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Southern Miss vs. UAB Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-10-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#217 Southern Miss
Golden Eagles 44
#218 UAB
Blazers -13

Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

4 - 4

4-4
ATS
3-4
O/U
25
PPG
20
OPPG

UAB Blazers

8 - 1

8-1
ATS
2-6
O/U
33
PPG
12
OPPG

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Check out this week’s college football “Fab Five” in this short video.

It’s a battle between a pair of Conference USA opponents from the West Division of the conference in the Yellowhammer State. The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are on the road as they travel to face the UAB Blazers Saturday night. Southern Miss edged Marshall 26-24 at home in their previous game last Saturday. UAB is coming off a 52-3 trouncing of UTSA at home last Saturday in their previous contest. The Golden Eagles own a 10-6 edge in the all-time series but UAB has taken the last two matchups, including a 30-12 win on the road in the last meeting on October 28, 2017.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Try for Back to Back Wins

Southern Miss bounced back from a loss to Charlotte and picked up just their second win in the last five games by upending Marshall at home. The Golden Eagles climbed back to the .500 mark on the season with the win. Southern Miss trailed 10-3, rallied to take a 17-10 lead and then pulled ahead 26-17 after Marshall tied the game. The Golden Eagles managed to hang on even after Marshall cut the lead to two with 1:11 to play. Southern Miss was outgained 249-222 in the game and gave up 15 first downs while picking up 13. The Golden Eagles controlled the clock by a 38:19 to 21:41 margin and forced four turnovers while committing a pair in the contest.

The Golden Eagles are 95th in the FBS by averaging 25.6 points per game in the early going. Southern Miss is 21st in the nation in passing offense with 286.6 yards per contest and 118th in rushing as they put up just 116 yards per game on the ground. The Golden Eagles are 23rd in the nation in scoring defense by allowing 20.6 points per game. Jack Abraham has connected on 185 of 256 passes for 2,060 yards with 13 touchdowns against 10 interceptions. Marcelo Rodriguez is three of five for eight yards with two picks and Tate Whatley completed 23 of 34 pass attempts for 226 yards with three scores plus 143 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Tez Parks is the team’s fourth-leading ground gainer though he has only 127 yards on 47 carries. Steven Anderson (40 carries, 188 yards, two TD) and Trivenskey Mosley (79 carries, team-high 372 yards) are also in the mix. When Southern Miss goes to the air, Quez Watkins (team-high 51 receptions, 612 yards, eight TD), Tim Jones (33 grabs, 432 yards, TD), Jordan Mitchell (31 catches, 314 yards, three TD) and Jaylond Adams (25 grabs, 262 yards, two TD) are the top targets. Parker Shaunfield is 22 of 23 on extra points and 13 of 17 on field goals this season with a long of 51.

UAB Blazers Seek to Remain Unbeaten in Conference Play

UAB reeled off their seventh win in a row as they took care of business against an overmatched UTSA squad. The Blazers are 6-0 in conference play and hold a 1.5 game lead over Louisiana Tech in the West Division of Conference USA: they own the tiebreaker after beating the Bulldogs 28-7 earlier this season. UAB put this one away early, leading 21-3 after the opening quarter and 38-3 at the half. The Blazers owned a commanding 668-220 edge in total offense, rolled up a 30-19 edge in first downs and owned time of possession by a 34:27 to 25:33 margin in the contest. UAB forced two turnovers in the game while committing one.

The Blazers enter this game 100th in the FBS in passing offense with 194 yards per contest and 9th in rushing with 253.7 yards per game on the ground. UAB is 31st in scoring offense by averaging 33.9 points per game while ranking 1st in scoring defense by allowing 12.1 points per contest. A.J. Erdely has hit 102 of 178 passes for 1,449 yards with seven touchdowns and six interceptions. He is second on the team with 305 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Tyler Johnston III is 15 of 26 for 297 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions while adding 232 yards plus two scores on the ground. Spencer Brown is the leading ground gainer with 174 carries for 838 yards and 13 scores. Lucious Stanley (42 carries, 256 yards, TD) and Jarrion Street (33 carries, 223 yards, TD) are good secondary backs. Collin Lisa leads the team with 24 receptions for 336 yards and a score. Andre Wilson (19 grabs, 301 yards, two TD) and Xavier Ubosi (15 receptions, team-high 450 yards, five TD) are secondary receiving options. Nick Vogel is 40 of 40 on extra points and seven of 12 on field goals with a long of 51 this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

UAB has been on a roll of late with seven straight wins and they’re playing at home in this one. Southern Miss has been in close games and come up on both sides of the decision, losing to Charlotte by three before beating Marshall by two. The Blazers are the nation’s top team in scoring defense and while the Golden Eagles are no slouches, the offense has to move the ball against UAB. In the end, the Blazers are too much at home as they make it eight straight wins as they take advantage of a Southern Miss team that has turned the ball over 21 times.

Prediction: UAB Blazers -11.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

We’re looking at a pair of excellent defensive units who can shut down opposing offensive units. Southern Miss self destructs a fair amount of the time with 21 turnovers on the year. The Golden Eagles’ defense has forced 16 takeaways, helping keep them in close games despite their propensity for coughing the ball up. UAB is a +4 in the giveaway/takeaway department and their defense sets up the offense in prime field position on a consistent basis. Can Southern Miss find a way to pierce the Blazers’ defensive shell?

The under is 5-1 in the Golden Eagles’ last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and 4-1 in their last five overall. UAB has seen the under go 14-2 in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game, 7-1 in their last eight on fieldturf and 7-1 in their last eight conference games. With two tough defenses, points may be hard to come by: look for this one to fall under the number.

Prediction: Under 46.5

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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