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Saturday afternoon on the college gridiron and we will see a pair of teams from the Mountain West Conference square off as the San Jose State Spartans pay a visit to Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah to grapple with the Utah State Aggies. The Spartans enter this game off a 24-9 loss at Wyoming, while the Aggies check in off a 56-17 road win over Hawaii. The Aggies won this game on the road by a score of 61-10 last year.
It Has Been A Long Season For The Spartans
The San Jose State Spartans have had a miserable year as they come in at 1-8 overall, including 0-4 on the road. Now they have to face a team that crushed them by a score of 61-10 last year and has been crushing every team in their path this year. The Spartans are off a 24-9 road loss to the Cowboys as their defense played pretty well, while the offense struggled. That offense has been a mess all year, especially on the road where they have averaged just 11.0 ppg so far. They will nee a bit more offense than that as the Aggies are 2nd in the nation in scoring at 50.1 ppg.
WR @thaicottrell continues to be a national leader among kickoff returners👌
💥 Top 10 in nation with 27.71 yard return average
💥 #5 in nation in 40+ yard returns
💥 #2 in nation in 70+ yard returns
— San José State Football (@SJSUSpartanFB) November 7, 2018
Leading the offense this year has been Josh Love, who has thrown for 1753 yards with 13 TDs and seven int TDs. Not great numbers, but not horrible ones either. The offense ranks 123rd overall, 46th in passing, 130th in rushing and 113th in scoring at 22.9 ppg. The defense has bad numbers overall as they are 114th in total yards allowed, 97th against the pass, 110th against the run and 112th in points allowed giving up 36.1 ppg. It is interesting to note that the Spartans have played good defense on the road as they have allowed just 26.5 ppg away from home so far. Can that defense slow down one of the best offenses in the nation? We shall see.
Aggies Push Win Streak To Eight
The Utah State Aggies are one of the hottest teams in the nation and the best team in the Mountain West Conference. They began their year with a seven-point loss at Michigan State, and they have reeled off eight wins in a row since. They have not been winning games,m but they have been crushing teams. Three of their last four conference wins have been by 31 points or more, and they have outscored their previous two foes by a combined 81 points. Yikes. Now they will be taking on a team that they beat 61-10 last year. This game will not be for the faint of heart. The Aggies enter this game off a 56-17 road win against Hawaii over in the Islands, and they outgained them 601-390 in the contest. They ran all over the Rainbow Warriors to the tune of 426 yards on the ground and leading the way was Darwin Thompson, who ran for 141 yards and three TDs, while Gerold Bright chipped in with 121 yards and three TDs.
— USU Football (@USUFootball) November 6, 2018
The Aggies could have another big game on the ground as the Spartans are 110th in the nation against the run. They can also throw the ball as Jordan Love has had a solid season under center. The sophomore QB has thrown for 2185 yards with 19 TDs and four INts. The Aggies have a balanced offense and that has led to them putting up 50.1 ppg on the year, which is 2nd in the nation. The defense has bee n no slouch either as they are 37th in yards allowed and 30th in points allowed, giving up 21.7 ppg overall, including 20.8 ppg at home. They will be taking on an offense that averages just 11.0 ppg on the road.
Utah State is:
- 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game
- 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
San Jose State is:
- The dog is 2-6 ATS the last 8 games in this series
- 0-4 ATS their last 4 games in this series
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Spartans have played good defense on the road as they have allowed just 26.5 ppg away from home, but that will not hold up in this one. The Aggies are the 2nd best scoring team in the nation at 50.1 ppg and they have averaged 571.6 ypg along with 59.0 ppg here at home for the year. In contrast, the Spartans have put up just 11.0 ppg on the road. Utah State has been crushing teams of late and I see no reason at all why they won’t win this game by at least 38 points.
Prediction: Utah State -31
Full-Game Total Pick
With the way the Aggies have been playing of late, they could very well get the Over on their own. They have averaged 59.0 ppg at home this year and will put up a significant number on the Spartans in this one, while San Jose State should be good for at least 13 of their own. The Over is 4-1 in Spartans last five games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game and 23-8 in Aggies last 31 conference games, plus 5-1 the previous six games in this series.
Prediction: Over 63
Half-Time Side Pick
The Aggies have been blowing teams out of late and this will be no different. They will look to take the Spartans out of the game early on and we note that Utah State has averaged 29.5 ppg in the first half, while the Spartans have put up just 8.5 ppg over the first 30 minutes. The rout begins early
Prediction: Utah State -19.5
Half-Time Total Bet
The Aggies may hit this one their own. They have averaged 29.5 ppg in the first half this year overall, including 38.6 ppg in the first half at home for the season. The Spartans have played good defense on the road, but that will not be the case in this one. SJSU has no offense, but they should contribute at least one score in the first half.
Prediction: Over 35