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Auburn vs. Georgia Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-10-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#177 Auburn
Tigers 50
#178 Georgia
Bulldogs -13.5

Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Auburn Tigers

6 - 3

4-5
ATS
3-6
O/U
28
PPG
17
OPPG

Georgia Bulldogs

8 - 1

5-3
ATS
4-4
O/U
38
PPG
16
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAF
Teams #177 Auburn University #178 The University of Georgia
Open +13.5 -13.5
Current +12.5 -12.5
Market Avg

Check out our college football “Fab Five” in this short video:

It’s a crossover matchup in the SEC down in the Peach State. The #24 Auburn Tigers are on the road as they travel to face the #5 Georgia Bulldogs Saturday night. Auburn rallied to beat #20 Texas A&M 28-24 at home last Saturday in their previous contest. Georgia clinched the SEC East title and a spot in the SEC Championship Game as they defeated #9 Kentucky 34-17 at home last week. The Bulldogs own a 56-52-6 advantage in the all-time series between the teams, including a 28-7 win in the SEC title game on December 2, 2017.

Auburn Tigers Looking to Pull Upset Win

Auburn had a tough challenge but rallied to defeat #20 Texas A&M at home. The Tigers will have a couple chances to make some noise in the final few weeks of the regular season as they face both SEC Championship Game teams in Georgia and Alabama. Auburn trailed 24-14 after three quarters before scoring two fourth quarter touchdowns, including the winning score with 1:41 to play. The Tigers were outgained 423-278, gave up 28 first downs while picking up 13 and saw Texas A&M dominate time of possession 38:41 to 21:19 in the game. Auburn did force three turnovers while not committing one to pull out the win.

The Tigers are 80th in the FBS in passing offense with 222 yards per contest and 82nd in rushing with 155.2 yards per game on the ground. Auburn stands 75th in the FBS in scoring offense with 28.3 points per game and a stellar 13th in scoring defense as they give up 17.3 points per contest. Jarrett Stidham is 160 of 264 for 1,953 yards with 10 touchdowns against four interceptions. JaTarvious Whitlow leads the Tigers with 108 carries for 642 yards and four touchdowns this season. Kam Martin (73 carries, 272 yards, TD) and Shaun Shivers (39 carries, 223 yards, two TD) are next in line in the ground game. Ryan Davis leads the team with 43 receptions for 396 yards. Darius Slayton (29 catches, 439 yards, TD) and Seth Williams (16 grabs, 332 yards, four TD) are the only other players with more than 13 receptions this season. Anders Carlson has hit all 27 extra points but is just 11 of 21 on field goal attempts with a long of 53: seven of his 10 misses have come from beyond 50 yards. Ian Shannon hit all three extra point attempts without attempting a field goal.

Georgia Bulldogs Trying to Push Back Into CFP Picture

Georgia managed to clinch the SEC East title and a spot in the SEC title game but they saw themselves bumped out of the CFP even with a win. The Bulldogs dropped to #5 in the rankings behind Alabama, Clemson, Notre Dame and Michigan: they’ll try to make their way back into the top four. Georgia led 7-3 late in the second quarter but reeled off three touchdowns in a nine and a half minute span to blow the game open before coasting to victory. The Bulldogs rolled up a 444-310 edge in total offense, had 25 first downs to Kentucky’s 21 and won the time of possession 31:25 to 28:35 in the contest. Both teams turned the ball over twice.

The Bulldogs are 79th in the FBS in passing offense with 222.4 yards per game through the air and 17th in the nation in rushing with 233.8 yards per contest. Georgia is 20th in the FBS in scoring offense with 38.1 points per game and 10th in scoring defense by allowing only 16.4 points per contest. Jake Fromm has been steady in his second year under center as he is 130 of 192 for 1,762 yards with 17 touchdowns and four picks. Justin Fields is 18 of 25 passing for 200 yards plus two scores while adding 162 rushing yards plus three touchdowns. Matthew Downing is four of six for 40 yards. Elijah Holyfield leads the ground game for the Bulldogs with 103 carries for 674 yards and five touchdowns. D’Andre Swift is a solid secondary option with 99 carries for 622 yards plus seven touchdows while Brian Herrien (32 attempts, 185 yards, two TD) and James Cook (31 carries, 169 yards) are good options if needed. Riley Ridley leads the team with 30 receptions for 411 yards and five scores. Mecole Hardman (26 receptions, 368 yards, four TD), Jeremiah Holloman (19 grabs, 321 yards, four TD) and Isaac Nauta (19 catches, 253 yards, two TD) are good targets in the passing game. Rodrigo Blankenship has hit all 40 extra point attempts and 15 of 17 field goals with a long of 53 this season.

Updated on Nov 10 at 3:05pm EST

Update prepared by our editoral staff

Public Money / Line Movements

Looks like the Sharps are on the Side of the Tigers. 66% of the bets are on Georgia and yet the line has come down from -13 to -12.5.

Injury / Weather Report

No Weather Issues Expected

Auburn’s Impact Injury Report:

CB Jamel Dean (20 Tackles, 2 TFL), RB JaTarvious (642 Yards, 5 TDs), and DL Marlon Davidson (36 Tackles, 3.5 TFL, 1.5 Sacks) are all questionable.

Georgia’s Impact Injury Report:

None Listed

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Both teams play tough defense and get enough from their offenses to win. In this one, points may come at a premium, which makes it a challenge for either team. Georgia has had their problems of late, having a bit of a struggle with Kentucky and having lost to LSU a couple weeks ago. The Bulldogs are the better team and they’re playing at home. The problem isn’t with picking Georgia: straight up, they’d get the nod easily. Giving two scores to an Auburn team that showed their grit last week to rally against Texas A&M seems a bit much. The Tigers have their problems offensively but the defense keeps it close enough to cover the line here.

Prediction: Auburn Tigers +14

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Auburn isn’t the explosive offense that they were last season with Kerryon Johnson now playing on Sundays for the Lions. By the same token, the Bulldogs are adjusting to life without Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, a pair of dynamic backs that drove the offense last season. Fromm hasn’t been as good as he was last season as a freshman, leading to calls that Fields should get a chance to showcase his talent, much like Fromm did last season when Jacob Eason went down with an injury. Can the Bulldogs dispatch the Tigers and keep themselves in the thick of the CFP picture?

The under is 10-2-2 in the Tigers’ last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-1 in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, 10-3 in their last 13 overall and 10-3 in their last 13 on grass. Georgia has seen the under go 19-6-1 in their last 26 at home. The under has gone 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between the teams in Athens and 4-1 in the last five meetings overall. Given the defenses on both sides, this one likely falls short.

Prediction: Under 50

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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