College Football Action on Saturday afternoon and a pair of teams from the Big 10 Conference will mix it up as the Illinois Fighting Illini grapple with the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Memorial Stadium in Lincoln, Nebraska. The Cornhuskers won this game on the road last year by a score of 28-6.
Illinois enters this game off a 55-31 home win over Minnesota to move to 2-4 in league play, while the Cornhuskers fell to 1-5 within the Big 10 after losing 36-31 against to Ohio State on the road.
Illinois Crushes The Golden Golpgers
It has not been a fun year for the Fighting Illini overall, but they come in off a fun 55-31 home win over the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Illinois had lost their previous three games and were outscored by 32.7 ppg during the skid. The offense has not had many bright spots this year, but they hug 55 points on Minnesota and did so on a whopping 646 yards of total offense, including 430 yards on the ground. Reggie Corbin (952 yards, Nine TDs) led the attack with 213 yards and two TDs in just 13 carries, while QB AJ Bush was 2nd with 127 yards and two TDs. He now has 472 yards rushing and five TDs on the year. The Illini has been led by their ground attack, which ranks 11th in the nation at 250 ypg.
The passing game has not been so good as it ranks 114th in the land at 166.7 ypg. Bush has thrown for 924 yards with five TDs and four INTs. The Cornhuskers are poor against the pass and below average against the run, so Illinois could have a good showing in this one on offense. The real problem for Illinois this year has been a defense that ranks 128th in the nation in total yards allowed, 121st against the pass, 123rd against the run and 116th in points allowed at 36.9 ppg.
Huskers Come Up A Bit Short To The Buckeyes
It has been a miserable season for Scott Frost in his first year at the helm of the Nebraska Cornhuskers, but things have been pointed in the right direction of late. Nebraska started the year at 0-6, but they have won two of their last three games, with that lone loss coming by just five points at Ohio State last week. Nebraska was dogs of -17 in the game, so they showed that they are improving and that has to give them hope for next year. The offense hasn’t been as explosive as they were hoping for this year, but they did put up 450 yards on the Buckeyes and it was their 56th game in a row that they have hit that yardage total. Nebraska put up just 23.3 ppg through their first six games and 43.0 ppg over their last three games and will now take on one of the worst defenses in the nation.
If you come to The Shoe, you better play to win.
And @HuskerFBNation is doing just that, as a brilliant Jack Stoll catch on fourth down led to a @TrulyDevine_22 TD. @MartinezTheQB marches Nebraska down the field on drive No. 1: pic.twitter.com/2CFGt2p4EF
— Big Ten Network (@BigTenNetwork) November 3, 2018
Adrian Martinez threw for 266 yards and a TD against the Buckeyes and is now up to 1922 yards with 12 TDs and six INTs on the year, while also rushing for 480 yards and six TDs. He could have a field day against this weak Illinois defense. Nebraska is 21st in total offense, 47th in passing, 33rd in rushing and 62nd in scoring, putting up 29.9 ppg. The defense is where the Cornhuskers have struggled. They allowed 481 yards to the Buckeyes and OSU was balanced as they ran for 229 and threw for 252. They come in ranked 104th in total yards allowed 111th against the pass, 80th against the run and 102nd in points allowed, giving up 33.7 ppg.
- 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win
- 2-13-2 ATS in their last 17 home games
- 7-1 in their last 8 conference games
- 5-1 in their last 6 games on fieldturf
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Cornhuskers have been playing better of late, but still, their defense is not good enough to cover this significant number. The Illini have one of the best ground attacks in the nation and Nebraska is 80th against the run. Once Illinois gets their ground game going then they will be able to take big shots against a porous Nebraska pass defense. Ilinois does not have a good defense either, but their offense will be able to keep them in this one.
Prediction: Illinois +16.5
Full-Game Total Pick
This one should be fun from the start as these are two of the worst defenses in the Big 10. Illinois has allowed 50.4 pg in their five Big 10 losses this year, and the Cornhuskers have been steadily improving on offense. Nebraska has allowed 39.5 ppg in their six big ten games this year, and the Illinois offense just hung up 646 yards on Minnesota last week. Both offenses will have fun in this one as we see at least 75 points being scored.
Prediction: Over 68