When and where: November 10, 2018, Brooks Stadium, Conway, SC, 5:00 PM ET
The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers will try to keep their bowl game eligibility alive when they take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves. A sluggish offensive effort cost the Chanticleers a home game against Appalachian State on Saturday. However, it was the complete opposite for the Red Wolves, who thoroughly dominated South Alabama.
Chanticleers need more from the offense
Coastal Carolina quarterback Fred Payton looked like a fish out of water when the run game wasn’t working against Appalachian State. The true freshman finished the game with 10 completions for 79 yards and one interception. Obviously, no one is expecting Tua Tagovailoa numbers on a run-heavy offense, but there is some concern regarding the Chanticleers becoming too one-dimensional. There will be times when Payton needs to make a few throws with his arm to keep the chains moving.
There were plenty of those moments against Appalachian State, and the offense continuously came up short. The team had seven different rushers on the day, including Payton, and they still only came away with 72 yards on the ground. The only touchdown they scored in the entire game came from a pick-six by sophomore defensive back Derambez Drinkard.
— Coastal Football (@CoastalFootball) November 3, 2018
That isn’t going to cut it against any team in college football, much less a talented group like Appalachian State. Coastal Carolina’s defense actually did its part in the game by holding the Mountaineers to only 23 points, when they were averaging 38.3 points per game.
But there’s only so much a defense can do when an offense can’t even put points on the board.
Hansen airs it out on USA
Unlike the Chanticleers, Arkansas State has experience at the quarterback position with Justice Hansen. After falling to Louisiana-Lafayette, the senior signal caller torched South Alabama’s defense for 332 passing yards and three touchdowns. It was Hansen’s best performance since the season-opener, where he poured 26 completions for 423 yards and six touchdowns on Southeast Missouri State.
His favorite target on the day was receiver Justin McInnis, who finished with a season-high 177 receiving yards and one touchdown. It was literally a pitch-and-catch clinic with Hansen and McInnis, and the Jaguars were incapable of stopping it.
However, the Arkansas State defense deserved the game ball after holding an opposing offense to only 14 points. It was a nice build of confidence for a unit that is allowing 30.8 points per game. They also had four sacks, five pass deflections and nine tackles for a loss. If the Red Wolves saw that kind of effort from their defense on a weekly basis, they’d win more games against better teams.
- Chanticleers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 passing yards in the previous game
- Chanticleers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played at home
- Under is 5-2 in Chanticleers last 7 games played within their conference
- Chanticleers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played on grass
- Red Wolves are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games played in the month of November
- Red Wolves are 39-19-1 ATS in their last 59 games played within their conference
- Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in the previous game
- Red Wolves are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing less than 20 points in the previous game
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Excuse me for not being over the moon with the Red Wolves whooping up on a clearly overmatched South Alabama team. It’s a shame that it took such a favorable match-up to finally bring out the best in Arkansas State’s porous defense. Fortunately for the Red Wolves, they’ll have another favorable match-up on Saturday against Coastal Carolina.
Appalachian State is a good football team, but there is never an excuse for an offense getting shutout on their home field.
Payton will feel the heat against an Arkansas State defense that’s finally pressuring the quarterback. The Chanticleers will continue to lean heavily on the run, which is the one area even South Alabama was able to exploit on Arkansas State’s defense.
However, I’m not convinced they’ll be able to finish drives and ultimately punch the ball into the end zone enough times to get the victory. Hansen should have another big game against a Coastal Carolina defense allowing an average of 442.3 total yards per game.
Prediction: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (+6)
Full-Game Total Pick
The under is 6-1-1 in the last eight games played in the month of November for Arkansas State and 5-2 in Coastal Carolina’s last seven home games. I expect the offensive struggles to continue for the Chanticleers against a renewed Red Wolves defense. Hansen will have another breakout performance, but it won’t be enough to cover the 61 point total.
Prediction: Under (61)