Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#153 Washington State 64 vs.
#154 Oregon -14
Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 10:30pm EDT
Autzen Stadium, Eugene
Written by Benjamin Hayes



#153 Washington State University
#154 University of Oregon


This article covers a past game!

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Washington State broke a rare three-game losing streak last week after they defeated Colorado, 41-10. They'll face No. 11 Oregon on the road, who has won six straight since losing to Auburn in their opener (27-21). The Ducks improved to 4-0 in the Pac-12 after edging Washington on the road, 35-31 this past Saturday.

Last year, the Cougars took this game at home, 34-20 against the Ducks. They've won four straight games in this series and have covered nine straight games.

Expectations not met in Pullman

Maybe head coach Mike Leach knew from the start. He scheduled New Mexico State (58-7 win), Northern Colorado (59-17) and Houston (31-24) as non-conference games. The Houston win was solid, especially considering it was on the road, but that's not exactly a murderer's row of teams. But after beating Houston, they were stunned at home by a bad UCLA team (67-63). Utah blasted the Cougars on the road (38-13) and they were edged by Arizona State (38-34).

Last week, the Cougars got back on the winning track, crushing Colorado at home, 41-10. But questions still remain on the defensive side of the ball where coordinator Tracy Claeys resigned after the Utah loss. Roc Bellantoni has taken over and while they did give up 38 points to Arizona State, they showed some improvements against the Bufaloes last week. Washington State held Colorado to just 320 yards of offense, including 141 in the air. They also forced three turnovers in and held them to 5-of-15 on third downs.

The bottom line is that they need to get better on defense to make a bowl game, because they aren't going to win the Pac-12 at 1-3 in the league. The Cougars are allowing 439.1 yards per game overall and 261.9 in the air. That's not a good sign against Justin Herbert and that Oregon passing offense.

Offensively, it's all about the pass in Leach's Air Raid offense. Quarterback Anthony Gordon leads the Pac-12 with 425.9 yards per game and has 29 TDs with just seven picks on the season (2,981 yards). The running game is usually an afterthought under Leach, but that's not the case this season. Sophomore Max Borghi has amassed 512 yards rushing and has 36 catches for 328 yards receiving with nine TDs.

Ducks continue to roll

Oregon was down by 10 points late in the third quarter against Washington last week from Seattle. The Ducks cut the lead to three on a 36-yard pass from Herbert to Mycah Pittman with no time left in the third quarter. They took the lead for good on a 5-yard pass from Hebert to Jaylon Redd with 5:10 left. Herbert outdueled Jacob Eason, by completing 24 of 38 for 280 yards with four TDs and no picks. The Oregon running game was also solid, adding 188 yards on 34 attempts.

Defensively, they gave up 289 yards in the air but won this game because they were strong on third downs, allowing the Huskies to convert just 3-of-13 (23%).

The Ducks lost running back C.J. Verdell (496 yards) in the second half against Washington to a "soft tissue strain", according to head coach Mario Cristobal. Starting linebacker Troy Dye broke his right thumb against the Huskies and then the broke the cast. He's expected to play after being limited in practice during the week.

Herbert is having a tremendous season, completing 68.1% of his passes for 1,882 yards with 21 TDs and just one pick. The offense is averaging 462 yards per game overall and 283.6 in the air. The pass defense will be tested in this game and they've performed well, allowing just 178.6 yards per game.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Some trends you just can't ignore and that's Washington State is 9-0 ATS last 9 in series. Washington State has owned Oregon and the common denominator has been Leach, who has been there for seven of those wins. Leach is an offensive genius, whose team has struggled mainly due to issues on the defensive side of the ball. That may not have been completely fixed, but they have improved. They also can run the football, which makes their offense even more difficult to contain. Take the points with the Cougars.

Prediction: Washington State +14

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Washington State went under in their last game, but with Herbert and Morgan, expect the fireworks to start early. The Cougars' offense will have to put up points, because their defense is going to struggle against Herbert. Oregon has faced a lot of pedestrian offenses thus far in Stanford, Cal, Colorado and Nevada. When they finally met a pretty good offense last week, they allowed 31 against Washington. Expect an even bigger score this week, as I wouldn't be shocked if this game finishes in the 80s.

Prediction: Over 64

Half-Time Side Pick

Insiders Status:


When you have a strong offense that can score at any time, you can cover a 7.5-point first half line. Leach also knows his way around an Oregon defense. That can't hurt.

Prediction: Washington State +7.50 (-115)

Half-Time Total Bet

Insiders Status:


It's hard not to go over when Washington State plays. While I love the offense, there are still question marks on defense, even with a new coordinator. No over is safe when the Cougars play.

Prediction: Over 34.5

Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!