The UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns will look to bounce back from a road loss when they host the Georgia State Panthers in a Sun Belt battle Saturday evening from Cajun Field. The Panthers are coming off a rough 40-31 home loss to Texas State, and the Ragin’ Cajuns dropped a 26-16 road decision to Troy in their previous contest. UL Lafayette tallied a 23-21 road win over Georgia State last season.
Georgia State Tagged with Fourth Straight Loss
The Georgia State Panthers will attempt to snap a rough four-game losing streak in this one. Their poor defensive play continued in a 40-31 home loss to Texas State last week to fall to 1-4 in conference play. Panthers QB Dan Ellington left in the third quarter last week with a possible concussion and he is questionable for this one. The junior QB has tallied 1817 passing yards with a 9:2 TD to INT ratio on the season. Panthers’ leading rusher Tra Barnett is playing well, recording a combined 246 rushing yards in his last two games. The junior RB is averaging a solid 5 yards per carry for a total of 444 rushing yards on the season. Georgia State’s leading receiver Penny Hart only managed 31 receiving yards last week, and the junior now has 602 receiving yards on the year. The Georgia State offense hasn’t been an issue recently as they have scored at least 31 points in three straight games.
Video: Hunter Atkinson talks about the Panthers hard-fought loss to Texas State on Saturday at Georgia State Stadium.https://t.co/JW1dmjIGgO
— GSU Football (@GeorgiaStateFB) November 4, 2018
The Panthers defense has struggled all season. They squandered another 489 total yards last week, and they rank near the bottom of the FBS in several defensive categories. Georgia State is no longer bowl eligible as they only have two wins with three games remaining. They are currently averaging 26 points, ranking them 93rd overall. The Panthers are conceding an average of 37 points, positioning them down at 117th in the FBS.
Nunez Struggles as Ragin’ Cajuns Fall to Troy
The UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns are in a heated battle for the top spot in the Sun Belt West. They stand one game behind UL Monroe with three games remaining. The Ragin’ Cajuns could not find a rhythm in their 26-16 road loss to Troy last week to fall to 2-3 in conference play. Andre Nunez struggled in the defeat, recording 126 passing yards and two INT’s. The senior QB has tossed four picks in his last two games, and he has notched 1609 passing yards with a 13:8 TD to INT ratio on the season.
The Ragin’ Cajuns feature a dangerous rushing offense with three RB’s that are capable of doing big damage. Trey Ragas leads the way with 840 yards on the year. The sophomore RB has rushed for over 100 yards in five games this season. Ja’Marcus Bradley has only made seven grabs in his last three games, and he leads UL Lafayette with 381 receiving yards. The Ragin’ Cajuns rely on their potent running game to generate offense, and they are up against a weak rush defense in this contest.
— Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns® Football (@RaginCajunsFB) November 3, 2018
The UL Lafayette defense is having a rough season. They have especially struggled against the run, and their pass defense ranks down at 94th in the FBS. The Ragin’ Cajuns are currently averaging 32.1 points, ranking them 44th in the country. They are conceding 35.6 points, pegging them down at 110th overall.
The Georgia State Panthers are:
- 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.
- 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
The UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns are:
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 passing yards in their previous game.
- 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
UL Lafayette should be able to come away with a convincing home win in this matchup. The Georgia State defense has been awful. They are surrendering an average of 239 rushing yards per game, ranking them down at 122nd in the FBS, and they are up against a stellar Ragin’ Cajuns running game that is averaging a sizzling 217 rushing yards per game.
Furthermore, the Georgia State offense is below average in both passing and rushing offense, and they rank sixth out of the ten team Sun Belt in total yards per game. The Panthers’ two QB’s have only combined for 11 TD passes on the season, and Georgia State stands down at eighth in the Sun Belt in rushing yards.
Prediction: UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
Full-Game Total Pick
The over is a solid play in this one. Georgia State continues to surrender big points, allowing an average of 41.2 points in their last four games. UL Lafayette is averaging a sizzling 47.5 points on their home field, and the over is 5-1 in the Ragin’ Cajuns last six home games.
In addition, the UL Lafayette defense is conceding an average of 458 total yards per game, pegging them down at 113th in the FBS, and Georgia State has scored over 30 points in three straight games, plus the over is 4-0 in Georgia State’s last four games overall.
Full-Game Prop Bet
UL Lafayette should pile on the points in this matchup. Georgia State hasn’t been able to stop anybody with any success, and they have especially struggled on the road where they are allowing an average of 47 points on the season. The Ragin’ Cajuns feature two powerful running backs. Trey Ragas is averaging 5.8 yards per carry and Elijah Mitchell is averaging a sizzling 7.5 yards per carry, and Georgia State does not have the ability to stop them.
Prediction: UL Lafayette Team Total: Over
Half-Time Side Pick
Georgia State has especially struggled to generate offense in the opening half, averaging only 11.1 points on the season compared to 15 in the second half. In addition, UL Lafayette is having no problem scoring in the first half, averaging a solid 15.9 points. I expect the Ragin’ Cajuns to be in control from start to finish.
Prediction: UL Lafayette -7.5
Half-Time Total Bet
I am taking the over on the halftime line as well. Both teams are playing poor defense in the first half this season. Both Georgia State and UL Lafayette are conceding an average of 22.8 points in the first half, ranking them near the bottom of the country.
Prediction: Over 35.5
Half-Time Prop Prediction
UL Lafayette should strike first. They are averaging a remarkable 10.3 points in the first quarter in their last three games, while Georgia State is only averaging 5.6 points in the opening quarter on the season. The Ragin’ Cajuns are on their home field and they are up against a terrible defense.
Prediction: UL Lafayette to Score First: -175