense that sits dead last in the conference this time out. TCU’s defense is only allowing a total of 281.0 yards per game, along with limiting the least amount of long scrimmage plays. They don’t give up big plays, and Texas is going to have to work for every yard.

The only drawback for TCU has been on the offensive side of the ball. This is a perfect chance for Texas’ defense to find a little redemption. TCU’s offensive front has struggled keeping Duggan upright, and everything they do is funneled through the rushing efforts of tailbacks Darius Anderson and Sewo Olonilua. If the Longhorns can slow down the rushing attack, they have a great shot at stalling the TCU offense.

The defense is expected to be without hard-hitting safety Caden Sterns (knee) for Saturday’s tilt.

Can the offense save TCU?

Despite their offensive shortcomings, TCU had to like what they saw on film between Kansas and the Texas defense. Kansas has the third-worst offense in the conference, and they were still able to treat the Longhorns defense like a game of sandlot football. If TCU is able to do the same on Saturday, they’ll shock the world and come away with an upset.

Ehlinger won’t have nearly as easy of a time throwing into the teeth of a TCU defense that ranks second in the conference against the pass. They are only giving up 181.0 yards per game through the air with eight passing interceptions on the season.

Wouldn’t Texas simply lean on steady running back Keaontay Ingram in response?

Good luck running into TCU’s No. 1-ranked rushing defense. The Horned Frogs are the total package capable of challenging the Texas offense everywhere. On the offensive side of the ball, they lack the flashy play with Duggan behind center, but he is efficient enough to not make the mistakes that will hand Texas the game. In 142 passing attempts so far this season, the freshman quarterback has yet to throw an interception.

Safety La’Kendrick Van Zandt has already been ruled out for Saturday’s game, and wideout TreVontae Hights is officially listed as questionable with a leg injury.

Defensively, the Horned Frogs need to slow down Ehlinger.

He’s just a good player. He’s a finisher,” Patterson said of the junior quarterback (from 247sports.com). “He’s really grown up, he’s been the difference in their offense. They have good skill players, they have their offensive line back, been banged up at running back so they’ve kind of had it by committee, they’ve gotten a couple wide receivers back, but he’s really done a good job.”

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The defensive miscues for Texas are telling leading up to their conference clash with the Horned Frogs on Saturday. If Kansas played any defense whatsoever, they would have walked out of Texas with a win last week.

TCU is just the team to finish what they started.

They have the corners and safeties to lock down on the Longhorns’ receivers and force Ehlinger to hold onto the ball longer than he likes, which might finally open up opportunities for TCU’s pass rushers to get home. However, the greatest concern for Texas has to be their moribund defense that couldn’t even cover a bad Kansas offense. Forget about what they did against Oklahoma in the previous week. What they showed against Kansas was true to form considering they’ve allowed 30-plus points to opposing teams in their last four consecutive games.

TCU doesn’t have to be great on offense as long as they’re efficient. They rank second behind Kansas State in the conference in time of possession, meaning they are tremendous at methodically moving the ball down the field and extending drives, which is exactly what you want to do against a high-powered offensive machine. Give me the Horned Frogs in an upset on Saturday.

Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs (+1)

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The Horned Frogs are about to bring the Texas offense back down to earth on Saturday. Ehlinger will struggle passing the ball in a one-dimensional offensive attack after the ground game stalls against TCU’s run-stuffing defense. Texas did manage to heap 38 points on LSU early in the season before they tightened up on defense, but the only legitimate unit they’ve played since then was Oklahoma, who held them to 27 points. I’m taking the under betting total here.

Prediction: Under (59)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.