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Kansas vs. Kansas State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-10-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#141 Kansas
Jayhawks 45.5
#142 Kansas State
Wildcats -10

Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Kansas Jayhawks

3 - 6

4-5
ATS
4-4
O/U
23
PPG
28
OPPG

Kansas State Wildcats

3 - 6

5-4
ATS
2-6
O/U
21
PPG
26
OPPG

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It’s a clash between the schools from the Sunflower State in Big 12 action on the gridiron. The Kansas Jayhawks are on the road as they travel to face the Kansas State Wildcats Saturday afternoon. Kansas was clubbed 27-3 at home by #24 Iowa State in their latest contest last Saturday. Kansas State dropped their second straight with a 14-13 road loss to TCU last Saturday in their most recent tilt. The Jayhawks own a 57-44-5 advantage in the all-time series between the teams but the Wildcats have taken nine straight meetings. That includes a 30-20 road win in the last matchup on October 28, 2017.

Kansas Wildcats Looking to Get Jump Start on 2019

Kansas couldn’t build off their win over TCU as they were hammered by #24 Iowa State on their own field last week. Earlier this week, the school announced that head coach David Beaty would not return for a fifth season in 2019. Athletic director Jeff Long said the search for a new coach who is “committed to breaking the cycle” with the program. Kansas was down 20-0 before getting on the board just before the half. The Jayhawks were unable to generate much offense in the contest. Kansas was outgained 394-332 in the game. Both teams finished with 20 first downs while the Jayhawks owned a 31:20 to 28:40 margin in time of possession. Kansas committed the game’s lone turnover in the contest. The Jayhawks are 4-5 ATS while the under is 5-4 in their contests this season.

The Jayhawks come into this one 101st in the FBS in passing offense with 193.3 yards per game and 96th in rushing by averaging 144.8 yards per contest. Kansas is 110th in scoring offense as they put up 23.6 points a game while the team is 80th in scoring defense by allowing 28.9 points a contest. Peyton Bender is 125 of 235 for 1,336 yards with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Carter Stanley is 34 of 47 for 304 yards with three touchdowns and one interception while Miles Kendrick is 11 of 19 for 100 yards and a score plus 47 rushing yards and a touchdown. Pooka Williams Jr. leads the team on the ground with 116 carries for 711 yards and four scores. Khalil Herbert contributes 84 carries for 374 yards plus three scores while Dom Williams adds 33 carries for 128 yards. Steven Sims Jr. has a team-leading 37 catches for 360 yards and three scores. Williams Jr. (27 grabs, 259 yards, two TD), Kerr Johnson Jr. (22 catches, 238 yards, two TD) and Stephon Robinson (22 receptions, 276 yards, TD) are solid targets in the passing game. Gabriel Rui has hit all 21 extra points and nine of 14 field goal attempts this season with a long of 54. Liam Jones booted both extra point attempts he has tried this season without kicking a field goal.

Kansas State Wildcats Seek 10th Straight Win vs. Jayhawks

Kansas State dropped their second straight game and their fifth in the last six contests as special teams doomed them on a day their defense stepped up and shut down TCU. The Wildcats now have to win out in order to finish at the .500 mark to reach bowl eligibility. Kansas State never led in the game and closed to within 14-13 in the fourth quarter before Blake Lynch missed the game-tying extra point. The Wildcats outgained the Horned Frogs 301-275 in the contest, picked up 21 first downs while allowing 13 and controlled the clock by a 35:14 to 24:46 margin. In addition to the missed extra point, Kansas State turned the ball over three times while forcing just one takeaway. The Wildcats are 5-4 ATS this season while the under is 6-3 in those contests.

On the season, the Wildcats are tied for 116th in the FBS in passing offense with 158.1 yards per game while the team is 54th in rushing offense with 179.7 yards per contest. The Wildcats are 120th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 21.1 points per game. Kansas State is 63rd in scoring defense by allowing 26.7 points per contest. Skylar Thompson has hit 87 of 155 passes for 995 yards with five touchdowns against three interceptions. He is second on the team with 360 yards and four scores on the ground. Alex Delton is 33 of 63 for 428 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions while adding 179 rushing yards plus a score. Alex Barnes is the leading ground gainer for the Wildcats with 174 carries for 918 yards and nine touchdowns. In the passing game, Isaiah Zuber leads the team with 41 receptions for 496 yards and three touchdowns. Dalton Schoen (24 receptions, 380 yards, two TD) and Barnes (15 catches, 160 yards) are the only other player with more than 13 receptions this season. Blake Lynch is 10 of 11 on extra points and nine of 11 on field goals with a long of 44 this season. Andrew Hicks has hit all six extra points and one of two field goals with a long of 31 while Nick McLellan is four of five on extra points and missed his lone field goal try.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The two schools from the Sunflower State are tied for the cellar of the Big 12 with 1-5 conference marks. Kansas State let one slip away against TCU and marked their third conference loss this season by five points or less. Kansas is going to be a team in flux the rest of the season as they prepare for the offseason. Long’s first hire is going to be a monumental one for the school because they want to turn things around in a hurry. In this one, you have to back Kansas State based on their tough performances. In this one, Snyder’s team gets the win to get back on track, at least for one week.

Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats -11.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Kansas State is reeling with five losses in six games and the team needs to win out in order to be bowl eligible. Thompson was knocked out early against TCU and is questionable here with an injury that has not been disclosed. Special teams proved to be an issue in the game against TCU as the Wildcats muffed a punt and botched the snap and hold on a short field goal attempt before the half. That was four points in the kicking game, not to mention the fumbled punt that set up the first TCU touchdown drive. Kansas knows that they will have a new coach next season: will they finish determined or fold up shop in a lame duck environment?

The under is 15-6 in the Jayhawks’ last 21 vs. a team with a losing record, 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 22-10 in their last 32 on the road. Kansas State has seen the under 6-1 in their last seven at home, 6-1 in their last seven on fieldturf and 6-2 in their last eight after an ATS win. This one is likely a low scoring affair as defense carries the day for both sides.

Prediction: Under 45.5

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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