Upcoming Free Picks

New Mexico vs. Air Force Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-10-2018

This is a past game! View all upcoming games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#183 New Mexico
Lobos 55.5
#184 Air Force
Falcons -13

Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 3:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New Mexico Lobos

3 - 6

4-5
ATS
6-2
O/U
30
PPG
35
OPPG

Air Force Falcons

3 - 6

5-3
ATS
4-4
O/U
29
PPG
25
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAF

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NCAAF.

When and where: November 10, 2018, Falcon Stadium, US Air Force Academy, CO, 3:30 PM ET

A battle between the two worst teams in the Mountain West Conference will ensue on Saturday when the New Mexico Lobos travel to Colorado to face the Air Force Falcons. The Lobos have lost their last four straight games, including a 31-23 loss last Saturday to San Diego State. Air Force, on the other hand, is coming off back-to-back losses to Army and Boise State.

Fourth quarter mistakes cost Lobos an upset win

Everything appeared to be going right for the Lobos in their game against San Diego State last Saturday. A game that was initially projected to be a blowout came down to the wire with the struggling Lobos ahead 23-14 in the fourth quarter. The Lobos defense did its job in limiting the big plays that had cost them in so many other games this season. They also benefitted from playing a San Diego State team that simply didn’t have its best stuff.

The stars were aligned for the monumental upset, and in a blink of an eye, they rearranged and showed the Lobos who they really were as a football team.

Aztecs quarterback Christian Chapman marched 75 yards down the field on offense to punch the ball into the end zone. Not long after that drive, a special teams blunder and a roughing the passer penalty led to a lead change after an Aztec field goal. There was no rallying moment for New Mexico in the waning moments of the game—just more mistakes from a team that’s made them all season.

A critical interception thrown by quarterback Coltin Gerhart put the ball back into the hands of Chapman, who handed the ball off to running back Juwan Washington for a 50-yard touchdown run to ice the game.

Looking backwards won’t help the Falcons

After Air Force dropped another loss to Army, quarterback Donald Hammond III vowed to defeat the Knights the next time the two teams met. It would have served as a galvanizing moment for the team, if that vehement promise actually had anything to do with this season. Army is the better football team, and regardless of the game being close, they still managed to make the plays that mattered to come away with the victory.

It’s time to move on. You can rest assured Army has already done so.

Hammond finished the game with seven completions for 120 yards on a day when the running game was stagnant. The leading rusher for the Falcons was fullback Cole Fagan, who ran for only 37 yards on 10 carries.

The stalled backfield put all of the pressure on Hammond to make something happen with his arm and his legs. Even Isaiah Sanders came in for a few plays, and all he mustered was five completions for 77 yards and one interception. It’s safe to say it was a rough weekend for the Falcons.

Perhaps the only good news Air Force received in the last few days is the full recovery of their mascot, Aurora the falcon, who was subjected to a prank gone wrong over the weekend.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Hammond vowed to defeat the Knights, but he might have to settle for only defeating the Lobos. Air Force shouldn’t have any problems finding opening running lanes against the Lobos defense, which is allowing an average of 170.3 rushing yards per game. Hammond should also have opportunities to throw the ball down field with the defense giving up an average of 296 passing yards.

Fagan will be key for the Falcons. If he’s able to get it going on the ground early, it will be much easier for the offense to get into a rhythm. It can shorten the field and keep them out of third-and-long situations. Hammond’s ability to scramble for extra yards will also be crucial for the Falcons to keep the chains moving.

On the defensive side of the ball, they should be able to make plays on one of the more turnover-prone teams in college football. The decision to move on with Gerhart over Sheriron Jones at quarterback hasn’t looked like much of an improvement considering Gerhart threw the interception to lose the game against San Diego State.

Turnovers will be equally as critical on the road against Air Force.

Prediction: Air Force Falcons (-13.5)

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The over is 5-0 in the last five head-to-head games between these two teams. New Mexico has given up 127 points combined in their last three games in a year where they are allowing 35.1 points per game. Air Force has a better scoring defense, but they are also far from a defensive juggernaut. Both offenses should be able to move the ball easily and run up the scoreboard in this game.

Prediction: Over (56.5)

Jordy McElroy

Coming Soon!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Sunday, Jan 20
NFL
#311 Los Angeles Rams 56.5
#312 New Orleans Saints -3
3:05pm
View Pick
#313 New England Patriots 58
#314 Kansas City Chiefs -3.5
6:40pm
View Pick
NBA
#501 Charlotte Hornets 219
#502 Indiana Pacers -7.5
6:05pm
View Pick
#503 Phoenix Suns 227.5
#504 Minnesota Timberwolves -10.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#505 Los Angeles Clippers
#506 San Antonio Spurs
7:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#817 Florida State -6
#818 Boston College 146
12:00pm
View Pick
#819 Providence
#820 Marquette
12:00pm
View Pick
#821 Illinois 156.5
#822 Iowa -9
1:00pm
View Pick
#823 Duquesne -3
#824 George Washington 136
4:00pm
View Pick
#825 Missouri State 150.5
#826 Drake -5
4:00pm
View Pick
#827 Bradley 123
#828 Southern Illinois -8
4:00pm
View Pick
#829 Colorado 147
#830 Utah -3
6:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#1 Washington -160
#2 Chicago 6.5
12:35pm
View Pick
#3 Anaheim
#4 N.Y. Islanders
3:05pm
View Pick